Arouca
Match Timeline
Nacional
Arouca vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca1.33
Nacional1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca
WWDLW
28 GF / 49 GA
Nacional
WLDWL
27 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.23
2.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
12
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
11
3.41
Shots on Goal
3.86
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arouca
22 matches
Nacional
22 matches
| Arouca | Statistic | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 11 |
| 28 | Goals For | 27 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 2.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.41 | Shots On Goal | 3.86 |
| 10.27 | Total Shots | 11.86 |
| 3.82 | Corners | 4.27 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 45.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 7 times, Nacional won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Arouca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Arouca wins 7, draws 5, Nacional wins 2
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Arouca
Home
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 |
Nacional
Away
|
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 15 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2