Arouca vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca1.42
Nacional1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca
WWDLW
13 GF / 12 GA
Nacional
WLDWL
12 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
4
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
3.86
Shots on Goal
2.86
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arouca
12 matches
Nacional
12 matches
| Arouca | Statistic | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 1 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 7 |
| 13 | Goals For | 12 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.92 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.86 | Shots On Goal | 2.86 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 10.71 |
| 2.86 | Corners | 3.86 |
| 50.7% | Ball Possession | 50.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 7 times, Nacional won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Arouca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Arouca wins 7, draws 5, Nacional wins 2
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 9 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Arouca
Home
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Nacional
Away
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | -13 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2