TUNISIA LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
AS Marsa
Match Timeline
CS Sfaxien
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
N. Karoui
CS Sfaxien
🔄
46'
H. Msallem ↔ O. Adejoh
AS Marsa
🔄
46'
A. Guesmi ↔ R. Gneba
AS Marsa
🔄
46'
Victorino Polaco ↔ Y. Dao
AS Marsa
VAR
48'
N. Karoui
CS Sfaxien
🔄
58'
Y. Zouari ↔ M. Chaouch
AS Marsa
59'
E. Ogbole
CS Sfaxien
🟨
68'
CS Sfaxien
CS Sfaxien
🔄
69'
H. Ouedraogo ↔ A. Taifour
CS Sfaxien
🔄
74'
M. Traidi ↔ M. Khaloui
AS Marsa
76'
M. S. Mhadhebi
CS Sfaxien
🔄
77'
N. Karoui ↔ T. Labidi
CS Sfaxien
🔄
77'
R. Derbali ↔ A. Azzouz
CS Sfaxien
🔄
84'
M. S. Mhadhebi ↔ A. Akid
CS Sfaxien

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
AS Marsa Win 32.8%
Draw 14%
CS Sfaxien Win 53.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Marsa0.66
CS Sfaxien1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
AS Marsa AS Marsa
WWDLW
22 GF / 28 GA
CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien
WLDWL
37 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.43
5
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AS Marsa AS Marsa 27 matches
CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 28 matches
AS Marsa Statistic CS Sfaxien
10 Wins 16
1 Draws 8
16 Losses 4
22 Goals For 37
28 Goals Against 12
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.43
5 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 19
14 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by CS Sfaxien's more proactive style and AS Marsa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. CS Sfaxien carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 56 points while AS Marsa sit 11 on 34, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CS Sfaxien having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CS Sfaxien.

AS Marsa Analysis

AS Marsa sit 11 with 34 points after 28 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 1 draws, and 16 losses, while the 24:28 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Hadhri (7 goals), A. Ben Hamida (2 goals), Y. Arfaoui (2 goals), with creative support from G. Kalu (1 assists), O. Adejoh (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

CS Sfaxien Analysis

CS Sfaxien come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 56 points after 28 matches. With 16 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 37:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by O. Ben Ali (9 goals), H. Baccar (7 goals), I. Belwafi (6 goals), with creative support from A. Maaloul (5 assists), O. Ben Ali (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, AS Marsa won 1 times, CS Sfaxien won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:11 from AS Marsa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
H2H summary: AS Marsa wins 1, draws 0, CS Sfaxien wins 5

