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04.10.2026 22:15
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Referee: Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina
Argentinos JRS
Match Timeline
Tigre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
K. Gutierrez · Assist: M. Gimenez
Argentinos JRS
⚽
42'
G. Veron · Assist: S. Prieto
Argentinos JRS
⚽
45+5'
Jabes Saralegui
Tigre
VAR
45+2'
Federico Álvarez
Tigre
⚽
57'
J. Domina · Assist: J. Saralegui
Tigre
🔄
58'
J. Saralegui ↔ I. Peluffo
Tigre
🔄
60'
M. Gimenez ↔ F. Carrizo
Argentinos JRS
🔄
72'
H. Lopez ↔ D. Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🔄
72'
G. Veron ↔ F. Jainikoski
Argentinos JRS
🟨
76'
Franco Paredes
Argentinos JRS
🔄
77'
F. Paredes ↔ F. Vazquez
Argentinos JRS
🟨
78'
Santiago López
Tigre
🟨
83'
Nicolas Oroz
Argentinos JRS
🔄
85'
S. Gonzalez ↔ M. Garay
Tigre
🔄
85'
I. Russo ↔ A. Oviedo
Tigre
🔄
85'
V. Moreno ↔ M. Fernandez
Tigre
🟨
88'
Jeronimo Domina
Tigre

Argentinos JRS vs Tigre Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Argentinos JRS Win 71.1%
Draw 4.8%
Tigre Win 24.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentinos JRS1.03
Tigre0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
L D D W D
4 GF / 4 GA
Tigre Tigre
L L L D W
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.04
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
14
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
8
4.84
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 32 matches
Tigre Tigre 28 matches
Argentinos JRS Statistic Tigre
16 Wins 8
10 Draws 11
6 Losses 9
36 Goals For 29
25 Goals Against 25
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
14 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 5
14 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 11
4.84 Shots On Goal 4.08
13.81 Total Shots 13.23
5.65 Corners 4.15
62.8% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tigre. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Argentinos JRS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 29 points compared to Tigre in 10 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Tigre arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Argentinos JRS Analysis

Placed 3 with 29 points from 16 outings, Argentinos JRS continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, while the 17:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Tomás Molina (4 goals), Alan Lescano (4 goals), Gastón Verón (4 goals), with creative support from Tomás Molina (3 assists), Nicolas Oroz (3 assists), Hernán López Muñoz (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Tigre Analysis

With 20 points from 16 games and a place of 10, Tigre still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats with a 18:15 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Russo (2 goals), Joaquin Mosqueira (1 goals), S. López (1 goals), with creative support from I. Russo (1 assists), Joaquin Mosqueira (1 assists), V. Moreno (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Argentinos JRS won 4 times, Tigre won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Argentinos JRS's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Argentinos JRS 4-4-2 / Tigre 4-4-2
H2H summary: Argentinos JRS wins 4, draws 2, Tigre wins 4

Standings

Clausura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 4 2 22:11 11 28
W W W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:11 6 25
W D W L D
3 14 7 4 3 21:18 3 25
W W D D D
4 14 7 2 5 19:13 6 23
W W D W L
5 14 6 4 4 14:11 3 22
L L W W W
6 14 6 4 4 13:11 2 22
W D W W L
7 14 6 3 5 22:21 1 21
L D D W L
8 14 5 4 5 12:14 -2 19
L L L W W
9 13 5 4 4 17:21 -4 19
D L D W W
10 14 4 5 5 13:13 0 17
W L D L L
11 14 3 5 6 15:20 -5 14
D L W D D
12
Tigre Away
14 3 4 7 13:16 -3 13
L D L L L
13 14 3 3 8 14:21 -7 12
L D L W W
14 14 3 2 9 15:22 -7 11
W L L L W
15 14 2 3 9 9:19 -10 9
L W L L L
Knockout Phase