TUNISIA LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Gabes Municipal Stadium
AS Gabes
Match Timeline
ES Metlaoui
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
Y. Soltani
ES Metlaoui
67'
O. Naffati
AS Gabes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
55.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.1%
-
Probability Distribution
AS Gabes Win 28.3%
Draw 5.9%
ES Metlaoui Win 65.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Gabes0.61
ES Metlaoui0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
AS Gabes AS Gabes
WWDLW
10 GF / 30 GA
ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui
WLDWL
15 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.4
Average Goals Scored
0.6
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
7
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AS Gabes AS Gabes 25 matches
ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 25 matches
AS Gabes Statistic ES Metlaoui
3 Wins 7
8 Draws 11
14 Losses 7
10 Goals For 15
30 Goals Against 23
0.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
7 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 13
16 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AS Gabes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward ES Metlaoui. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ES Metlaoui having the stronger overall control. ES Metlaoui carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 32 points while AS Gabes sit 16 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

AS Gabes Analysis

AS Gabes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 17 points from 25 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 10:30, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through G. Ahoudo (2 goals), H. Jmal (1 goals), H. Teka (1 goals), with creative support from H. Teka (1 assists), F. Ben Ammar (1 assists), N. El Beji (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

ES Metlaoui Analysis

ES Metlaoui sit 9 with 32 points after 25 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 14:23 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Ouled Behi (6 goals), B. N. Sylla (2 goals), C. Bodian (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, AS Gabes won 4 times, ES Metlaoui won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from AS Gabes's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
H2H summary: AS Gabes wins 4, draws 2, ES Metlaoui wins 7

