Arsenal
Match Timeline
Brighton
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brighton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal1.79
Brighton1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal
WWDLW
48 GF / 11 GA
Brighton
WLDWL
25 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
2.09
Average Goals Scored
1.47
0.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
8
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
9
5.65
Shots on Goal
4.53
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arsenal
23 matches
Brighton
17 matches
| Arsenal | Statistic | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Draws | 6 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 48 | Goals For | 25 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 0.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.65 | Shots On Goal | 4.53 |
| 14.74 | Total Shots | 13.65 |
| 5.48 | Corners | 5 |
| 58.2% | Ball Possession | 51.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal won 8 times, Brighton won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:15 from Arsenal's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Arsenal 4-3-3 / Brighton 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Arsenal wins 8, draws 3, Brighton wins 4
Stats
Arsenal
Brighton
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
10
10
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
Arsenal
Formation
Brighton
D. Raya
D. Rice
W. Saliba
P. Hincapie
M. Lewis-Skelly
M. Odegaard
M. Zubimendi
M. Merino
B. Saka
V. Gyökeres
L. Trossard
B. Verbruggen
D. Coppola
J. P. van Hecke
L. Dunk
F. Kadioglu
Y. Ayari
J. Hinshelwood
M. De Cuyper
B. Gruda
D. Gomez
G. Rutter
Arsenal
4-3-3
Starting XI
1
D. Raya
G
41
D. Rice
D
🎯 52'
2
W. Saliba
D
5
P. Hincapie
D
🟨 90'
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
D
↓ 71'
🟨 69'
8
M. Odegaard
M
⚽ 14'
36
M. Zubimendi
M
23
M. Merino
M
7
B. Saka
F
🎯 14'
14
V. Gyökeres
F
↓ 71'
19
L. Trossard
F
↓ 82'
Substitutes
13
K. Arrizabalaga
G
9
Gabriel Jesus
F
↑ 71'
20
N. Madueke
F
11
G. Martinelli
F
↑ 82'
22
E. Nwaneri
M
89
M. Salmon
D
16
C. Norgaard
M
6
Gabriel
D
↑ 71'
10
E. Eze
M
Brighton
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
🟨 45+1'
42
D. Coppola
D
↓ 87'
🟨 56'
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
5
L. Dunk
D
🟨 50'
24
F. Kadioglu
M
26
Y. Ayari
M
13
J. Hinshelwood
M
↓ 75'
29
M. De Cuyper
M
↓ 46'
8
B. Gruda
F
↓ 46'
25
D. Gomez
F
⚽ 64'
↓ 87'
10
G. Rutter
F
⚽ 52'
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
20
J. Milner
M
18
D. Welbeck
F
↑ 75'
34
J. Veltman
D
21
O. Boscagli
D
27
M. Wieffer
M
↑ 46'
19
C. Kostoulas
F
↑ 87'
14
T. Watson
F
↑ 87'
11
Y. Minteh
F
↑ 46'
Last matches: Arsenal
12.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Como
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Real Betis
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Girona
4
1
W
30.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Burnley
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
West Ham
1
0
W
05.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Fulham
3
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester City
1
2
L
15.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Arsenal
Southampton
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
2
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
Last matches: Brighton
15.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Bologna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
H2H: Arsenal vs Brighton
04.03.26
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
W
27.12.25
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
1
W
29.10.25
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
W
04.01.25
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
1
1
D
31.08.24
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
3
W
17.12.23
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
0
3
L
31.12.22
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
4
W
09.11.22
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
3
L
09.04.22
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
2
L
02.10.21
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
0
D
23.05.21
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
W
29.12.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
W
20.06.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
1
L
Last matches: Arsenal
12.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Como
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Arsenal
Real Betis
1
3
L
18.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Burnley
1
0
W
05.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Fulham
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
W
15.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Chelsea
2
1
W
15.02.26
FA
Arsenal
Wigan
4
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Sunderland
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Arsenal
Kairat Almaty
3
2
W
25.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester United
2
3
L
08.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Liverpool
0
0
D
30.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Aston Villa
4
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Wolves
2
1
W
03.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Brentford
2
0
W
26.11.25
UEF
Arsenal
Bayern München
3
1
W
H2H at home: Arsenal
27.12.25
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
1
W
29.10.25
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
W
31.08.24
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
1
D
17.12.23
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
0
3
L
09.11.22
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
3
L
09.04.22
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
2
L
23.05.21
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
W
Last matches: Brighton
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
2
2
D
13.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
2
4
L
05.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
2
L
24.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Everton
0
2
L
H2H away: Brighton
27.12.25
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
1
L
29.10.25
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
L
31.08.24
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
1
D
17.12.23
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
L
14.05.23
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
0
3
W
09.11.22
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
3
W
09.04.22
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
2
W
23.05.21
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
Home
|
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Away
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship