MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion u Parku
Arsenal Tivat
Match Timeline
Mladost DG
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
D. Vukovic
Mladost DG
🟨
10'
I. Sahman
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
30'
I. Vukcevic
Arsenal Tivat
🟥
35'
M. Cukovic
Arsenal Tivat
37'
D. Vukovic
Mladost DG
38'
N. Pavlicevic
Mladost DG
🔄
46'
A. Jovanovic ↔ N. Radusinovic
Mladost DG
🔄
46'
S. Almeida ↔ V. Vickovic
Mladost DG
🔄
46'
N. A. Cordoba ↔ V. Mijovic
Mladost DG
🟨
50'
D. Sim
Arsenal Tivat
55'
D. Sim
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
56'
N. Gluscevic ↔ P. Soskic
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
62'
L. Uskokovic
Mladost DG
🔄
70'
R. Faust ↔ J. Roganovic
Mladost DG
🔄
72'
I. Vukcevic ↔ A. Imamovic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
72'
J. Montenegro ↔ T. Pataki
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
74'
M. Badnjar ↔ M. Vukcevic
Mladost DG
79'
J. Roganovic
Mladost DG
🔄
81'
V. Kascelan ↔ L. Petrovic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
81'
P. Malisic ↔ S. Labovic
Arsenal Tivat

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Tivat Win 52.9%
Draw 16.1%
Mladost DG Win 31%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal Tivat1.2
Mladost DG1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
WWDLW
35 GF / 42 GA
Mladost DG Mladost DG
WLDWL
45 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.51
14
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat 35 matches
Mladost DG Mladost DG 35 matches
Arsenal Tivat Statistic Mladost DG
12 Wins 13
10 Draws 4
13 Losses 18
35 Goals For 45
42 Goals Against 53
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.51
14 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 21
7 Over 3.5 13
12 Clean Sheets 10
15 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mladost DG having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Mladost DG.

Arsenal Tivat Analysis

So far, Arsenal Tivat have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 43 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 33:41 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Bosnjak (5 goals), P. Raznatovic (4 goals), A. Cetkovic (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mladost DG Analysis

Mladost DG are currently 6 in the standings with 43 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 17 losses with goals at 45:52 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Vukovic (7 goals), L. Knezevic (6 goals), A. Jovanovic (5 goals), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal Tivat won 7 times, Mladost DG won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Arsenal Tivat's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.69 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
H2H summary: Arsenal Tivat wins 7, draws 1, Mladost DG wins 5

Lineups

Arsenal Tivat
Formation
Mladost DG
L. Petkovic
L. Petkovic
M. Cukovic
M. Cukovic
J. Nikolic
J. Nikolic
G. Petovic
G. Petovic
V. Kascelan
V. Kascelan
I. Sahman
I. Sahman
I. Vukcevic
I. Vukcevic
J. Montenegro
J. Montenegro
P. Malisic
P. Malisic
D. Sim
D. Sim
N. Gluscevic
N. Gluscevic
B. Radanovic
B. Radanovic
M. Badnjar
M. Badnjar
L. Uskokovic
L. Uskokovic
D. Kontic
D. Kontic
R. Faust
R. Faust
A. Jovanovic
A. Jovanovic
N. Pavlicevic
N. Pavlicevic
S. Almeida
S. Almeida
N. A. Cordoba
N. A. Cordoba
L. Pejovic
L. Pejovic
D. Vukovic
⚽ 2
D. Vukovic
Arsenal Tivat 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
L. Petkovic
2
M. Cukovic
🟥 35'
4
J. Nikolic
5
G. Petovic
6
V. Kascelan
↓ 81'
8
I. Sahman
🟨 10'
9
I. Vukcevic
↓ 72' 🟨 30'
11
J. Montenegro
↓ 72'
15
P. Malisic
↓ 81'
17
D. Sim
⚽ 55' 🟨 50'
21
N. Gluscevic
↓ 56'
Substitutes
12
I. Bozinovic
14
A. Imamovic
↑ 72'
22
P. Soskic
↑ 56'
24
V. Cukic
29
T. Pataki
↑ 72'
77
S. Mandic
98
L. Petrovic
↑ 81'
99
S. Labovic
↑ 81'
97
N. Lazarevic
Mladost DG 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
B. Radanovic
3
M. Badnjar
↓ 74'
4
L. Uskokovic
🟨 62'
8
D. Kontic
9
R. Faust
↓ 70'
10
A. Jovanovic
↓ 46'
11
N. Pavlicevic
⚽ 38'
27
S. Almeida
↓ 46'
28
N. A. Cordoba
↓ 46'
37
L. Pejovic
77
D. Vukovic
⚽ 7' ⚽ 37'
Substitutes
25
P. Radulovic
6
Z. Ceklic
7
L. Knezevic
16
N. Radusinovic
↑ 46'
18
V. Vickovic
↑ 46'
29
J. Roganovic
⚽ 79' ↑ 70'
35
V. Mijovic
↑ 46'
44
M. Vukcevic
↑ 74'
78
M. Camara
Last matches: Arsenal Tivat
16.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Zrinjski
0
6
L
08.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1
4
L
01.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
4
L
20.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
2
1
W
16.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
0
3
L
09.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
0
0
D
26.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
1
W
18.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
0
1
L
08.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
4
L
07.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
0
1
L
25.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
Last matches: Mladost DG
19.07.26
Fri
Mladost DG
Semendrija 1924
2
4
L
17.07.26
Fri
Mladost DG
FK Vozdovac
3
3
D
01.07.26
Fri
Mladost DG
Arsenal Tivat
0
1
L
20.05.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Sutjeska
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Jezero
2
2
D
10.05.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Petrovac
1
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
26.04.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Mornar
1
2
L
18.04.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Jedinstvo
1
2
L
12.04.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Bokelj
0
1
L
08.04.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Dečić
2
1
W
04.04.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Sutjeska
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Jezero
3
1
W
11.03.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Petrovac
1
3
L
07.03.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Buducnost Podgorica
1
4
L
01.03.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Mornar
0
3
L
25.02.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Jedinstvo
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Bokelj
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Mladost DG
Grbalj
1
1
D
H2H: Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
01.07.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
0
W
24.05.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
4
L
04.04.26
H2H
Mladost DG
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
W
06.12.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
0
D
27.09.25
H2H
Mladost DG
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
L
18.05.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
3
1
W
17.03.24
H2H
Mladost DG
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
W
26.11.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
2
L
16.09.23
H2H
Mladost DG
Arsenal Tivat
2
1
L
01.05.22
H2H
Mladost DG
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
L
20.03.22
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
3
2
W
06.11.21
H2H
Mladost DG
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
W
12.09.21
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
2
1
W
Last matches: Arsenal Tivat
01.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
0
W
09.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
26.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
1
W
12.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
2
L
25.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
3
L
10.12.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
0
0
D
06.12.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
0
D
09.11.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
0
D
29.10.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
2
W
08.10.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
0
1
L
21.09.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
1
1
D
17.09.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
2
1
W
30.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
2
2
D
18.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
04.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Arsenal Tivat
01.07.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
0
W
24.05.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
4
L
06.12.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
0
D
18.05.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
3
1
W
26.11.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
2
L
20.03.22
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
3
2
W
12.09.21
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
2
1
W
Last matches: Mladost DG
19.07.26
Fri
Mladost DG
Semendrija 1924
2
4
L
01.07.26
Fri
Mladost DG
Arsenal Tivat
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Jezero
2
2
D
02.05.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
18.04.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Jedinstvo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Sutjeska
0
1
L
11.03.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Petrovac
1
3
L
01.03.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Mornar
0
3
L
21.02.26
Fir
Mladost DG
Bokelj
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Mladost DG
Sutjeska
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
Mladost DG
Ruh Lviv
1
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
Mladost DG
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
3
1
W
27.01.26
Fri
Mladost DG
Karlovac 1919
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Mladost DG
Dugopolje
2
5
L
10.12.25
Fir
Mladost DG
Dečić
4
3
W
06.12.25
Fir
Mladost DG
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
22.11.25
Fir
Mladost DG
Jezero
0
1
L
02.11.25
Fir
Mladost DG
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
18.10.25
Fir
Mladost DG
Jedinstvo
1
0
W
21.09.25
Fir
Mladost DG
Sutjeska
1
3
L
H2H away: Mladost DG
01.07.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
0
L
24.05.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
4
W
06.12.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
0
D
18.05.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
3
1
L
26.11.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
2
W
20.03.22
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
3
2
L
12.09.21
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
2
1
L

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation