MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion u Parku
Arsenal Tivat
Match Timeline
Petrovac
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
28'
Z. Mikijelj
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
50'
M. Zivanovic
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
55'
S. Mandic
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
56'
D. Pesukic
Petrovac
🔄
63'
S. Ficovic ↔ N. Belakovic
Petrovac
63'
Z. Popovic
Petrovac
65'
N. Kovinic
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
74'
P. Raznatovic
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
78'
N. Kovinic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
80'
A. Basic ↔ N. Zvrko
Petrovac
🔄
80'
D. Boljevic ↔ V. Kordic
Petrovac
🔄
81'
I. Sahman ↔ J. Nikolic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
81'
N. Kovinic ↔ I. Vukcevic
Arsenal Tivat
87'
A. Cetkovic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
88'
A. Macanovic ↔ M. Cukovic
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
89'
A. Imamovic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
90+4'
P. Raznatovic ↔ P. Malisic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
90+4'
S. Mandic ↔ V. Kascelan
Arsenal Tivat

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 84%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
84%
-
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Tivat Win 32.4%
Draw 5.8%
Petrovac Win 61.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal Tivat0.97
Petrovac1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
WWDLW
29 GF / 36 GA
Petrovac Petrovac
WLDWL
39 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
11
BTTS Yes
16
10
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat 30 matches
Petrovac Petrovac 30 matches
Arsenal Tivat Statistic Petrovac
10 Wins 12
8 Draws 9
12 Losses 9
29 Goals For 39
36 Goals Against 29
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
11 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 8
13 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Petrovac's more proactive style and Arsenal Tivat's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Petrovac arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Petrovac. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Petrovac having the stronger overall control.

Arsenal Tivat Analysis

So far, Arsenal Tivat have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 38 points from 30 matches. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 27:36 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Bosnjak (5 goals), P. Raznatovic (4 goals), A. Cetkovic (2 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Petrovac Analysis

With 45 points from 30 games and a place of 4, Petrovac still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 39:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Basic (8 goals), S. Arambasic (7 goals), N. Kovinic (6 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal Tivat won 4 times, Petrovac won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Arsenal Tivat's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
H2H summary: Arsenal Tivat wins 4, draws 8, Petrovac wins 3

