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GREECE › SUPER LEAGUE 1
25.10.2026 17:30
Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium

Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Aris Thessalonikis Win 73.3%
Draw 4.3%
Atromitos Win 22.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aris Thessalonikis1.52
Atromitos1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis
WWDLW
15 GF / 20 GA
Atromitos Atromitos
WLDWL
6 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
0.86
2.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
6
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
3
5.14
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 9 matches
Atromitos Atromitos 7 matches
Aris Thessalonikis Statistic Atromitos
5 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 4
15 Goals For 6
20 Goals Against 9
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
2.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
6 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 5
7 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
5.14 Shots On Goal 2.67
16.29 Total Shots 11
5.14 Corners 3.83
51.6% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atromitos arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atromitos. Aris Thessalonikis arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 10 points compared to Atromitos in 12 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aris Thessalonikis expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atromitos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atromitos having the stronger overall control.

Aris Thessalonikis Analysis

Aris Thessalonikis arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 10 points after 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Kouamé (2 goals), Fabiano (1 goals), T. Kadewere (1 goals), with creative support from U. Račić (2 assists), B. Garré (1 assists), J. Pétris (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atromitos Analysis

Atromitos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 2 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Moutoussamy (2 goals), C. Núñez (1 goals), S. Tsiloulis (1 goals), with creative support from C. Núñez (1 assists), T. Tsingaras (1 assists), S. Pnevmonidis (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aris Thessalonikis won 8 times, Atromitos won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from Aris Thessalonikis's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Aris Thessalonikis 4-4-2 / Atromitos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Aris Thessalonikis wins 8, draws 5, Atromitos wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 17:4 13 18
W L W W W
2 7 5 1 1 7:2 5 16
W W W L D
3 7 5 0 2 15:9 6 15
W L W W L
4 6 4 2 0 16:3 13 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 1 2 10:13 -3 13
W W D L L
6 7 3 1 3 13:12 1 10
W W L W D
7 7 3 1 3 11:11 0 10
L L D W W
8 7 2 3 2 7:8 -1 9
L W D D W
9 7 3 0 4 8:11 -3 9
L L L L W
10 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W W D L
11 7 1 2 4 7:15 -8 5
L W D D L
12 6 0 2 4 5:9 -4 2
L L D D L
13 7 0 2 5 0:11 -11 2
D L L D L
14 7 0 3 4 6:12 -6 0
D L L L D
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Super League (Relegation Group)