Arouca vs Casa Pia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Casa Pia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca1.55
Casa Pia0.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca
WWDLW
10 GF / 8 GA
Casa Pia
WLDWL
4 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
2.38
2
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
3
3.6
Shots on Goal
2.2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arouca
10 matches
Casa Pia
8 matches
| Arouca | Statistic | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 1 |
| 3 | Draws | 1 |
| 3 | Losses | 6 |
| 10 | Goals For | 4 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.5 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.38 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 2.2 |
| 10.4 | Total Shots | 9.2 |
| 2.6 | Corners | 4 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 46% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 2 times, Casa Pia won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:12 from Arouca's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Casa Pia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arouca wins 2, draws 3, Casa Pia wins 5
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Arouca
Home
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9:8 | 1 | 6 |
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 |
Casa Pia
Away
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0:11 | -11 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2