Arouca
Match Timeline
Maritimo
Arouca vs Maritimo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.5%
|
2.15 | |
| BTTS | No |
56%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
1.77 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
82%
|
1.19 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.60 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
10.00 |
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 68.5%
Draw 4.6%
Maritimo Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca1.04
Maritimo1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca
WWDLW
8 GF / 7 GA
Maritimo
WLDWL
11 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
1
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
3
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arouca
8 matches
Maritimo
9 matches
| Arouca | Statistic | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 8 | Goals For | 11 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 7.67 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 3 | Corners | 2.33 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 41.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 6 times, Maritimo won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Arouca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Maritimo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arouca wins 6, draws 3, Maritimo wins 4
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 9 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Arouca
Home
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Maritimo
Away
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | -13 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2