SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Midgardsvallen
Arlanda
Match Timeline
IF Karlstad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
E. Nilsson King
IF Karlstad
🔄
23'
E. Nilsson King ↔ N. Jatta
IF Karlstad
🔄
46'
K. Gustafsson ↔ F. Modou
IF Karlstad
🟨
58'
S. Beko
IF Karlstad
59'
S. Rydz
Arlanda
🔄
61'
K. Kack Ofordu ↔ O. Alvers
IF Karlstad
🔄
61'
A. Djerlek ↔ W. Miguel
IF Karlstad
🔄
67'
I. Antholm ↔ D. Dibaga
Arlanda
🟨
74'
J. Carlsson
Arlanda
🟨
79'
C. Norberg
Arlanda
🔄
81'
J. Carlsson ↔ O. Bergstedt
Arlanda
🔄
83'
S. Zurmati ↔ J. Bengtsson
IF Karlstad
🟨
90+3'
M. Ahmed
Arlanda
🟨
90+5'
O. Bergstedt
Arlanda
🔄
90+1'
S. Rydz ↔ M. Ahmed
Arlanda
🔄
90+1'
M. Butros ↔ R. Koroma
Arlanda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Arlanda Win 33.9%
Draw 11.5%
IF Karlstad Win 54.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arlanda1.35
IF Karlstad1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arlanda Arlanda
WWDLW
34 GF / 26 GA
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad
WLDWL
26 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
13
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arlanda Arlanda 20 matches
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 18 matches
Arlanda Statistic IF Karlstad
8 Wins 10
8 Draws 4
4 Losses 4
34 Goals For 26
26 Goals Against 15
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
13 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 12
11 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 9
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IF Karlstad having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors IF Karlstad. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. IF Karlstad look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Arlanda Analysis

Arlanda come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 26 points after 13 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, with a 22:10 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on A. Charbachi (5 goals), S. Rydz (4 goals), F. Strangborn (2 goals), with creative support from C. Norberg (2 assists), I. Antholm (1 assists), L. Kleist (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

IF Karlstad Analysis

IF Karlstad approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 29 points after 12 outings. With 9 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:6, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Kack Ofordu (4 goals), O. Alvers (3 goals), H. Bellman (2 goals), with creative support from I. Hook (2 assists), K. Kack Ofordu (1 assists), H. Bellman (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Arlanda won 1 times, IF Karlstad won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Arlanda's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
H2H summary: Arlanda wins 1, draws 0, IF Karlstad wins 2

