BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
FT
0 - 0

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds 2.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.5%
1.28
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
2.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
1.93
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.82
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
ASA Win 70.5%
Draw 5.1%
CSE Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
ASA1.55
CSE1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
ASA ASA
WWDLW
10 GF / 6 GA
CSE CSE
WLDWL
10 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
2
4
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ASA ASA 8 matches
CSE CSE 8 matches
ASA Statistic CSE
4 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
10 Goals For 10
6 Goals Against 16
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2
4 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by ASA's more proactive style and CSE's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CSE having the stronger overall control. ASA arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 13 points compared to CSE in 5 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward CSE. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

ASA Analysis

ASA approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 13 points after 7 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 9:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Alex Bruno (5 goals), Allef (1 goals), Arthurzinho (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

CSE Analysis

CSE come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 7 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 10:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Michel Douglas (3 goals), Anderson Montanha (2 goals), Celestino (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ASA won 6 times, CSE won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from ASA's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: ASA wins 6, draws 5, CSE wins 4
Last matches: ASA
23.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
3
L
30.08.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
2
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
1
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
3
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
ASA
Jequié
0
0
D
13.07.25
Ser
ASA
Penedense
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
2
2
D
28.06.25
Ser
ASA
Lagarto
1
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
ASA
Barcelona BA
0
1
L
Last matches: CSE
24.05.26
Ser
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
5
L
10.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
3
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
1
3
L
H2H: ASA vs CSE
30.05.26
H2H
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
12.04.26
H2H
CSE
ASA
1
2
W
14.03.26
H2H
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
25.01.26
H2H
CSE
ASA
1
2
W
08.02.25
H2H
ASA
CSE
4
0
W
07.07.24
H2H
ASA
CSE
1
2
L
11.05.24
H2H
CSE
ASA
1
1
D
17.03.24
H2H
ASA
CSE
2
0
W
13.03.24
H2H
ASA
CSE
3
0
W
10.03.24
H2H
CSE
ASA
1
1
D
25.01.24
H2H
CSE
ASA
2
0
L
25.01.23
H2H
ASA
CSE
1
1
D
19.06.22
H2H
CSE
ASA
0
1
W
15.05.22
H2H
ASA
CSE
2
3
L
05.03.22
H2H
CSE
ASA
4
1
L
Last matches: ASA
16.05.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
3
L
23.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
2
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
3
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
2
2
D
28.06.25
Ser
ASA
Lagarto
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
ASA
União Carmolandense
2
2
D
24.05.25
Ser
ASA
Barcelona BA
4
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
ASA
Penedense
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
ASA
Jequié
4
2
W
H2H at home: ASA
30.05.26
H2H
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
14.03.26
H2H
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
08.02.25
H2H
ASA
CSE
4
0
W
07.07.24
H2H
ASA
CSE
1
2
L
17.03.24
H2H
ASA
CSE
2
0
W
13.03.24
H2H
ASA
CSE
3
0
W
25.01.23
H2H
ASA
CSE
1
1
D
15.05.22
H2H
ASA
CSE
2
3
L
Last matches: CSE
10.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
1
3
L
H2H away: CSE
30.05.26
H2H
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
14.03.26
H2H
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
08.02.25
H2H
ASA
CSE
4
0
L
07.07.24
H2H
ASA
CSE
1
2
W
17.03.24
H2H
ASA
CSE
2
0
L
13.03.24
H2H
ASA
CSE
3
0
L
25.01.23
H2H
ASA
CSE
1
1
D
15.05.22
H2H
ASA
CSE
2
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 11.10
Draw 4.33
Home 1.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 10.10
Draw 2.15
Home 1.83
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 2.73
Home 1.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.15
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.34
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.71
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 2.75 2.15
Over 3.0 2.62
Over 3.25 2.97
Over 3.5 3.28
Over 3.75 4.10
Over 4.0 5.70
Over 4.25 6.10
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 4.75 6.15
Over 5.0 8.80
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 8.90
Under 0.75 8.15
Under 1.0 7.40
Under 1.25 4.29
Under 1.5 3.14
Under 1.75 2.78
Under 2.0 2.42
Under 2.25 1.99
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 2.75 1.56
Under 3.0 1.38
Under 3.25 1.30
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 3.75 1.16
Under 4.0 1.08
Under 4.25 1.06
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 4.50
Home 1.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 2.35
Home 1.83
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.70
Home 1.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 3.5 3.50
Under 1.5 3.10
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 3.5 1.23

