Arouca vs Estrela H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsArouca vs Estrela Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.6%
|
2.06 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.70 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.89 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.7%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Arouca
Estrela
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arouca
12 matches
Estrela
14 matches
| Arouca | Statistic | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 13 | Goals For | 26 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.86 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.86 | Shots On Goal | 4.43 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 2.86 | Corners | 4 |
| 50.7% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Arouca's more proactive style and Estrela's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Estrela. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Arouca arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 11 points after 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 10:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Barbero (4 goals), José Fontán (2 goals), D. Nandín (2 goals), with creative support from N. Djouahra (4 assists), A. Trezza (1 assists), Pablo Gozálbez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
From their first 7 matches, Estrela have collected 10 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 14:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Stoica (4 goals), A. Marcus (4 goals), L. Antonetti (4 goals), with creative support from Eddy Doue (3 assists), I. Stoica (2 assists), A. Marcus (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 3 times, Estrela won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Arouca's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 16 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24:7 | 17 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 11 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 18 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Arouca
Home
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Estrela
Away
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 7 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
L
L
L
D
L
|