MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion u Parku
Arsenal Tivat
Match Timeline
Sutjeska
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
A. Raznatovic
Sutjeska
🔄
46'
V. Kalezic ↔ I. Vukcevic
Sutjeska
🔄
46'
M. Jukovic ↔ A. Kecojevic
Sutjeska
🟨
52'
M. Mrvaljevic
Sutjeska
52'
M. Mrvaljevic
Sutjeska
🔄
68'
I. Sahman ↔ J. Montenegro
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
68'
A. Imamovic ↔ A. Macanovic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
72'
V. Cavor ↔ A. Scekic
Sutjeska
78'
N. Kovinic
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
87'
A. Babic
Sutjeska
🔄
89'
S. Mandic ↔ M. Cukovic
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
90'
B. Kopitovic
Sutjeska
🔄
90'
D. Hocko ↔ P. Anicic
Sutjeska

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Tivat Win 21.7%
Draw 4.7%
Sutjeska Win 73.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal Tivat1.06
Sutjeska1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
WWDLW
32 GF / 37 GA
Sutjeska Sutjeska
WLDWL
61 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
12
BTTS Yes
20
11
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat 32 matches
Sutjeska Sutjeska 36 matches
Arsenal Tivat Statistic Sutjeska
11 Wins 21
9 Draws 5
12 Losses 10
32 Goals For 61
37 Goals Against 41
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
12 BTTS Yes 20
19 Over 1.5 27
11 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 9
12 Clean Sheets 13
14 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sutjeska's more proactive style and Arsenal Tivat's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sutjeska. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sutjeska having the stronger overall control. Sutjeska carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 65 points while Arsenal Tivat sit 5 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Arsenal Tivat Analysis

Arsenal Tivat approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 42 points after 32 outings. With 11 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:37, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Bosnjak (5 goals), P. Raznatovic (4 goals), A. Cetkovic (3 goals), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sutjeska Analysis

Sutjeska come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 65 points after 32 matches. They have recorded 20 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 55:32 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on V. Cavor (9 goals), A. Raznatovic (7 goals), I. Vukcevic (5 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal Tivat won 3 times, Sutjeska won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Arsenal Tivat's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Arsenal Tivat - / Sutjeska 4-3-3
H2H summary: Arsenal Tivat wins 3, draws 7, Sutjeska wins 5

