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--.--.---- --:--
Arouca
FT
3 - 0
Nacional
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Referee: L. Filipe
Arouca
Match Timeline
Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Tiago Esgaio
Arouca
🟨
19'
Chiheb Labidi
Nacional
🔄
46'
M. Baeza ↔ Deivison
Nacional
⚽
47'
A. Trezza · Assist: H. Lee
Arouca
🟨
51'
Chiheb Labidi
Nacional
🟥
51'
Chiheb Labidi
Nacional
🟨
57'
Ivan Barbero
Arouca
🟨
62'
Espen Van Ee
Arouca
🟨
64'
Ze Vitor
Nacional
🔄
65'
N. Djouahra ↔ P. Gozalbez
Arouca
🔄
65'
I. Barbero ↔ D. Nandin
Arouca
⚽
67'
H. Lee
Arouca
🔄
71'
Matheus Dias ↔ J. Silva
Nacional
🔄
71'
J. Ramirez ↔ Pablo Ruan
Nacional
⚽
72'
D. Nandin · Assist: P. Gozalbez
Arouca
🔄
78'
Gabriel Veron ↔ Witi
Nacional
🟨
79'
Hyun-ju Lee
Arouca
🔄
79'
Paulinho Boia ↔ Daniel Junior
Nacional
🟨
83'
Hyun-ju Lee
Arouca
🟥
83'
Hyun-ju Lee
Arouca
🔄
85'
Tiago Esgaio ↔ D. Monteiro
Arouca
🔄
85'
E. van Ee ↔ J. Santiago Perez
Arouca
🔄
89'
A. Trezza ↔ Puche
Arouca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca1.33
Nacional1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca Arouca
WWDLW
28 GF / 49 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
27 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.23
2.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
12
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
11
3.41
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arouca Arouca 22 matches
Nacional Nacional 22 matches
Arouca Statistic Nacional
6 Wins 5
5 Draws 6
11 Losses 11
28 Goals For 27
49 Goals Against 31
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
2.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
12 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 16
15 Over 2.5 11
12 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 6
3.41 Shots On Goal 3.86
10.27 Total Shots 11.86
3.82 Corners 4.27
50.5% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 7 times, Nacional won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Arouca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Arouca wins 7, draws 5, Nacional wins 2
Stats
Arouca Arouca
Nacional Nacional
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
4 Corner Kicks 1
13 Fouls 13
6 Offsides 0
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
450 Total passes 284
393 Passes accurate 215
1.92 expected_goals 0.99
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Arouca
Formation
Nacional
I. De Arruabarrena
I. De Arruabarrena
Tiago Esgaio
↓
Tiago Esgaio
J. Sanchez
J. Sanchez
J. Fontan
J. Fontan
B. Kuipers
B. Kuipers
E. van Ee
↓
E. van Ee
T. Fukui
T. Fukui
A. Trezza
⚽ ↓
A. Trezza
H. Lee
⚽ 🎯
H. Lee
N. Djouahra
↓
N. Djouahra
I. Barbero
↓
I. Barbero
Kaique Pereira
Kaique Pereira
A. Nunez
A. Nunez
Leo Santos
Leo Santos
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor
L. Vallier
L. Vallier
Matheus Dias
↓
Matheus Dias
Gabriel Veron
↓
Gabriel Veron
M. Baeza
↓
M. Baeza
C. Labidi
C. Labidi
Paulinho Boia
↓
Paulinho Boia
J. Ramirez
↓
J. Ramirez
Arouca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
I. De Arruabarrena
G
28
Tiago Esgaio
↓ 85' 🟨 13'
D
15
J. Sanchez
D
3
J. Fontan
D
25
B. Kuipers
D
22
E. van Ee
↓ 85' 🟨 62'
M
21
T. Fukui
M
19
A. Trezza
⚽ 47' ↓ 89'
M
14
H. Lee
⚽ 67' 🎯 47' 🟨 79' 🟨 83' 🟥 83'
M
7
N. Djouahra
↓ 65'
M
17
I. Barbero
↓ 65' 🟨 57'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Valido
G
2
J. Silva
D
5
B. Popovic
D
6
D. Monteiro
↑ 85'
D
10
P. Gozalbez
🎯 72' ↑ 65'
M
11
Puche
↑ 89'
F
20
J. Santiago Perez
↑ 85'
M
23
D. Nandin
⚽ 72' ↑ 65'
F
24
B. Mansilla
F
Nacional 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Kaique Pereira
G
16
A. Nunez
D
34
Leo Santos
D
38
Ze Vitor
🟨 64'
D
24
L. Vallier
D
6
Matheus Dias
↓ 71'
M
27
Gabriel Veron
↓ 78'
M
8
M. Baeza
↓ 46'
M
15
C. Labidi
🟨 19' 🟨 51' 🟥 51'
M
11
Paulinho Boia
↓ 79'
M
9
J. Ramirez
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
50
K. V. Medeiros de Freitas
G
7
Witi
↑ 78'
F
10
Daniel Junior
↑ 79'
M
18
A. Sousa
M
19
L. Joao
F
26
J. Silva
↑ 71'
M
33
C. Goncalves
D
88
Deivison
↑ 46'
M
99
Pablo Ruan
↑ 71'
F
Last matches: Arouca
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
0
W
Last matches: Nacional
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
H2H: Arouca vs Nacional
21.02.26
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
20.09.25
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
W
01.02.25
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
W
25.08.24
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
1
0
W
06.05.18
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
0
1
L
22.12.17
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
2
2
D
28.01.17
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
1
1
D
21.08.16
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
2
0
W
01.05.16
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
02.01.16
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
2
2
D
08.02.15
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
3
3
D
31.08.14
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
2
0
L
16.02.14
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
1
1
D
15.09.13
H2H
Nacional
Arouca
0
1
W
Last matches: Arouca
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
3
2
W
24.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Sporting CP
1
2
L
28.12.25
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
14.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
0
W
01.12.25
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
4
L
02.11.25
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
0
2
L
05.10.25
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
1
1
D
29.09.25
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
0
4
L
14.09.25
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
0
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
3
D
09.08.25
Pri
Arouca
AVS
3
1
W
H2H at home: Arouca
21.02.26
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
25.08.24
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
1
0
W
06.05.18
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
0
1
L
21.08.16
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
2
0
W
01.05.16
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
08.02.15
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
3
3
D
16.02.14
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
1
1
D
Last matches: Nacional
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
02.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
Nacional
AVS
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
2
0
W
17.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
1
D
H2H away: Nacional
21.02.26
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
1
0
L
06.05.18
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
0
1
W
21.08.16
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
2
0
L
01.05.16
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
L
08.02.15
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
3
3
D
16.02.14
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
1
1
D