GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
04.09.2026 16:30
Schüco-Arena
Referee: Felix Prigan, Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
Match Timeline
FC St. Pauli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
J. Rochelt · Assist: J. Kersken
Arminia Bielefeld
20'
T. Hara · Assist: D. Nemeth
FC St. Pauli
🟨
35'
Marvin Mehlem
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
46'
B. Hrgota ↔ C. Metcalfe
FC St. Pauli
🔄
46'
M. Kaars ↔ A. Ceesay
FC St. Pauli
🟨
47'
Tomoya Ando
FC St. Pauli
51'
J. Grodowski
Arminia Bielefeld
🟨
56'
Eric Smith
FC St. Pauli
65'
A. Ceesay · Assist: A. Pyrka
FC St. Pauli
🔄
66'
M. Momuluh ↔ L. Jensen
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
66'
J. Rochelt ↔ D. Min
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
76'
T. Hara ↔ Y. Niang
FC St. Pauli
🔄
77'
M. Mehlem ↔ S. Schreck
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
81'
M. Worl ↔ T. Wegener
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
81'
H. Koudossou ↔ B. Boakye
Arminia Bielefeld
🟨
88'
Maximilian Bauer
Arminia Bielefeld
🟨
88'
Arkadiusz Pyrka
FC St. Pauli
🔄
89'
M. Rasmussen ↔ S. Klein
FC St. Pauli

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.5%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.5%
1.28
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.64
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Arminia Bielefeld Win 45.9%
Draw 11.6%
FC St. Pauli Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arminia Bielefeld2.74
FC St. Pauli1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
WWDLW
35 GF / 11 GA
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
WLDWL
22 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
3.5
Average Goals Scored
2.2
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
5
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
8
5
Shots on Goal
6.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 10 matches
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 10 matches
Arminia Bielefeld Statistic FC St. Pauli
7 Wins 4
1 Draws 4
2 Losses 2
35 Goals For 22
11 Goals Against 16
3.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
5 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 6.33
16.67 Total Shots 17.33
7 Corners 6
43.7% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 3 times, FC St. Pauli won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Arminia Bielefeld's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: Arminia Bielefeld 4-1-4-1 / FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Arminia Bielefeld wins 3, draws 6, FC St. Pauli wins 5

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 15:6 9 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 15:6 9 13
W D W W W
3 5 4 0 1 12:10 2 12
W W W L W
4 5 3 0 2 10:8 2 9
W L W W L
5 5 2 2 1 10:7 3 8
L D W W D
6 5 2 2 1 5:4 1 8
L W W D D
7 5 2 1 2 13:12 1 7
W D L L W
8 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
D W L W L
9 5 1 3 1 7:7 0 6
W D L D D
10 5 2 0 3 8:11 -3 6
L W W L L
11 5 1 2 2 8:10 -2 5
D L W L D
12 5 1 2 2 6:11 -5 5
L D L D W
13 5 1 1 3 12:12 0 4
D L L L W
14 5 1 1 3 8:10 -2 4
L D L W L
15 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
L D W L L
16 5 1 1 3 4:8 -4 4
W L L L D
17 5 1 1 3 7:12 -5 4
D L L W L
18 5 0 3 2 6:9 -3 3
L D L D D
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