Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Estrela Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca1.13
Estrela1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca
WWDLW
8 GF / 5 GA
Estrela
WLDWL
16 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.78
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
1
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
5.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arouca
7 matches
Estrela
9 matches
| Arouca | Statistic | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 8 | Goals For | 16 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 9 | Total Shots | 9.5 |
| 3.5 | Corners | 2.5 |
| 46.5% | Ball Possession | 49% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 3 times, Estrela won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Arouca's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Estrela 4-3-3
H2H summary: Arouca wins 3, draws 1, Estrela wins 2
Last matches: Arouca
16.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
4
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Vitória SC
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
Last matches: Estrela
15.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
2
2
D
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
H2H: Arouca vs Estrela
19.04.26
H2H
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
07.12.25
H2H
Estrela
Arouca
3
1
L
19.04.25
H2H
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
09.12.24
H2H
Estrela
Arouca
2
1
L
05.05.24
H2H
Arouca
Estrela
0
0
D
28.12.23
H2H
Estrela
Arouca
1
4
W
Last matches: Arouca
16.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
4
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Vitória SC
3
2
W
24.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Sporting CP
1
2
L
28.12.25
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
14.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
0
W
01.12.25
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
4
L
02.11.25
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
0
2
L
05.10.25
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
1
1
D
29.09.25
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
0
4
L
14.09.25
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
0
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
3
D
09.08.25
Pri
Arouca
AVS
3
1
W
H2H at home: Arouca
19.04.26
H2H
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
19.04.25
H2H
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
05.05.24
H2H
Arouca
Estrela
0
0
D
Last matches: Estrela
15.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Vitória SC
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Benfica
0
4
L
27.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
3
2
W
15.12.25
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
3
L
30.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
4
L
01.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
5
3
W
04.10.25
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
21.09.25
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
0
0
D
11.08.25
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
1
1
D
H2H away: Estrela
19.04.26
H2H
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
L
05.05.24
H2H
Arouca
Estrela
0
0
D
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arouca
Home
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 |
Estrela
Away
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2