SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
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Sodertalje Fotbollsarena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Assyriska FF Win 84.5%
Draw 5.5%
Stocksund Win 10%
Expected Goals (xG)
Assyriska FF2.05
Stocksund1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Assyriska FF Assyriska FF
WWDLW
53 GF / 48 GA
Stocksund Stocksund
WLDWL
49 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.66
Average Goals Conceded
2.39
18
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Assyriska FF Assyriska FF 29 matches
Stocksund Stocksund 28 matches
Assyriska FF Statistic Stocksund
10 Wins 4
7 Draws 7
12 Losses 17
53 Goals For 49
48 Goals Against 67
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.66 Avg Goals Conceded 2.39
18 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 21
13 Over 3.5 15
7 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stocksund. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stocksund having the stronger overall control. Assyriska FF arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 23 points compared to Stocksund in 16 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Assyriska FF come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Assyriska FF Analysis

So far, Assyriska FF have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 23 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 30:31 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stocksund Analysis

Stocksund approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 11 points from 18 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 36:44, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Assyriska FF won 2 times, Stocksund won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from Assyriska FF's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: Assyriska FF wins 2, draws 2, Stocksund wins 2

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 41:17 24 39
W W W L W
2 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
3 19 11 4 4 31:17 14 37
D L L W W
4 19 10 6 3 33:22 11 36
W W L D L
5 19 10 4 5 33:26 7 34
W W W W W
6 19 9 4 6 31:31 0 31
W L W D L
7 19 9 2 8 27:31 -4 29
L D L W L
8 19 7 5 7 32:31 1 26
W L W W W
9 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
10 19 7 3 9 25:37 -12 24
D W W L W
11 19 6 5 8 30:38 -8 23
L W D W D
12 19 5 5 9 24:32 -8 20
W D L L L
13 19 4 8 7 18:27 -9 20
L W W L D
14 19 4 3 12 23:41 -18 15
L L L L L
15 19 2 6 11 21:40 -19 12
L D D D L
16 19 2 5 12 38:47 -9 11
L L L W L