Lineups

AS Gabes
Formation
ES Metlaoui
A. Chouaya
A. Chouaya
M. Belghith
M. Belghith
N. Helali
N. Helali
N. Khedher
N. Khedher
S. Ouattara
S. Ouattara
A. Jouini
A. Jouini
H. Teka
H. Teka
H. Jmal
H. Jmal
I. Ben Amor
I. Ben Amor
R. Assane
R. Assane
F. Ben Hassine
F. Ben Hassine
C. H. Ben
C. H. Ben
F. Meskini
F. Meskini
O. Bahri
O. Bahri
Y. Boukhris
Y. Boukhris
Y. Soltani
Y. Soltani
C. Bodian
C. Bodian
E. Kouassi
E. Kouassi
M. I. Guesmi
M. I. Guesmi
M. Diame Pape
M. Diame Pape
H. Mansri
H. Mansri
N. Sylla
N. Sylla
AS Gabes 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
A. Chouaya
5
M. Belghith
3
N. Helali
30
N. Khedher
99
S. Ouattara
20
A. Jouini
7
H. Teka
13
H. Jmal
6
I. Ben Amor
25
R. Assane
9
F. Ben Hassine
Substitutes
38
R. Yaakoubi
32
H. Ben Attig
28
H. Abdelkarim
29
O. Naffati
⚽ 67'
21
M. Diolvy Agdavain
23
H. Trabelsi
M. Khelifi
12
F. Ben Ammar
ES Metlaoui 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
27
C. H. Ben
6
F. Meskini
5
O. Bahri
28
Y. Boukhris
15
Y. Soltani
⚽ 23'
19
C. Bodian
8
E. Kouassi
32
M. I. Guesmi
29
M. Diame Pape
9
H. Mansri
20
N. Sylla
Substitutes
7
R. Fadaa
25
I. Fajraoui
10
B. Hajji
A. Lakhel
4
S. Bouani
1
A. Mechri
14
B. Nana
26
M. Hassine
17
I. Hermes
13
A. Bangoura
Last matches: AS Gabes
13.05.26
Lig
AS Gabes
Stade Tunisien
0
1
L
08.05.26
Lig
AS Gabes
AS Soliman
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
AS Gabes
JS Kairouanaise
0
2
L
29.04.26
Lig
AS Gabes
US Monastirienne
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
AS Gabes
US Ben Guerdane
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
AS Gabes
Club Africain
0
2
L
06.03.26
Lig
AS Gabes
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
0
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
AS Gabes
CS Sfaxien
0
1
L
13.02.26
Lig
AS Gabes
CA Bizertin
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
AS Gabes
ES Zarzis
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
AS Gabes
ES Sahel
0
0
D
28.01.26
Lig
AS Gabes
AS Marsa
0
1
L
21.01.26
Lig
AS Gabes
Olympique Béja
1
0
W
15.01.26
Lig
AS Gabes
ES Tunis
1
2
L
23.11.25
Lig
AS Gabes
Stade Tunisien
0
4
L
08.11.25
Lig
AS Gabes
AS Soliman
1
1
D
04.11.25
Lig
AS Gabes
JS Kairouanaise
1
2
L
01.11.25
Lig
AS Gabes
US Monastirienne
1
1
D
25.10.25
Lig
AS Gabes
ES Metlaoui
0
1
L
18.10.25
Lig
AS Gabes
US Ben Guerdane
1
1
D
Last matches: ES Metlaoui
14.05.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
JS Kairouanaise
0
0
D
09.05.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Monastirienne
1
0
W
29.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
2
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Marsa
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Olympique Béja
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Club Africain
0
5
L
25.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Tunis
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
27.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
23.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Soliman
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
CA Bizertin
0
0
D
22.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
JS Kairouanaise
1
0
W
09.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Monastirienne
2
2
D
01.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
0
2
L
25.10.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Gabes
1
0
W
19.10.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Marsa
1
0
W
H2H: AS Gabes vs ES Metlaoui
25.04.26
H2H
AS Gabes
ES Metlaoui
1
1
D
22.03.26
H2H
ES Metlaoui
AS Gabes
5
2
L
25.10.25
H2H
ES Metlaoui
AS Gabes
1
0
L
26.02.25
H2H
ES Metlaoui
AS Gabes
2
1
L
02.11.24
H2H
AS Gabes
ES Metlaoui
1
0
W
10.03.19
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
AS Gabes
1
0
L
06.10.18
H2H
AS Gabes
Etoile S. Metlaoui
2
1
W
02.03.18
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
AS Gabes
1
0
L
21.10.17
H2H
AS Gabes
Etoile S. Metlaoui
5
1
W
10.12.16
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
AS Gabes
2
1
L
25.09.16
H2H
AS Gabes
Etoile S. Metlaoui
1
1
D
22.03.15
H2H
AS Gabes
Etoile S. Metlaoui
0
1
L
03.10.14
H2H
Etoile S. Metlaoui
AS Gabes
0
1
W
Last matches: AS Gabes
13.05.26
Lig
AS Gabes
Stade Tunisien
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
AS Gabes
JS Kairouanaise
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
AS Gabes
US Ben Guerdane
0
1
L
06.03.26
Lig
AS Gabes
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
0
2
L
13.02.26
Lig
AS Gabes
CA Bizertin
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
AS Gabes
ES Sahel
0
0
D
21.01.26
Lig
AS Gabes
Olympique Béja
1
0
W
08.11.25
Lig
AS Gabes
AS Soliman
1
1
D
01.11.25
Lig
AS Gabes
US Monastirienne
1
1
D
03.10.25
Lig
AS Gabes
Club Africain
0
1
L
20.09.25
Lig
AS Gabes
CS Sfaxien
0
0
D
14.09.25
Lig
AS Gabes
ES Zarzis
0
1
L
22.08.25
Lig
AS Gabes
AS Marsa
2
1
W
09.08.25
Lig
AS Gabes
ES Tunis
0
0
D
H2H at home: AS Gabes
25.04.26
H2H
AS Gabes
ES Metlaoui
1
1
D
02.11.24
H2H
AS Gabes
ES Metlaoui
1
0
W
06.10.18
H2H
AS Gabes
Etoile S. Metlaoui
2
1
W
21.10.17
H2H
AS Gabes
Etoile S. Metlaoui
5
1
W
25.09.16
H2H
AS Gabes
Etoile S. Metlaoui
1
1
D
22.03.15
H2H
AS Gabes
Etoile S. Metlaoui
0
1
L
Last matches: ES Metlaoui
09.05.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Monastirienne
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Club Africain
0
5
L
08.02.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
2
L
27.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
ES Metlaoui
CA Bizertin
0
0
D
22.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
JS Kairouanaise
1
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Sahel
0
2
L
19.10.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Marsa
1
0
W
28.09.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Olympique Béja
0
1
L
16.09.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
ES Tunis
0
2
L
27.08.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
Stade Tunisien
0
2
L
15.08.25
Lig
ES Metlaoui
AS Soliman
1
0
W
H2H away: ES Metlaoui
25.04.26
H2H
AS Gabes
ES Metlaoui
1
1
D
02.11.24
H2H
AS Gabes
ES Metlaoui
1
0
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 43:10 33 66
D W W D W
2 30 18 9 3 45:11 34 63
W L W D D
3 30 18 8 4 43:13 30 62
W W W D W
4 30 12 12 6 28:14 14 48
W D L L L
5 30 11 12 7 28:18 10 45
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:28 2 41
W W W L W
7 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
L W L L W
8 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
D L W W D
9 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
D L L W L
10 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
L D L W W
11 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
D L W W L
12 30 8 9 13 18:29 -11 33
L L L L D
13 30 9 5 16 18:39 -21 32
D W L W L
14 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
D W W L L
15 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
L W W D W
16 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18
L L L L D
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation