Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
36.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Arouca
Santa Clara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arouca
31 matches
Santa Clara
37 matches
| Arouca | Statistic | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 17 |
| 39 | Goals For | 35 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 3.42 | Shots On Goal | 2.95 |
| 10.48 | Total Shots | 9.81 |
| 3.68 | Corners | 4.14 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 42.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Santa Clara. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arouca expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Santa Clara in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Santa Clara having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Arouca are currently 11 in the standings with 35 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 16 losses, while the 39:60 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Trezza (8 goals), Ivan Barbero (7 goals), N. Djouahra (6 goals), with creative support from N. Djouahra (3 assists), H. Lee (3 assists), J. Fontan (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Santa Clara sit 13 with 32 points after 31 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 28:38 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vinícius Lopes (6 goals), Gabriel Silva (5 goals), Serginho (4 goals), with creative support from Serginho (2 assists), Wendell (2 assists), Vinícius Lopes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 5 times, Santa Clara won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from Arouca's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.
Arouca
5
4
3
5
1
3
Lineups
Arouca
Tondela
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Arouca
Alverca
Arouca
Estrela
Arouca
SC Braga
Arouca
Estoril
Arouca
Moreirense
Arouca
Benfica
Arouca
Famalicao
Arouca
FC Porto
Arouca
Nacional
Arouca
Casa Pia
Arouca
Guimaraes
Arouca
Rio Ave
Arouca
Sporting CP
Arouca
AVS
Arouca
Tondela
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Arouca
Santa Clara
Arouca
Alverca
Santa Clara
FC Porto
Santa Clara
Nacional
Santa Clara
SC Braga
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
AVS
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Tondela
Santa Clara
Alverca
Santa Clara
Benfica
Santa Clara
Estrela
Santa Clara
Estoril
Santa Clara
Moreirense
Santa Clara
Famalicao
Santa Clara
Nacional
Santa Clara
FC Porto
Santa Clara
Arouca
Santa Clara
SC Braga
Arouca
Tondela
Arouca
Estrela
Arouca
Estoril
Arouca
Benfica
Arouca
Nacional
Arouca
Guimaraes
Arouca
Sporting CP
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Arouca
Alverca
Arouca
SC Braga
Arouca
Moreirense
Arouca
Famalicao
Arouca
FC Porto
Arouca
Casa Pia
Arouca
Rio Ave
Arouca
AVS
Santa Clara
FC Porto
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
AVS
Santa Clara
Tondela
Santa Clara
Alverca
Santa Clara
Estrela
Santa Clara
Moreirense
Santa Clara
Nacional
Santa Clara
SC Braga
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Benfica
Santa Clara
Estoril
Santa Clara
Shamrock Rovers
Santa Clara
Famalicao
Santa Clara
Larne
Santa Clara
NK Varazdin