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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
20.12.2026 16:00

Arouca vs Casa Pia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Casa Pia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca1.56
Casa Pia0.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca Arouca
WWDLW
14 GF / 12 GA
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WLDWL
7 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
0.64
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
2.27
4
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
5
3.75
Shots on Goal
2.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arouca Arouca 13 matches
Casa Pia Casa Pia 11 matches
Arouca Statistic Casa Pia
5 Wins 2
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 8
14 Goals For 7
12 Goals Against 25
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 0.64
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 2.27
4 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 7
3.75 Shots On Goal 2.63
10.5 Total Shots 9.63
3.13 Corners 4
49% Ball Possession 43.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 2 times, Casa Pia won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:12 from Arouca's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Casa Pia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arouca wins 2, draws 3, Casa Pia wins 5

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 20:4 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 24:7 17 19
W L W W W
3 8 5 3 0 20:9 11 18
W D D W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:4 8 18
W D W W D
5 8 4 2 2 11:7 4 14
W D L D W
6 8 4 2 2 11:10 1 14
W W W W L
7 7 3 2 2 6:5 1 11
W D L L D
8 8 3 2 3 13:12 1 11
W W W L D
9 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
L D W L W
10 8 2 4 2 14:15 -1 10
L L D W D
11 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L D L L L
12 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D W L L
13 8 1 4 3 10:11 -1 7
L W D D D
14 8 2 1 5 8:17 -9 7
W L D L L
15 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L D L D L
16 8 1 1 6 9:18 -9 4
L L L L L
17 8 1 1 6 3:17 -14 4
L W L D L
18 8 0 2 6 4:12 -8 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2