Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
79.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
84.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arka Gdynia
31 matches
Gornik Zabrze
31 matches
| Arka Gdynia | Statistic | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 14 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 14 | Losses | 10 |
| 32 | Goals For | 43 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.35 | Shots On Goal | 4.39 |
| 10.32 | Total Shots | 15.84 |
| 4.29 | Corners | 5.68 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 51.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Gornik Zabrze's more proactive style and Arka Gdynia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gornik Zabrze. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arka Gdynia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gornik Zabrze in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gornik Zabrze having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Gornik Zabrze carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 49 points while Arka Gdynia sit 17 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
With 35 points from 31 games and a place of 17, Arka Gdynia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats with a 32:55 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. D. Espiau Hernandez (5 goals), N. Rusyn (4 goals), S. Kerk (4 goals), with creative support from S. Kerk (7 assists), Marc Navarro (4 assists), Kike Hermoso (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Gornik Zabrze approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 49 points after 31 outings. The return of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 43:36, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through O. Sow (7 goals), S. Liseth (7 goals), Patrik Hellebrand (4 goals), with creative support from J. Kubicki (4 assists), Lukáš Ambros (4 assists), Maksym Khlan (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Arka Gdynia won 2 times, Gornik Zabrze won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:15 from Arka Gdynia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Arka Gdynia
2
2
7
8
2
5
Lineups
Arka Gdynia
Luzino
Arka Gdynia
Olimpia Grudziądz
Arka Gdynia
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Łódź
Arka Gdynia
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia
Radnicki NIS
Gornik Zabrze
Slask Wroclaw
Gornik Zabrze
Fenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
FC Nordsjaelland
Gornik Zabrze
WSG Wattens
Gornik Zabrze
Red Bull Salzburg
Gornik Zabrze
Hallescher FC
Gornik Zabrze
Puszcza Niepołomice
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze
Zaglebie Lubin
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Korona Kielce
Gornik Zabrze
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
Cracovia Krakow
Gornik Zabrze
Górnik Zabrze II
Gornik Zabrze
Widzew Łódź
Gornik Zabrze
Raków Częstochowa
Gornik Zabrze
Motor Lublin
Gornik Zabrze
GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Luzino
Arka Gdynia
Olimpia Grudziądz
Arka Gdynia
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arka Gdynia
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Łódź
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia
Radnicki NIS
Arka Gdynia
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Arka Gdynia
Gangwon FC
Arka Gdynia
Csikszereda
Arka Gdynia
Motor Lublin
Arka Gdynia
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
Gornik Zabrze
Fenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
FC Nordsjaelland
Gornik Zabrze
WSG Wattens
Gornik Zabrze
Red Bull Salzburg
Gornik Zabrze
Hallescher FC
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
Widzew Łódź
Gornik Zabrze
Motor Lublin
Gornik Zabrze
GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
Žilina
Gornik Zabrze
Lechia Gdansk
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
Zaglebie Lubin
Gornik Zabrze
Korona Kielce
Gornik Zabrze
Cracovia Krakow
Gornik Zabrze
Raków Częstochowa
Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 60 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Gornik Zabrze
Away
|
34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 56 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 3 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 15 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 55 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 6 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | -7 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | -3 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Arka Gdynia
Home
|
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | -27 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
W
|