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29.08.2026 14:30
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Referee: Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Arouca
Match Timeline
Maritimo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
27'
M. Tejon
Maritimo
🟨
44'
Raphael Guzzo
Maritimo
⚽
44'
E. van Ee · Assist: A. Trezza
Arouca
⚽
55'
I. Barbero · Assist: P. Gozalbez
Arouca
🔄
62'
B. Limbombe ↔ S. Bamba
Maritimo
🔄
70'
I. Barbero ↔ B. Mansilla
Arouca
🔄
70'
A. Trezza ↔ D. Nandin
Arouca
🟨
75'
Dylan Nandín
Arouca
🔄
77'
A. Butzke ↔ I. Ayuma
Maritimo
🔄
77'
V. Danilovic ↔ M. Boakye
Maritimo
🔄
79'
E. van Ee ↔ Pedro Santos
Arouca
🔄
79'
P. Gozalbez ↔ M. Flores
Arouca
🔄
87'
N. Djouahra ↔ M. Climent
Arouca
🔄
87'
R. Fernandes ↔ Nilton
Maritimo
🟨
90+2'
Javi Sánchez
Arouca

Arouca vs Maritimo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
82%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 68.5%
Draw 4.6%
Maritimo Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca1.04
Maritimo1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca Arouca
L W W W L
7 GF / 5 GA
Maritimo Maritimo
D W W D D
6 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
1
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
3
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arouca Arouca 8 matches
Maritimo Maritimo 9 matches
Arouca Statistic Maritimo
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
8 Goals For 11
7 Goals Against 10
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
1 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 4
7.67 Total Shots 12
3 Corners 2.33
46.7% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 6 times, Maritimo won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Arouca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Maritimo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arouca wins 6, draws 3, Maritimo wins 4

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 9 0 0 21:4 17 27
W W W W W
2 9 7 1 1 26:8 18 22
W W L W W
3 9 5 3 1 21:11 10 18
L W D D W
4 9 5 3 1 13:6 7 18
L W D W W
5 9 5 2 2 12:7 5 17
W W D L D
6 9 5 2 2 13:11 2 17
W W W W W
7 9 4 2 3 8:7 1 14
L W W D L
8 9 3 2 4 13:13 0 11
L W W W L
9 9 3 2 4 9:11 -2 11
L L L D W
10 9 3 2 4 11:16 -5 11
W L D W L
11 9 2 4 3 14:11 3 10
W L W D D
12 9 2 4 3 14:17 -3 10
L L L D W
13 9 2 2 5 10:10 0 8
W L D L D
14 9 2 2 5 9:19 -10 8
L L D L L
15 9 2 1 6 10:18 -8 7
W L L L L
16 9 2 1 6 5:17 -12 7
W L W L D
17 9 2 1 6 8:21 -13 7
L W L D L
18 9 0 2 7 5:15 -10 2
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2