SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Sodertalje Fotbollsarena
Assyriska FF
Match Timeline
Gefle IF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
33'
V. Widerberg
Assyriska FF
🔄
46'
A. Sipic ↔ M. Berggren
Gefle IF
🔄
61'
K. Jarret-Marston ↔ M. Larrain
Assyriska FF
🔄
63'
M. Spangberg ↔ M. Mokede
Gefle IF
🔄
63'
R. Nehrman ↔ Y. Sugita
Gefle IF
🟨
68'
A. Kalabane
Assyriska FF
🟨
76'
F. Aaltonen
Assyriska FF
77'
M. Kouyate
Gefle IF
🔄
79'
S. Nnamani ↔ L. Jonsson
Assyriska FF
🔄
80'
A. Zahirovic ↔ N. Lundstrom
Gefle IF
🔄
85'
V. Widerberg ↔ L. Hillemar
Assyriska FF
🔄
85'
L. Vikgren ↔ K. Persson
Gefle IF
🟨
87'
S. Edgren
Assyriska FF
89'
E. Larsson
Gefle IF
🟨
90+1'
N. Lundstrom
Gefle IF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Assyriska FF Win 62.6%
Draw 10.9%
Gefle IF Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Assyriska FF1.88
Gefle IF1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Assyriska FF Assyriska FF
WWDLW
50 GF / 46 GA
Gefle IF Gefle IF
WLDWL
45 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
17
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Assyriska FF Assyriska FF 27 matches
Gefle IF Gefle IF 26 matches
Assyriska FF Statistic Gefle IF
9 Wins 10
7 Draws 2
11 Losses 14
50 Goals For 45
46 Goals Against 50
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
17 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 19
13 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gefle IF having the stronger overall control. Assyriska FF come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Gefle IF. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Assyriska FF Analysis

Assyriska FF are currently 9 in the standings with 23 points from 17 matches. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 29:29 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gefle IF Analysis

Gefle IF are currently 10 in the standings with 20 points from 17 matches. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 21:34 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Assyriska FF won 1 times, Gefle IF won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Assyriska FF's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
H2H summary: Assyriska FF wins 1, draws 2, Gefle IF wins 3

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 41:17 24 39
W W W L W
2 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
3 19 11 4 4 31:17 14 37
D L L W W
4 19 10 6 3 33:22 11 36
W W L D L
5 19 10 4 5 33:26 7 34
W W W W W
6 19 9 4 6 31:31 0 31
W L W D L
7 19 9 2 8 27:31 -4 29
L D L W L
8 19 7 5 7 32:31 1 26
W L W W W
9 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
10 19 7 3 9 25:37 -12 24
D W W L W
11 19 6 5 8 30:38 -8 23
L W D W D
12 19 5 5 9 24:32 -8 20
W D L L L
13 19 4 8 7 18:27 -9 20
L W W L D
14 19 4 3 12 23:41 -18 15
L L L L L
15 19 2 6 11 21:40 -19 12
L D D D L
16 19 2 5 12 38:47 -9 11
L L L W L