ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
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Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.67
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.9%
1.67
BTTS No
65.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.48
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.30
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-0
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Sarandi Win 73.9%
Draw 4.2%
Brown DE Adrogue Win 21.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal Sarandi1.25
Brown DE Adrogue0.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi
WWDLW
37 GF / 19 GA
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue
WLDWL
17 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
0.63
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
11
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 27 matches
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue 27 matches
Arsenal Sarandi Statistic Brown DE Adrogue
14 Wins 6
9 Draws 9
4 Losses 12
37 Goals For 17
19 Goals Against 29
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 0.63
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
11 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
13 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Arsenal Sarandi's more proactive style and Brown DE Adrogue's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Brown DE Adrogue. Arsenal Sarandi arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 50 points compared to Brown DE Adrogue in 20 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brown DE Adrogue having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Arsenal Sarandi Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 50 points from 26 games, Arsenal Sarandi bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 37:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Brown DE Adrogue Analysis

With 24 points from 26 games and a place of 20, Brown DE Adrogue still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats with a 16:29 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal Sarandi won 2 times, Brown DE Adrogue won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:1 from Arsenal Sarandi's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Arsenal Sarandi wins 2, draws 0, Brown DE Adrogue wins 0
Last matches: Arsenal Sarandi
25.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
18.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Flandria
1
0
W
14.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Argentino Quilmes
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Defensores Unidos
3
1
W
04.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Comunicaciones
2
1
W
28.06.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Dock Sud
0
0
D
21.06.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Merlo
4
2
W
13.06.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Camioneros
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Sportivo Italiano
1
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
San Martín Burzaco
0
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Flandria
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Villa San Carlos
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Liniers
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Real Pilar
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
UAI Urquiza
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Villa Dalmine
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Excursionistas
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
10.04.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Argentino de Merlo
3
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Talleres Remedios
1
0
W
Last matches: Brown DE Adrogue
25.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino de Merlo
1
0
W
18.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
14.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
04.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
27.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Flandria
2
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino Quilmes
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Dock Sud
1
0
W
26.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Talleres Remedios
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
San Martín Burzaco
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa San Carlos
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Liniers
0
1
L
14.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Real Pilar
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
UAI Urquiza
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa Dalmine
1
4
L
H2H: Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown DE Adrogue
21.03.26
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
Arsenal Sarandi
0
4
W
25.11.18
H2H
Arsenal Sarandi
Brown DE Adrogue
2
1
W
Last matches: Arsenal Sarandi
18.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Flandria
1
0
W
10.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Defensores Unidos
3
1
W
28.06.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Dock Sud
0
0
D
21.06.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Merlo
4
2
W
06.06.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Sportivo Italiano
1
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Villa San Carlos
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Real Pilar
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Villa Dalmine
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Argentino de Merlo
3
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Laferrere
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Armenio
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Argentino Quilmes
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Comunicaciones
2
0
W
H2H at home: Arsenal Sarandi
25.11.18
H2H
Arsenal Sarandi
Brown DE Adrogue
2
1
W
Last matches: Brown DE Adrogue
18.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
13.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Dock Sud
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
San Martín Burzaco
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Liniers
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
UAI Urquiza
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Excursionistas
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino de Merlo
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Laferrere
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Ituzaingó
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Flandria
1
3
L
16.11.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino de Merlo
4
2
W
02.11.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
11.10.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Fénix
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Liniers
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Armenio
0
1
L
29.08.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Sacachispas
1
1
D
17.08.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Dock Sud
3
1
W
H2H away: Brown DE Adrogue
25.11.18
H2H
Arsenal Sarandi
Brown DE Adrogue
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.13
Draw 3.21
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.30
Over 1.5 1.48
Over 1.75 1.62
Over 2.0 1.88
Over 2.25 2.18
Over 2.5 2.46
Over 2.75 2.94
Under 1.25 3.16
Under 1.5 2.47
Under 1.75 2.18
Under 2.0 1.88
Under 2.25 1.63
Under 2.5 1.48
Under 2.75 1.35
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 3.20
Home 1.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.00
Home 2.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.30
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.33
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 12.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.40
Draw 3.20
Home 1.66
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.60
Draw 1.91
Home 2.33
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.57
Draw 2.26
Home 2.07
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.08
Over 1.0 1.11
Over 1.25 1.28
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 1.75 1.57
Over 2.0 1.79
Over 2.25 2.11
Over 2.5 2.41
Over 2.75 2.81
Over 3.0 3.72
Over 3.25 4.10
Over 3.5 4.45
Over 3.75 5.64
Over 4.0 8.10
Over 4.25 7.50
Over 4.5 8.70
Over 5.5 26.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 6.10
Under 0.75 5.55
Under 1.0 4.95
Under 1.25 3.08
Under 1.5 2.43
Under 1.75 2.14
Under 2.0 1.83
Under 2.25 1.64
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 2.75 1.33
Under 3.0 1.20
Under 3.25 1.16
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 3.75 1.08
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 3.45
Home 1.58
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 2.16
Home 2.15
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 2.5 2.02
Over 3.5 3.55
Under 1.5 2.88
Under 2.5 1.64
Under 3.5 1.22

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 15 7 5 31:13 18 52
W W L D W
2 27 14 9 4 37:19 18 51
D W L W W
3 27 14 8 5 38:18 20 50
D D W L L
4 27 14 8 5 33:17 16 50
W W W L W
5 27 13 10 4 30:14 16 49
D D D W W
6 27 12 9 6 27:21 6 45
D W W W D
7 27 11 7 9 31:30 1 40
W L L W D
8 27 10 8 9 31:28 3 38
L W D W L
9 27 10 8 9 30:31 -1 38
D D W D D
10 27 10 8 9 29:32 -3 38
L W W D W
11 27 9 9 9 32:40 -8 36
L D W D L
12 27 9 8 10 26:25 1 35
L D L W D
13 27 8 11 8 26:25 1 35
L L W D D
14 27 7 11 9 27:25 2 32
D W D L W
15 27 7 11 9 25:28 -3 32
D D W L L
16 27 6 10 11 18:27 -9 28
D D L L D
17 27 7 6 14 21:33 -12 27
D L W D L
18 27 6 9 12 17:29 -12 27
W L L D D
19 27 5 11 11 21:30 -9 26
D D L L D
20 27 5 10 12 26:34 -8 25
W L L D W
21 27 3 16 8 13:23 -10 25
D L D D L
22 27 1 8 18 18:45 -27 11
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)