Lineups

Arlanda
Formation
IF Karlstad
A. Smedberg Lagh
A. Smedberg Lagh
C. Norberg
C. Norberg
V. Elfstrom
V. Elfstrom
S. Rehman
S. Rehman
Y. Yemane
Y. Yemane
I. Antholm
I. Antholm
J. Carlsson
J. Carlsson
S. Rydz
S. Rydz
L. Kleist
L. Kleist
M. Butros
M. Butros
E. Johansson
E. Johansson
M. Karlsson
M. Karlsson
S. Beko
S. Beko
S. Zurmati
S. Zurmati
H. Bellman
H. Bellman
I. Hook
I. Hook
B. Tagoe
B. Tagoe
E. Nilsson King
E. Nilsson King
K. Gustafsson
K. Gustafsson
K. Kack Ofordu
K. Kack Ofordu
D. Nfansu
D. Nfansu
A. Djerlek
A. Djerlek
Arlanda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Smedberg Lagh
2
C. Norberg
🟨 79'
5
V. Elfstrom
7
S. Rehman
8
Y. Yemane
15
I. Antholm
↓ 67'
18
J. Carlsson
↓ 81' 🟨 74'
19
S. Rydz
⚽ 59' ↓ 90+1'
21
L. Kleist
22
M. Butros
↓ 90+1'
27
E. Johansson
Substitutes
3
M. Aslan
4
M. Ahmed
↑ 90+1' 🟨 90+3'
12
A. Dedic
16
O. Bergstedt
↑ 81' 🟨 90+5'
24
D. Dibaga
↑ 67'
25
R. Koroma
↑ 90+1'
30
A. Karo
IF Karlstad 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Karlsson
2
S. Beko
🟨 58'
6
S. Zurmati
↓ 83'
7
H. Bellman
14
I. Hook
18
B. Tagoe
19
E. Nilsson King
↓ 23' 🟨 21'
21
K. Gustafsson
↓ 46'
22
K. Kack Ofordu
↓ 61'
24
D. Nfansu
28
A. Djerlek
↓ 61'
Substitutes
13
D. Henareh
9
J. Carstrom
10
O. Alvers
↑ 61'
11
J. Bengtsson
↑ 83'
12
W. Miguel
↑ 61'
16
F. Modou
↑ 46'
17
N. Jatta
↑ 23'
Last matches: Arlanda
29.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stocksund
3
2
W
23.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
FBK Karlstad
5
1
W
16.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stockholm Internazionale
1
4
L
09.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Piteå
0
0
D
03.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Hammarby Talang
1
5
L
25.07.26
Fri
Arlanda
Haninge
6
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stocksund
1
0
W
13.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Järfälla
3
2
W
07.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Assyriska FF
2
0
W
01.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Gefle IF
2
3
L
23.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
FBK Karlstad
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
AFC Eskilstuna
0
0
D
13.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Karlberg
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Sollentuna
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Piteå
2
1
W
24.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Enköping
7
1
W
18.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stockholm Internazionale
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Umeå FC
1
0
W
03.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Vasalund
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Arlanda
Sollentuna
2
2
D
Last matches: IF Karlstad
29.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
2
D
22.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Sollentuna
1
2
L
15.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Assyriska FF
0
2
L
08.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Järfälla
4
1
W
02.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Enköping
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Örebro Syrianska
4
1
W
21.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Assyriska FF
2
2
D
13.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
0
W
05.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
FBK Karlstad
3
2
W
30.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Sollentuna
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Vasalund
5
0
W
14.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Stocksund
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Karlberg
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Järfälla
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Stockholm Internazionale
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Piteå
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Skövde AIK
1
3
L
H2H: Arlanda vs IF Karlstad
27.06.26
H2H
Arlanda
IF Karlstad
1
0
W
01.11.25
H2H
Arlanda
IF Karlstad
3
5
L
29.05.25
H2H
IF Karlstad
Arlanda
3
0
L
Last matches: Arlanda
23.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
FBK Karlstad
5
1
W
09.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Piteå
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Arlanda
Haninge
6
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stocksund
1
0
W
07.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Assyriska FF
2
0
W
01.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Gefle IF
2
3
L
13.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Karlberg
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Sollentuna
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stockholm Internazionale
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Vasalund
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Arlanda
Sollentuna
2
2
D
H2H at home: Arlanda
27.06.26
H2H
Arlanda
IF Karlstad
1
0
W
01.11.25
H2H
Arlanda
IF Karlstad
3
5
L
Last matches: IF Karlstad
29.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
2
D
22.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Sollentuna
1
2
L
08.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Järfälla
4
1
W
21.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Assyriska FF
2
2
D
05.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
FBK Karlstad
3
2
W
24.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Karlberg
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Stockholm Internazionale
1
0
W
13.03.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
IK brage
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Jonkopings Sodra
1
1
D
H2H away: IF Karlstad
27.06.26
H2H
Arlanda
IF Karlstad
1
0
L
01.11.25
H2H
Arlanda
IF Karlstad
3
5
W

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
2 19 11 4 4 31:17 14 37
D L L W W
3 18 11 3 4 38:17 21 36
W W L W W
4 19 10 6 3 33:22 11 36
W W L D L
5 19 10 4 5 33:26 7 34
W W W W W
6 18 9 2 7 27:28 -1 29
D L W L L
7 18 8 4 6 27:28 -1 28
L W D L L
8 19 7 5 7 32:31 1 26
W L W W W
9 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
10 19 7 3 9 25:37 -12 24
D W W L W
11 18 6 5 7 28:35 -7 23
W D W D L
12 19 4 8 7 18:27 -9 20
L W W L D
13 18 4 5 9 21:30 -9 17
D L L L L
14 19 4 3 12 23:41 -18 15
L L L L L
15 18 2 6 10 18:36 -18 12
D D D L L
16 19 2 5 12 38:47 -9 11
L L L W L