10.05.2026 01:15
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Referee: L. Rey Hilfer
Argentinos JRS
Match Timeline
Lanus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
R. D. Riquelme
Argentinos JRS
🟨
22'
E. Salvio
Lanus
🟨
23'
D. Aquino
Lanus
⚽
28'
F. Alvarez · Assist: N. Oroz
Argentinos JRS
🟨
41'
F. Fattori
Argentinos JRS
🔄
60'
H. Lopez ↔ I. Morales
Argentinos JRS
🔄
60'
F. Jainikoski ↔ D. Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🔄
64'
E. Salvio ↔ Y. Valois
Lanus
🔄
64'
D. Aquino ↔ L. Besozzi
Lanus
🟨
70'
D. Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🟨
74'
T. Guidara
Lanus
🟨
78'
Marcelino Moreno
Lanus
🔄
79'
A. Medina ↔ M. Sepulveda
Lanus
🔄
79'
S. Marcich ↔ F. Pena Biafore
Lanus
🔄
83'
N. Oroz ↔ E. Perez
Argentinos JRS
🔄
83'
S. Prieto ↔ C. Bravo
Argentinos JRS
🔄
85'
R. Carrera ↔ W. Bou
Lanus
🔄
89'
T. Molina ↔ E. Godoy
Argentinos JRS
⚽
90'
A. Lescano · Assist: R. D. Riquelme
Argentinos JRS

Argentinos JRS vs Lanus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Argentinos JRS Win 88.8%
Draw 0%
Lanus Win 11.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentinos JRS1
Lanus1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
WWDLW
19 GF / 15 GA
Lanus Lanus
WLDWL
24 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
8
4.61
Shots on Goal
4.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 19 matches
Lanus Lanus 21 matches
Argentinos JRS Statistic Lanus
9 Wins 9
6 Draws 6
4 Losses 6
19 Goals For 24
15 Goals Against 21
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 8
4.61 Shots On Goal 4.1
13.11 Total Shots 11.8
5.56 Corners 4.55
63.7% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Argentinos JRS hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-1, so Lanus now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Argentinos JRS had more of the ball in the first leg (62% possession compared to 38%). Argentinos JRS were also more accurate in attack, recording 5 shots on target to 1. Argentinos JRS also attempted more passes (579 to 349) and completed 496. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lanus. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Argentinos JRS expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Lanus in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lanus having the stronger overall control.

Argentinos JRS Analysis

Argentinos JRS enter this tie with a season profile built on 142 points from 89 matches, placing them 5 in their league. With - wins, - draws, and - losses plus a goal ratio of 0:0, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on T. Molina (3 goals), Alan Lescano (2 goals), H. Lopez (2 goals), with creative support from H. Lopez (2 assists), N. Oroz (2 assists), S. Prieto (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lanus Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Lanus arrive from a league campaign that has them 9 with 133 points after 89 matches. Their record of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with goals at 0:0 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Dylan Aquino (5 goals), Marcelino Moreno (3 goals), C. Izquierdoz (2 goals), with creative support from Ramiro Carrera (3 assists), E. Salvio (3 assists), R. Castillo (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Argentinos JRS won 8 times, Lanus won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:7 from Argentinos JRS's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Argentinos JRS 4-3-3 / Lanus 4-4-2
H2H summary: Argentinos JRS wins 8, draws 4, Lanus wins 2

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W W L W D
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L D D W D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W D D D L
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D W W L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W D D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W L L L D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
L D D D L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L D W
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L L W D D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
W L W L L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L D D
Knockout Phase