Lineups

Arsenal Tivat
Formation
Sutjeska
B. Zogovic
B. Zogovic
J. Nikolic
J. Nikolic
G. Petovic
G. Petovic
I. Sahman
I. Sahman
I. Vukcevic
I. Vukcevic
A. Imamovic
A. Imamovic
V. Kascelan
V. Kascelan
M. Zivanovic
M. Zivanovic
A. Cetkovic
A. Cetkovic
S. Mandic
S. Mandic
N. Kovinic
N. Kovinic
S. Vukcevic
S. Vukcevic
M. Vracar
M. Vracar
B. Kopitovic
B. Kopitovic
M. Simun
M. Simun
A. Raznatovic
A. Raznatovic
V. Cavor
V. Cavor
D. Hocko
D. Hocko
V. Kalezic
V. Kalezic
A. Babic
A. Babic
M. Jukovic
M. Jukovic
M. Mrvaljevic
M. Mrvaljevic
Arsenal Tivat 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
B. Zogovic
4
J. Nikolic
5
G. Petovic
8
I. Sahman
↓ 68'
9
I. Vukcevic
14
A. Imamovic
↓ 68'
16
V. Kascelan
26
M. Zivanovic
28
A. Cetkovic
77
S. Mandic
↓ 89'
90
N. Kovinic
⚽ 78'
Substitutes
31
L. Petkovic
2
M. Cukovic
↑ 89'
3
M. Zivaljevic
11
J. Montenegro
↑ 68'
17
D. Sim
20
A. Macanovic
↑ 68'
21
N. Gluscevic
27
A. Kralj
99
S. Labovic
Sutjeska 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
S. Vukcevic
4
M. Vracar
15
B. Kopitovic
🟨 90'
19
M. Simun
22
A. Raznatovic
🟨 33'
24
V. Cavor
↓ 72'
44
D. Hocko
↓ 90'
70
V. Kalezic
↓ 46'
72
A. Babic
🟨 87'
88
M. Jukovic
↓ 46'
99
M. Mrvaljevic
⚽ 52' 🟨 52'
Substitutes
1
V. Giljen
2
A. Golubovic
5
I. Pajovic
6
R. Dedic
7
I. Vukcevic
↑ 46'
9
P. Anicic
↑ 90'
20
J. Cadjenovic
30
A. Kecojevic
↑ 46'
55
A. Scekic
↑ 72'
Last matches: Arsenal Tivat
16.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Zrinjski
0
6
L
08.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1
4
L
01.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
4
L
24.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
4
L
20.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
2
1
W
16.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
0
3
L
02.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
0
0
D
26.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
1
W
18.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
0
1
L
08.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
4
L
07.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
0
1
L
25.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
Last matches: Sutjeska
23.07.26
UEF
Sutjeska
ML Vitebsk
0
3
L
15.07.26
UEF
Sutjeska
Kairat Almaty
0
2
L
08.07.26
UEF
Sutjeska
Kairat Almaty
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Sutjeska
FK Sarajevo
1
2
L
24.06.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Mornar
0
1
L
23.06.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Borac Banja Luka
0
1
L
24.05.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Jedinstvo
1
3
L
20.05.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Mladost DG
1
0
W
16.05.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Dečić
3
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Bokelj
3
2
W
26.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Jezero
1
1
D
18.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Petrovac
1
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Mornar
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Mladost DG
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Dečić
2
1
W
11.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
4
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Bokelj
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Jezero
1
1
D
H2H: Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska
09.05.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
11.03.26
H2H
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
4
1
L
24.01.26
H2H
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
3
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
0
D
13.09.25
H2H
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
L
26.04.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
02.03.25
H2H
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
L
23.10.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
1
L
21.08.24
H2H
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
W
14.04.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
0
W
24.02.24
H2H
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
1
1
D
07.10.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
06.08.23
H2H
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
2
2
D
21.06.23
H2H
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
0
2
W
29.05.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
Last matches: Arsenal Tivat
01.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
0
W
24.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
4
L
26.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
1
W
12.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
2
L
25.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
3
L
10.12.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
0
0
D
06.12.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
0
D
09.11.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
0
D
29.10.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
2
W
08.10.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
0
1
L
21.09.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1
1
D
17.09.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
2
1
W
30.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
2
2
D
18.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
04.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Arsenal Tivat
09.05.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
09.11.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
0
D
26.04.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
23.10.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
1
L
14.04.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
0
W
07.10.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
29.05.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
Last matches: Sutjeska
23.07.26
UEF
Sutjeska
ML Vitebsk
0
3
L
08.07.26
UEF
Sutjeska
Kairat Almaty
1
2
L
24.06.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Mornar
0
1
L
23.06.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Borac Banja Luka
0
1
L
20.05.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Mladost DG
1
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Bokelj
3
2
W
18.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Petrovac
1
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Mornar
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Dečić
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Jezero
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Buducnost Podgorica
1
2
L
30.11.25
Fir
Sutjeska
Mladost DG
3
2
W
09.11.25
Fir
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
01.11.25
Fir
Sutjeska
Bokelj
5
4
W
18.10.25
Fir
Sutjeska
Petrovac
1
0
W
01.10.25
Fir
Sutjeska
Mornar
0
1
L
27.09.25
Fir
Sutjeska
Jedinstvo
0
0
D
17.09.25
Fir
Sutjeska
Dečić
1
3
L
24.08.25
Fir
Sutjeska
Jezero
1
2
L
H2H away: Sutjeska
09.05.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
09.11.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
0
D
26.04.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
23.10.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
1
W
14.04.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
0
L
07.10.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
29.05.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation