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10.10.2026 18:00
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
Arsenal Sarandi
Match Timeline
San Martín Burzaco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
N. Brienzo
Arsenal Sarandi
🟨
37'
E. Zagert
San Martín Burzaco
⚽
45'
R. Velazquez
San Martín Burzaco
⚽
47'
L. Franco
Arsenal Sarandi
🟨
48'
A. Siliman
San Martín Burzaco
⚽
49'
M. Sosa
Arsenal Sarandi
⚽
56'
M. Del Col
Arsenal Sarandi
🟨
64'
K. Denis
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
66'
L. Lezcano ↔ N. Barrera
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
66'
K. Denis ↔ R. Peralta
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
66'
A. Siliman ↔ M. Muzzio
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
72'
M. Del Col ↔ A. Vega
Arsenal Sarandi
🔄
75'
M. Lucero ↔ J. Goncebat
Arsenal Sarandi
🔄
75'
L. Franco ↔ E. Wrubel
Arsenal Sarandi
🔄
76'
E. Zagert ↔ E. Treppo
San Martín Burzaco
🟨
81'
B. Chavez
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
82'
N. Frascone ↔ U. La Roza
Arsenal Sarandi
🔄
82'
M. Sosa ↔ J. Ochoa
Arsenal Sarandi
🔄
86'
N. A. Gauna ↔ L. Geneiro
San Martín Burzaco

Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.3%
Odds 1.45
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.15
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.3%
1.45 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.38 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.15 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Sarandi Win 81.3%
Draw 4.4%
San Martín Burzaco Win 14.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal Sarandi1.22
San Martín Burzaco0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi
WWDLW
50 GF / 25 GA
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco
WLDWL
39 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.03
0.66
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
14
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 38 matches
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco 38 matches
Arsenal Sarandi Statistic San Martín Burzaco
19 Wins 12
12 Draws 14
7 Losses 12
50 Goals For 39
25 Goals Against 41
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
0.66 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
14 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 27
13 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 5
19 Clean Sheets 15
11 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Arsenal Sarandi's more proactive style and San Martín Burzaco's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martín Burzaco having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward San Martín Burzaco. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Arsenal Sarandi arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 69 points compared to San Martín Burzaco in 11 on 50, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Arsenal Sarandi Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 69 points from 38 games, Arsenal Sarandi bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 19 wins, 12 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 50:25, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

San Martín Burzaco Analysis

So far, San Martín Burzaco have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 50 points from 38 matches. The record of 12 wins, 14 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 39:41 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal Sarandi won 0 times, San Martín Burzaco won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Arsenal Sarandi's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
H2H summary: Arsenal Sarandi wins 0, draws 0, San Martín Burzaco wins 1

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 39 23 8 8 63:30 33 77
W L W W W
2 39 20 12 7 53:26 27 72
W L W L W
3 39 19 11 9 47:29 18 68
W W W D L
4 39 19 11 9 41:24 17 68
D L W D L
5 39 17 14 8 39:24 15 65
D L D W L
6 39 17 13 9 44:30 14 64
D L L L L
7 39 17 10 12 42:38 4 61
D W W W W
8 39 17 10 12 42:39 3 61
L W L W W
9 39 14 14 11 39:34 5 56
D D D W D
10 39 13 13 13 47:51 -4 52
D W L L D
11 39 12 14 13 40:44 -4 50
L W L W W
12 39 11 14 14 40:43 -3 47
L L W D L
13 39 11 14 14 37:43 -6 47
L W W D D
14 39 10 15 14 37:52 -15 45
D D L W L
15 39 11 11 17 34:41 -7 44
L L L W L
16 39 9 17 13 32:39 -7 44
D D D D W
17 39 10 14 15 32:40 -8 44
D W L L W
18 39 9 15 15 25:37 -12 42
W D W D L
19 39 11 9 19 35:48 -13 42
W D L L W
20 39 9 14 16 33:40 -7 41
L D W L W
21 39 6 20 13 22:35 -13 38
W W D L L
22 39 1 13 25 27:64 -37 16
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)