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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
06.09.2026 15:30
Emirates Stadium
Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England
Arsenal
Match Timeline
Chelsea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
M. Rogers · Assist: J. Hato
Chelsea
VAR
13'
Riccardo Calafiori
Arsenal
🟨
14'
João Pedro
Chelsea
⚽
25'
K. Havertz · Assist: D. Rice
Arsenal
🟨
45'
Cole Palmer
Chelsea
⚽
50'
M. Odegaard · Assist: C. Tzolis
Arsenal
🟨
58'
Christos Tzolis
Arsenal
🟨
58'
Maxence Lacroix
Chelsea
🔄
60'
J. Hato ↔ P. Chavarria
Chelsea
🔄
60'
R. Lavia ↔ M. Gusto
Chelsea
🔄
66'
R. Calafiori ↔ P. Hincapie
Arsenal
🔄
67'
M. Lewis-Skelly ↔ M. Zubimendi
Arsenal
🔄
77'
M. Odegaard ↔ M. Merino
Arsenal
🔄
78'
K. Havertz ↔ V. Gyokeres
Arsenal
🔄
81'
P. Neto ↔ Estêvão
Chelsea
🟨
83'
Morgan Rogers
Chelsea
🔄
87'
M. Rogers ↔ D. Welbeck
Chelsea
🟨
90+5'
Mikel Merino
Arsenal
🔄
90'
B. Saka ↔ N. Madueke
Arsenal

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Win 56.1%
Draw 15%
Chelsea Win 28.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal2
Chelsea2.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Arsenal
WWDLW
10 GF / 5 GA
Chelsea Chelsea
WLDWL
23 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.88
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
3
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
7
4
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Arsenal 5 matches
Chelsea Chelsea 8 matches
Arsenal Statistic Chelsea
3 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
10 Goals For 23
5 Goals Against 16
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.88
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
3 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 6
13.5 Total Shots 17.5
6 Corners 4
62.5% Ball Possession 32%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal won 10 times, Chelsea won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:14 from Arsenal's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Arsenal 4-2-3-1 / Chelsea 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Arsenal 4, Chelsea 3
H2H summary: Arsenal wins 10, draws 3, Chelsea wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 16:5 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 10:5 5 15
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 18:5 13 13
W W W D L
4 6 2 4 0 12:6 6 10
D W D D D
5 6 2 4 0 8:5 3 10
D W D D D
6 6 3 1 2 15:13 2 10
W L D L W
7 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
L D W D D
8 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
D L D D W
9 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
L W D W D
10 6 3 0 3 9:12 -3 9
W L W L L
11 6 2 2 2 10:13 -3 8
L W L D W
12 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
W D L W L
13 6 1 3 2 9:9 0 6
D D L D W
14 6 2 0 4 5:11 -6 6
W W L L L
15 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
L L W D D
16 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L D W
18 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
L L D D D
19 6 0 3 3 3:9 -6 3
D L D D L
20 6 0 2 4 6:10 -4 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship