Login Register
ITALY › SERIE B
17.10.2026 13:00
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli vs Empoli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ascoli Win 68.5%
Draw 4.9%
Empoli Win 26.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ascoli1.24
Empoli1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ascoli Ascoli
WWDLW
12 GF / 12 GA
Empoli Empoli
WLDWL
10 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
6
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
3
3.5
Shots on Goal
2.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ascoli Ascoli 10 matches
Empoli Empoli 10 matches
Ascoli Statistic Empoli
4 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 4
12 Goals For 10
12 Goals Against 13
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
6 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 1
3.5 Shots On Goal 2.86
11.88 Total Shots 9.29
5.13 Corners 3.57
53.8% Ball Possession 43.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Ascoli's more proactive style and Empoli's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Empoli arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Empoli. Ascoli arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 10 points compared to Empoli in 13 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Ascoli Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 10 points from 5 games, Ascoli bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 7:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Silipo (3 goals), G. Gori (1 goals), S. D'Uffizi (1 goals), with creative support from G. Gori (1 assists), S. Damiani (1 assists), T. Milanese (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Empoli Analysis

Empoli sit 13 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 4:6 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Saporiti (1 goals), Gerard Yepes (1 goals), S. Shpendi (1 goals), with creative support from C. Cauz (1 assists), L. Magnino (1 assists), M. Egan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Ascoli won 2 times, Empoli won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Ascoli's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Ascoli 3-5-2 / Empoli 3-5-2
H2H summary: Ascoli wins 2, draws 1, Empoli wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 14:7 7 16
W W D W W
2 6 4 2 0 13:6 7 14
W D W D W
3 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W D L W
4 6 3 3 0 9:3 6 12
D W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D W L W D
6 6 3 1 2 11:7 4 10
W L D W W
7 6 3 1 2 11:8 3 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
W W W L D
9 6 2 1 3 12:10 2 7
L W L W D
10 6 2 1 3 5:8 -3 7
L L W L D
11 6 1 4 1 7:8 -1 7
L D D D W
12 6 2 1 3 6:13 -7 7
D L W L L
13 6 2 0 4 6:10 -4 6
L L L W L
14 6 1 3 2 8:7 1 6
D D W D L
15 6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
D D D W L
16 6 1 2 3 7:13 -6 5
L L D D L
17 6 1 1 4 4:6 -2 4
W L L L D
18 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
L W L L L
19 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L L W L L
20 6 1 3 2 5:8 -3 2
D D D L W
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation