TUNISIA LIGUE 1
13.05.2026 15:00
Gabes Municipal Stadium
AS Gabes
Match Timeline
Stade Tunisien
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
44'
M. Fessi ↔ O. Naffati
AS Gabes
🔄
46'
Y. Toure ↔ B. Camara
Stade Tunisien
52'
Y. Saafi
Stade Tunisien
🟨
54'
AS Gabes
AS Gabes
🟨
74'
Stade Tunisien
Stade Tunisien
🔄
84'
M. Bidani ↔ A. Mechri
AS Gabes
🔄
84'
Y. Dhaflaoui ↔ A. Jaziri
Stade Tunisien

AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 52%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
52%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AS Gabes Win 13.6%
Draw 12.7%
Stade Tunisien Win 73.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Gabes0.4
Stade Tunisien1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
AS Gabes AS Gabes
WWDLW
11 GF / 36 GA
Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien
WLDWL
27 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.38
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
0.43
8
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AS Gabes AS Gabes 29 matches
Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 28 matches
AS Gabes Statistic Stade Tunisien
3 Wins 11
9 Draws 12
17 Losses 5
11 Goals For 27
36 Goals Against 12
0.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 0.43
8 BTTS Yes 6
15 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 18
19 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Stade Tunisien's more proactive style and AS Gabes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Stade Tunisien. Stade Tunisien carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 45 points while AS Gabes sit 16 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stade Tunisien having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

AS Gabes Analysis

With 18 points from 29 games and a place of 16, AS Gabes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 11:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Ahoudo (2 goals), H. Jmal (1 goals), H. Teka (1 goals), with creative support from H. Teka (1 assists), F. Ben Ammar (1 assists), N. El Beji (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stade Tunisien Analysis

Stade Tunisien approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 45 points from 29 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 12 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 27:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. N'Diaye (8 goals), A. Haboubi (4 goals), H. Guezmir (3 goals), with creative support from A. N'Diaye (1 assists), W. Ouerghemmi (1 assists), Y. Saafi (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, AS Gabes won 1 times, Stade Tunisien won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:22 from AS Gabes's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
H2H summary: AS Gabes wins 1, draws 3, Stade Tunisien wins 8

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 43:10 33 66
D W W D W
2 30 18 9 3 45:11 34 63
W L W D D
3 30 18 8 4 43:13 30 62
W W W D W
4 30 12 12 6 28:14 14 48
W D L L L
5 30 11 12 7 28:18 10 45
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:28 2 41
W W W L W
7 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
L W L L W
8 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
D L W W D
9 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
D L L W L
10 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
L D L W W
11 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
D L W W L
12 30 8 9 13 18:29 -11 33
L L L L D
13 30 9 5 16 18:39 -21 32
D W L W L
14 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
D W W L L
15 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
L W W D W
16 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18
L L L L D
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation