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ITALY › SERIE A
25.01.2026 19:45
Stadio Olimpico
Referee: A. Colombo
AS Roma
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
A. Saelemaekers ↔ Z. Athekame
AC Milan
🟨
51'
Adrien Rabiot
AC Milan
🟨
55'
Zachary Athekame
AC Milan
🔄
59'
M. Kone ↔ N. Pisilli
AS Roma
⚽
62'
K. De Winter · Assist: L. Modric
AC Milan
🔄
68'
R. Leao ↔ N. Fullkrug
AC Milan
🔄
68'
C. Nkunku ↔ C. Pulisic
AC Milan
🔄
69'
P. Dybala ↔ L. Pellegrini
AS Roma
🔄
69'
D. Malen ↔ R. Vaz
AS Roma
🟨
70'
Luka Modrić
AC Milan
🟨
74'
Mike Maignan
AC Milan
⚽
74'
L. Pellegrini
AS Roma
🔄
79'
S. Ricci ↔ R. Loftus-Cheek
AC Milan
🔄
85'
M. Soule ↔ L. Venturino
AS Roma

AS Roma vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AS Roma Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Roma1.13
AC Milan1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
AS Roma AS Roma
WWDLW
40 GF / 20 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
39 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
9
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
11
4.93
Shots on Goal
4.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AS Roma AS Roma 29 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 25 matches
AS Roma Statistic AC Milan
19 Wins 15
0 Draws 7
10 Losses 3
40 Goals For 39
20 Goals Against 19
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
9 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 12
7 Failed To Score 3
4.93 Shots On Goal 4.84
13.83 Total Shots 14.72
5.03 Corners 5.4
57.2% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, AS Roma won 4 times, AC Milan won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:23 from AS Roma's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AS Roma 3-4-2-1 / AC Milan 3-5-2
H2H summary: AS Roma wins 4, draws 4, AC Milan wins 6

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B