SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Midgardsvallen
Arlanda
Match Timeline
Piteå
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
60'
S. Rehman ↔ J. Carlsson
Arlanda
🔄
60'
S. Rydz ↔ J. Drugge
Arlanda
🔄
66'
C. Berglund ↔ H. Naslund
Piteå
🔄
66'
Q. Hoeve ↔ S. Jamehdar
Piteå
🔄
77'
Y. Yemane ↔ A. Hansen
Arlanda
🔄
87'
K. Sulaiman ↔ A. Ingemarson
Piteå
🟨
88'
L. Kleist
Arlanda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Arlanda Win 69.7%
Draw 3.5%
Piteå Win 26.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arlanda1.9
Piteå1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arlanda Arlanda
WWDLW
42 GF / 32 GA
Piteå Piteå
WLDWL
28 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
2
15
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arlanda Arlanda 23 matches
Piteå Piteå 22 matches
Arlanda Statistic Piteå
10 Wins 6
8 Draws 4
5 Losses 12
42 Goals For 28
32 Goals Against 44
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 2
15 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Arlanda's more proactive style and Piteå's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Piteå. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Piteå having the stronger overall control. Arlanda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 29 points compared to Piteå in 15 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Arlanda come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Arlanda Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 29 points from 14 games, Arlanda bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, with a 23:10 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Piteå Analysis

Piteå sit 15 with 9 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 16:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Arlanda won 1 times, Piteå won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Arlanda's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
H2H summary: Arlanda wins 1, draws 1, Piteå wins 0

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 41:17 24 39
W W W L W
2 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
3 19 11 4 4 31:17 14 37
D L L W W
4 19 10 6 3 33:22 11 36
W W L D L
5 19 10 4 5 33:26 7 34
W W W W W
6 19 9 4 6 31:31 0 31
W L W D L
7 19 9 2 8 27:31 -4 29
L D L W L
8 19 7 5 7 32:31 1 26
W L W W W
9 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
10 19 7 3 9 25:37 -12 24
D W W L W
11 19 6 5 8 30:38 -8 23
L W D W D
12 19 5 5 9 24:32 -8 20
W D L L L
13 19 4 8 7 18:27 -9 20
L W W L D
14 19 4 3 12 23:41 -18 15
L L L L L
15 19 2 6 11 21:40 -19 12
L D D D L
16 19 2 5 12 38:47 -9 11
L L L W L