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
L W W W D
1 9 5 3 1 18:7 11 18
D D W W W
1 9 5 3 1 12:7 5 18
D D D W W
1 9 5 1 3 13:9 4 16
W W L L W
1 9 5 3 1 14:6 8 18
W W D L W
1 9 4 5 0 14:8 6 17
D D W W D
1 9 5 1 3 14:9 5 16
W W W L W
1 9 6 1 2 14:7 7 19
W W L D L
1 9 5 4 0 12:5 7 19
W D W D W
1 9 6 3 0 17:7 10 21
W W D W D
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
W W W W W
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 9 5 3 1 20:9 11 18
W W L W W
1 9 4 5 0 13:7 6 17
D D D W D
1 9 5 3 1 14:7 7 18
D W W D W
2 9 3 5 1 11:7 4 14
D W L D W
2
ASA Home
9 4 3 2 10:6 4 15
D D W W L
2 9 3 3 3 10:8 2 12
?
2 9 4 4 1 13:6 7 16
W D W D D
2 9 5 2 2 16:7 9 17
W W D D W
2 9 3 3 3 11:7 4 12
D L W W W
2 9 4 3 2 9:3 6 15
D W L W D
2 8 4 3 1 9:4 5 15
D W W W L
2 9 5 2 2 12:8 4 17
D W L W D
2 9 4 3 2 22:9 13 15
L D L W W
2 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
D L D W D
2 9 4 4 1 12:7 5 16
D D L D W
2 9 5 2 2 17:13 4 17
L W W L W
2 9 4 4 1 10:6 4 16
W W D D D
2 9 3 5 1 12:8 4 14
D W D L D
2 9 5 3 1 12:3 9 18
W D W D D
3 9 4 2 3 14:12 2 14
L L D W W
3 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D D L L L
3 9 3 3 3 6:6 0 12
L D W D W
3 9 4 2 3 12:8 4 14
D W D W L
3 9 3 5 1 14:7 7 14
D D W D L
3 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 9:5 4 15
W D L L D
3 9 3 3 3 3:4 -1 12
L D L D W
3 9 3 4 2 10:6 4 13
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 20:9 11 15
W D D W D
3 9 3 3 3 9:11 -2 12
D L W W W
3 9 2 5 2 9:8 1 11
D D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 14:13 1 13
W D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 12:5 7 13
W W W D L
3 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
W L W D L
3 8 2 4 2 6:4 2 10
D D D D L
4 9 2 4 3 6:6 0 10
L D D L D
4 9 2 4 3 13:15 -2 10
W D D D L
4 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D D W W L
4 9 3 3 3 8:11 -3 12
D L L D D
4 9 2 4 3 10:12 -2 10
L L D D D
4 9 2 3 4 10:21 -11 9
D L W L D
4 9 3 2 4 8:11 -3 11
W D L L L
4 9 4 1 4 8:8 0 13
L D W L W
4 9 2 4 3 5:8 -3 10
W D D W D
4 9 2 4 3 10:11 -1 10
L D W W D
4 9 4 2 3 15:8 7 14
W W W L D
4 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
D W L L L
4 9 3 2 4 8:9 -1 11
D W L L W
4 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
W L L W L
4 9 3 2 4 10:13 -3 11
D L L W W
4 9 2 4 3 9:8 1 10
D W D W L
5 8 3 1 4 4:7 -3 10
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 10:15 -5 9
D D W L L
5
CSE Away
9 2 3 4 10:16 -6 9
D D L L W
5 9 2 3 4 8:10 -2 9
W L W L L
5 9 3 1 5 9:17 -8 10
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 10:16 -6 8
L D L W L
5 9 2 4 3 7:9 -2 10
L D L D D
5 9 3 3 3 8:8 0 12
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 8:11 -3 9
L D D L L
5 9 2 4 3 7:10 -3 10
D D W L D
5 9 3 1 5 14:22 -8 10
L L W L D
5 9 2 5 2 9:9 0 11
D W L L D
5 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
D L W D L
5 9 2 3 4 11:17 -6 9
L L W W D
5 9 2 3 4 8:14 -6 9
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 6:13 -7 8
D L L L W
6 9 0 2 7 2:18 -16 2
L D L L L
6 8 2 1 5 9:15 -6 7
W L L L W
6 9 1 2 6 4:13 -9 5
D D L L W
6 9 2 3 4 7:9 -2 9
W W L D D
6 9 1 4 4 6:11 -5 7
D D D W L
6 9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
L L L W D
6 9 2 3 4 6:10 -4 9
L W W D D
6 9 1 1 7 2:17 -15 4
L L L W L
6 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L W L D L
6 9 0 2 7 5:16 -11 2
L L L D L
6 9 0 0 9 4:37 -33 0
L L L L L
6 9 0 1 8 3:16 -13 1
L L D L L
6 9 1 2 6 7:15 -8 5
L D L W L
6 9 1 1 7 11:22 -11 4
L D L L L
6 9 0 4 5 10:18 -8 4
L D D L L
6 9 1 4 4 4:11 -7 7
L L L W D