22.08.2026 22:00
Barranca Quilmena stadium
Argentino Quilmes
Match Timeline
Villa San Carlos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
F. Ferrante
Villa San Carlos
44'
R. Salinas · Assist: R. Salinas
Villa San Carlos
🔄
46'
N. Sanchez ↔ L. Filosa
Argentino Quilmes
55'
R. Salinas
Villa San Carlos
🔄
60'
A. Acosta ↔ F. Farias
Villa San Carlos
🔄
60'
F. Guallama ↔ E. Gonzalez
Villa San Carlos
🟨
62'
M. Ceccotti
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
65'
F. Mussis
Villa San Carlos
🔄
67'
L. Escudero ↔ D. Pena
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
67'
M. Ceccotti ↔ M. Compagnucci
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
67'
F. Ferrante ↔ A. Martinez
Villa San Carlos
🟨
70'
A. Martinez
Villa San Carlos
🔄
75'
S. Canete ↔ Z. Zegarra
Villa San Carlos
🔄
75'
R. Salinas ↔ M. Plastino
Villa San Carlos
🟨
77'
I. Esteves
Villa San Carlos
78'
E. Gonzalez
Villa San Carlos
🔄
79'
M. Vega ↔ T. Gaitan
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
85'
F. Cosciuc
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
85'
Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
87'
L. Guzman ↔ E. Diez
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
90+2'
Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes

Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.4%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Argentino Quilmes Win 38.3%
Draw 5.3%
Villa San Carlos Win 56.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentino Quilmes0.99
Villa San Carlos0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
WWDLW
26 GF / 28 GA
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
WLDWL
29 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
0.97
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
11
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes 30 matches
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos 30 matches
Argentino Quilmes Statistic Villa San Carlos
8 Wins 7
13 Draws 11
9 Losses 12
26 Goals For 29
28 Goals Against 35
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
11 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 19
8 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Villa San Carlos. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villa San Carlos having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Argentino Quilmes Analysis

Argentino Quilmes sit 15 with 34 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 13 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 25:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Villa San Carlos Analysis

Villa San Carlos sit 18 with 29 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 28:35, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Argentino Quilmes won 3 times, Villa San Carlos won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:17 from Argentino Quilmes's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
H2H summary: Argentino Quilmes wins 3, draws 8, Villa San Carlos wins 4

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 21 8 7 56:29 27 71
W W W L W
2 36 18 12 6 48:24 24 66
L W W W W
3 36 18 10 8 37:19 18 64
D L W W D
4 36 17 12 7 42:24 18 63
L L W D W
5 36 17 12 7 38:21 17 63
W L L D D
6 36 16 11 9 41:27 14 59
D L W W L
7 36 16 10 10 40:35 5 58
W W L D W
8 36 15 9 12 38:38 0 54
W W D W L
9 36 14 11 11 38:33 5 53
W D W W L
10 36 12 12 12 43:47 -4 48
L D D D W
11 36 11 14 11 35:37 -2 47
W W D L W
12 36 10 14 12 38:38 0 44
D L L W W
13 36 11 11 14 32:36 -4 44
W L L D L
14 36 10 13 13 36:50 -14 43
W L D L L
15 36 9 14 13 35:39 -4 41
D D D L W
16 36 9 14 13 29:36 -7 41
D W L L L
17 36 9 13 14 30:37 -7 40
L W D D W
18 36 10 8 18 32:45 -13 38
L W L W L
19 36 8 13 15 31:38 -7 37
L W D D W
20 36 7 14 15 21:37 -16 35
D L D D L
21 36 4 19 13 18:33 -15 31
L L W L L
22 36 1 12 23 23:58 -35 15
L D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)