SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Sodertalje Fotbollsarena
Assyriska FF
Match Timeline
IF Karlstad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
V. Widerberg
Assyriska FF
7'
J. Bengtsson
IF Karlstad
🟥
35'
M. Haddad
Assyriska FF
🔄
46'
J. Carstrom ↔ K. Kack Ofordu
IF Karlstad
🟨
47'
Assyriska FF
Assyriska FF
🔄
58'
K. Gustafsson ↔ D. Nfansu
IF Karlstad
🔄
71'
W. Miguel ↔ O. Alvers
IF Karlstad
🔄
78'
S. Nnamani ↔ F. Aaltonen
Assyriska FF
🔄
88'
J. Bengtsson ↔ D. Alfonsi
IF Karlstad
90'
K. Jarret-Marston
Assyriska FF
90'
D. Nfansu
IF Karlstad

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
74.8%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Assyriska FF Win 21.3%
Draw 3.9%
IF Karlstad Win 74.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Assyriska FF1.33
IF Karlstad1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Assyriska FF Assyriska FF
WWDLW
36 GF / 40 GA
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad
WLDWL
24 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
14
BTTS Yes
6
13
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Assyriska FF Assyriska FF 21 matches
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 17 matches
Assyriska FF Statistic IF Karlstad
5 Wins 10
6 Draws 3
10 Losses 4
36 Goals For 24
40 Goals Against 13
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
14 BTTS Yes 6
17 Over 1.5 11
13 Over 2.5 6
10 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by IF Karlstad's more proactive style and Assyriska FF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. IF Karlstad look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IF Karlstad having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. IF Karlstad carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 29 points while Assyriska FF sit 14 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward IF Karlstad. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Assyriska FF Analysis

Assyriska FF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 10 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 17:25 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Felder Aaltonen (4 goals), A. Jacob (3 goals), L. Jonsson (3 goals), with creative support from F. Felder Aaltonen (2 assists), E. Sjoblom (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

IF Karlstad Analysis

IF Karlstad approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 29 points after 12 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 20:6 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on K. Kack Ofordu (4 goals), O. Alvers (3 goals), H. Bellman (2 goals), with creative support from I. Hook (2 assists), K. Kack Ofordu (1 assists), H. Bellman (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Assyriska FF won 2 times, IF Karlstad won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:15 from Assyriska FF's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
H2H summary: Assyriska FF wins 2, draws 3, IF Karlstad wins 3

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 41:17 24 39
W W W L W
2 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
3 19 11 4 4 31:17 14 37
D L L W W
4 19 10 6 3 33:22 11 36
W W L D L
5 19 10 4 5 33:26 7 34
W W W W W
6 19 9 4 6 31:31 0 31
W L W D L
7 19 9 2 8 27:31 -4 29
L D L W L
8 19 7 5 7 32:31 1 26
W L W W W
9 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
10 19 7 3 9 25:37 -12 24
D W W L W
11 19 6 5 8 30:38 -8 23
L W D W D
12 19 5 5 9 24:32 -8 20
W D L L L
13 19 4 8 7 18:27 -9 20
L W W L D
14 19 4 3 12 23:41 -18 15
L L L L L
15 19 2 6 11 21:40 -19 12
L D D D L
16 19 2 5 12 38:47 -9 11
L L L W L