Lineups

Arsenal Tivat
Formation
Petrovac
B. Zogovic
B. Zogovic
G. Petovic
G. Petovic
I. Sahman
I. Sahman
P. Raznatovic
P. Raznatovic
A. Imamovic
A. Imamovic
Z. Mikijelj
Z. Mikijelj
A. Macanovic
A. Macanovic
M. Zivanovic
M. Zivanovic
A. Cetkovic
A. Cetkovic
S. Mandic
S. Mandic
N. Kovinic
N. Kovinic
S. Licina
S. Licina
Z. Popovic
Z. Popovic
A. Kapisoda
A. Kapisoda
A. Basic
A. Basic
M. Franeta
M. Franeta
S. Arambasic
S. Arambasic
S. Ficovic
S. Ficovic
N. Carevic
N. Carevic
D. Pesukic
D. Pesukic
D. Boljevic
D. Boljevic
M. Merdovic
M. Merdovic
Arsenal Tivat 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
B. Zogovic
5
G. Petovic
8
I. Sahman
↓ 81'
10
P. Raznatovic
↓ 90+4' 🟨 74'
14
A. Imamovic
🟨 89'
19
Z. Mikijelj
⚽ 28'
20
A. Macanovic
↓ 88'
26
M. Zivanovic
🟨 50'
28
A. Cetkovic
⚽ 87'
77
S. Mandic
↓ 90+4' 🟨 55'
90
N. Kovinic
⚽ 65' ↓ 81' 🟨 78'
Substitutes
31
L. Petkovic
2
M. Cukovic
↑ 88'
4
J. Nikolic
↑ 81'
9
I. Vukcevic
↑ 81'
11
J. Montenegro
15
P. Malisic
↑ 90+4'
16
V. Kascelan
↑ 90+4'
18
N. Bojanic
21
N. Gluscevic
Petrovac 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Licina
4
Z. Popovic
⚽ 63'
5
A. Kapisoda
10
A. Basic
↓ 80'
13
M. Franeta
17
S. Arambasic
18
S. Ficovic
↓ 63'
21
N. Carevic
29
D. Pesukic
🟨 56'
33
D. Boljevic
↓ 80'
44
M. Merdovic
Substitutes
25
M. Kordic
7
N. Zvrko
↑ 80'
8
D. Bakic
11
N. Belakovic
↑ 63'
14
N. Balevic
32
S. Tesovic
98
V. Kordic
↑ 80'
99
M. Roganovic
Last matches: Arsenal Tivat
16.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Zrinjski
0
6
L
08.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1
4
L
01.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
4
L
24.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
4
L
20.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
2
1
W
16.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
0
3
L
09.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
0
0
D
18.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
0
1
L
08.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
4
L
07.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
0
1
L
25.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
Last matches: Petrovac
16.07.26
UEF
Petrovac
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Petrovac
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
Petrovac
Mornar
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Petrovac
AF Elbasani
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Petrovac
Macva
0
0
D
22.06.26
Fri
Petrovac
Mladost Lucani
0
1
L
24.05.26
Fir
Petrovac
Buducnost Podgorica
1
1
D
20.05.26
Fir
Petrovac
Mornar
1
1
D
16.05.26
Fir
Petrovac
Jedinstvo
1
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Petrovac
Mladost DG
0
1
L
02.05.26
Fir
Petrovac
Dečić
1
1
D
18.04.26
Fir
Petrovac
Sutjeska
0
1
L
12.04.26
Fir
Petrovac
Jezero
1
1
D
08.04.26
Fir
Petrovac
Bokelj
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Petrovac
Buducnost Podgorica
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fir
Petrovac
Mornar
0
2
L
15.03.26
Fir
Petrovac
Jedinstvo
2
1
W
11.03.26
Fir
Petrovac
Mladost DG
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Petrovac
Dečić
1
0
W
01.03.26
Fir
Petrovac
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
H2H: Arsenal Tivat vs Petrovac
26.04.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
1
W
01.03.26
H2H
Petrovac
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
L
29.10.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
2
W
24.08.25
H2H
Petrovac
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
04.05.25
H2H
Petrovac
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
L
08.03.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
1
2
L
27.10.24
H2H
Petrovac
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
25.08.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
1
1
D
12.05.24
H2H
Petrovac
Arsenal Tivat
2
2
D
13.03.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
1
1
D
11.11.23
H2H
Petrovac
Arsenal Tivat
1
1
D
03.09.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
2
2
D
05.04.23
H2H
Petrovac
Arsenal Tivat
0
3
W
07.12.22
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
1
1
D
01.10.22
H2H
Petrovac
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
W
Last matches: Arsenal Tivat
01.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
0
W
24.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
4
L
09.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
12.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
2
L
25.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
3
L
10.12.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
0
0
D
06.12.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
0
D
09.11.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
0
D
29.10.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
2
W
08.10.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
0
1
L
21.09.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1
1
D
17.09.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
2
1
W
30.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
2
2
D
18.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
04.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Arsenal Tivat
26.04.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
1
W
29.10.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
2
W
08.03.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
1
2
L
25.08.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
1
1
D
13.03.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
1
1
D
03.09.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
2
2
D
07.12.22
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
1
1
D
Last matches: Petrovac
16.07.26
UEF
Petrovac
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Petrovac
Mornar
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Petrovac
AF Elbasani
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Petrovac
Macva
0
0
D
22.06.26
Fri
Petrovac
Mladost Lucani
0
1
L
20.05.26
Fir
Petrovac
Mornar
1
1
D
10.05.26
Fir
Petrovac
Mladost DG
0
1
L
12.04.26
Fir
Petrovac
Jezero
1
1
D
08.04.26
Fir
Petrovac
Bokelj
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Petrovac
Buducnost Podgorica
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Petrovac
Jedinstvo
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Petrovac
Dečić
1
0
W
25.02.26
Fir
Petrovac
Sutjeska
1
2
L
29.01.26
Fri
Petrovac
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1
2
L
30.11.25
Fir
Petrovac
Mornar
1
3
L
09.11.25
Fir
Petrovac
Mladost DG
0
1
L
29.10.25
Fir
Petrovac
Arsenal Tivat
2
3
L
05.10.25
Fir
Petrovac
Jezero
3
1
W
01.10.25
Fir
Petrovac
Bokelj
2
1
W
27.09.25
Fir
Petrovac
Buducnost Podgorica
1
1
D
H2H away: Petrovac
26.04.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
1
L
29.10.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
2
L
08.03.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
1
2
W
25.08.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
1
1
D
13.03.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
1
1
D
03.09.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
2
2
D
07.12.22
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
1
1
D

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation