PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

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Arouca

2 - 1

Maritimo

Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Referee: Gustavo Correia, Portugal

Arouca

Match Timeline

Maritimo

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 68.5%

Odds 2.15

BTTS

Probability 56%

Odds 1.91

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 65.5%

Odds 1.77

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	68.5%	2.15	▥
BTTS	No	56%	1.91	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	65.5%	1.77	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	82%	1.19	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	3.60	▥
Correct Score	2-0	-	10.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Arouca Win 68.5%

Draw 4.6%

Maritimo Win 26.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

Arouca1.04

Maritimo1.08

Recent Form (Last 5)

Arouca

WWDLW

8 GF / 7 GA

Maritimo

WLDWL

11 GF / 10 GA

Key Stats

Average Goals Scored

1.22

0.88

Average Goals Conceded

1.11

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arouca 8 matches

Maritimo 9 matches

Arouca	Statistic	Maritimo
3	Wins	4
2	Draws	3
3	Losses	2
8	Goals For	11
7	Goals Against	10
1	Avg Goals Scored	1.22
0.88	Avg Goals Conceded	1.11
1	BTTS Yes	4
5	Over 1.5	6
3	Over 2.5	3
1	Over 3.5	2
5	Clean Sheets	4
4	Failed To Score	2
3	Shots On Goal	4
7.67	Total Shots	12
3	Corners	2.33
46.7%	Ball Possession	41.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 6 times, Maritimo won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Arouca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)

Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Maritimo 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Arouca wins 6, draws 3, Maritimo wins 4

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	4	4	0	0	9:0	9	12	W W W W
2	Sporting CP	4	3	1	0	12:5	7	10	W W W D
3	Arouca Home	4	3	0	1	7:3	4	9	W L W W
4	Santa Clara	4	2	2	0	5:3	2	8	D W W D
5	Benfica	3	2	1	0	11:3	8	7	W W D
6	GIL Vicente	3	2	1	0	3:0	3	7	D W W
7	Maritimo Away	4	2	1	1	6:5	1	7	L D W W
8	Estrela	3	1	2	0	7:6	1	5	W D D
9	SC Braga	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4	W D
10	Nacional	4	1	1	2	6:6	0	4	L L W D
11	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	3:6	-3	4	W L D
12	Vitória SC	4	1	0	3	3:5	-2	3	L W L L
13	Rio Ave	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3	L W L L
14	Famalicao	4	0	2	2	2:4	-2	2	D L L D
15	Academico Viseu	4	0	2	2	4:8	-4	2	L D L D
16	Alverca	4	0	2	2	4:8	-4	2	D L D L
17	Estoril	4	0	1	3	2:7	-5	1	L L L D
18	Casa Pia	4	0	0	4	0:11	-11	0	L L L L