Arouca vs Santa Clara Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.5%
|
2.68 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.38 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
74.2%
|
1.21 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
26.00 |
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 63.5%
Draw 9.3%
Santa Clara Win 27.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca0.8
Santa Clara1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca
WWDLW
10 GF / 8 GA
Santa Clara
WLDWL
21 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.1
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
5
3.6
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arouca
10 matches
Santa Clara
10 matches
| Arouca | Statistic | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 0 |
| 10 | Goals For | 21 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.1 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.5 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 10.4 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 2.6 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 49% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 5 times, Santa Clara won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Arouca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Santa Clara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arouca wins 5, draws 4, Santa Clara wins 3
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
Santa Clara
Away
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 5 |
Arouca
Home
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:15 | -14 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2