Lineups

AS Marsa
Formation
CS Sfaxien
A. Soltani
A. Soltani
Victorino Polaco
Victorino Polaco
H. Msallem
H. Msallem
K. Hammami
K. Hammami
S. Mestari
S. Mestari
O. Traidi
O. Traidi
M. Traidi
M. Traidi
O. Jebali
O. Jebali
Y. Zouari
Y. Zouari
A. Guesmi
A. Guesmi
F. Neji
F. Neji
A. Dahmen
A. Dahmen
A. Maaloul
A. Maaloul
H. Mathlouthi
H. Mathlouthi
K. Mondeko Zatu
K. Mondeko Zatu
M. S. Mhadhebi
M. S. Mhadhebi
R. Derbali
R. Derbali
H. Ouedraogo
H. Ouedraogo
M. Trabelsi
M. Trabelsi
N. Karoui
N. Karoui
T. Mutyaba
T. Mutyaba
E. Ogbole
E. Ogbole
AS Marsa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Soltani
26
Victorino Polaco
↓ 46'
14
H. Msallem
↓ 46'
7
K. Hammami
6
S. Mestari
11
O. Traidi
13
M. Traidi
↓ 74'
17
O. Jebali
19
Y. Zouari
↓ 58'
8
A. Guesmi
↓ 46'
29
F. Neji
Substitutes
30
G. Kalu
31
M. Aziz Telli
2
M. Chaouch
↑ 58'
21
O. Adejoh
↑ 46'
10
F. Aifia
15
R. Gneba
↑ 46'
25
Y. Dao
↑ 46'
3
H. Hichri
27
M. Khaloui
↑ 74'
CS Sfaxien 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
A. Dahmen
10
A. Maaloul
24
H. Mathlouthi
15
K. Mondeko Zatu
17
M. S. Mhadhebi
⚽ 76' ↓ 84'
13
R. Derbali
↓ 77'
32
H. Ouedraogo
↓ 69'
33
M. Trabelsi
19
N. Karoui
⚽ 5' ↓ 77'
12
T. Mutyaba
18
E. Ogbole
⚽ 59'
Substitutes
1
M. Gaaloul
6
A. Taifour
↑ 69'
31
M. A. Jamiaa
28
R. Chaaben
5
A. Akid
↑ 84'
27
B. Diarra
20
T. Labidi
↑ 77'
23
A. Azzouz
↑ 77'
Last matches: AS Marsa
12.05.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2
2
D
04.05.26
Lig
AS Marsa
CA Bizertin
2
1
W
30.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Zarzis
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Sahel
0
1
L
19.04.26
Fri
AS Marsa
Club Africain
3
3
D
13.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Metlaoui
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Olympique Béja
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Tunis
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Stade Tunisien
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
AS Soliman
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
JS Kairouanaise
1
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
US Monastirienne
0
1
L
28.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
AS Gabes
1
0
W
23.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
US Ben Guerdane
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Club Africain
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
05.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
CA Bizertin
2
0
W
29.10.25
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Sahel
0
2
L
19.10.25
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Metlaoui
0
1
L
Last matches: CS Sfaxien
14.05.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
ES Sahel
3
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
Olympique Béja
2
0
W
30.04.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
ES Tunis
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
Stade Tunisien
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
AS Soliman
1
1
D
05.04.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
JS Kairouanaise
3
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
US Monastirienne
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
AS Gabes
1
0
W
15.02.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
US Ben Guerdane
1
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
Club Africain
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
ES Metlaoui
2
0
W
21.01.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
CA Bizertin
4
0
W
16.01.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
ES Zarzis
2
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
ES Sahel
1
0
W
08.11.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
AS Marsa
2
0
W
05.11.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
Olympique Béja
1
0
W
02.11.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
ES Tunis
1
2
L
29.10.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
19.10.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
AS Soliman
2
0
W
H2H: AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien
09.05.26
H2H
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
3
L
08.11.25
H2H
CS Sfaxien
AS Marsa
2
0
L
19.04.24
H2H
CS Sfaxien
AS Marsa
0
1
W
05.11.23
H2H
CS Sfaxien
AS Marsa
3
0
L
27.08.23
H2H
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
1
L
10.09.22
H2H
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
Last matches: AS Marsa
30.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Zarzis
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Olympique Béja
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Stade Tunisien
0
4
L
07.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
JS Kairouanaise
1
2
L
28.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
AS Gabes
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Club Africain
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2
1
W
05.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
CA Bizertin
2
0
W
29.10.25
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Sahel
0
2
L
19.10.25
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Metlaoui
0
1
L
01.10.25
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Tunis
0
3
L
18.09.25
Lig
AS Marsa
AS Soliman
1
0
W
27.08.25
Lig
AS Marsa
US Monastirienne
0
0
D
15.08.25
Lig
AS Marsa
US Ben Guerdane
1
0
W
H2H at home: AS Marsa
09.05.26
H2H
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
3
L
27.08.23
H2H
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
1
L
10.09.22
H2H
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
Last matches: CS Sfaxien
30.04.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
ES Tunis
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
AS Soliman
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
US Monastirienne
1
0
W
15.02.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
US Ben Guerdane
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
0
1
L
16.01.26
Lig
CS Sfaxien
ES Zarzis
2
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
ES Sahel
1
0
W
05.11.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
Olympique Béja
1
0
W
29.10.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
05.10.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
JS Kairouanaise
3
0
W
20.09.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
AS Gabes
0
0
D
14.09.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
Club Africain
1
1
D
22.08.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
ES Metlaoui
1
2
L
16.08.25
Lig
CS Sfaxien
CA Bizertin
1
1
D
H2H away: CS Sfaxien
09.05.26
H2H
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
3
W
27.08.23
H2H
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
1
W
10.09.22
H2H
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
2
W