08.08.2026 18:00
Barranca Quilmena stadium
Argentino Quilmes
Match Timeline
Real Pilar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
N. Rios
Real Pilar
🔄
25'
M. Vega ↔ N. Sanchez
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
46'
Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
55'
Real Pilar
Real Pilar
🔄
60'
N. Rios ↔ M. Rojas
Real Pilar
🔄
60'
D. Vergara ↔ V. Mancini
Real Pilar
🔄
66'
E. Torancio ↔ D. Pena
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
66'
L. Filosa ↔ M. Ceccotti
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
74'
B. Martin ↔ D. Gonzalez
Real Pilar
🔄
74'
D. Achucarro ↔ T. Camargo
Real Pilar
🔄
79'
J. Martinez ↔ M. Compagnucci
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
79'
F. Filliol ↔ L. Guzman
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
90+2'
F. Pansardi ↔ N. Escurra
Real Pilar

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.7%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Argentino Quilmes Win 36.8%
Draw 15.5%
Real Pilar Win 47.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentino Quilmes1
Real Pilar1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
WWDLW
25 GF / 28 GA
Real Pilar Real Pilar
WLDWL
33 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
11
BTTS Yes
17
8
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes 28 matches
Real Pilar Real Pilar 29 matches
Argentino Quilmes Statistic Real Pilar
7 Wins 12
12 Draws 7
9 Losses 10
25 Goals For 33
28 Goals Against 34
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
11 BTTS Yes 17
16 Over 1.5 21
8 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 4
11 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Real Pilar's more proactive style and Argentino Quilmes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Pilar. Real Pilar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 40 points while Argentino Quilmes sit 15 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Pilar having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Argentino Quilmes Analysis

Argentino Quilmes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 32 points from 27 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 9 defeats with a 25:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Pilar Analysis

Real Pilar are currently 7 in the standings with 40 points from 27 matches. The record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 31:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Argentino Quilmes won 1 times, Real Pilar won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Argentino Quilmes's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
H2H summary: Argentino Quilmes wins 1, draws 1, Real Pilar wins 2

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 21 8 7 56:29 27 71
W W W L W
2 36 18 12 6 48:24 24 66
L W W W W
3 36 18 10 8 37:19 18 64
D L W W D
4 36 17 12 7 42:24 18 63
L L W D W
5 36 17 12 7 38:21 17 63
W L L D D
6 36 16 11 9 41:27 14 59
D L W W L
7 36 16 10 10 40:35 5 58
W W L D W
8 36 15 9 12 38:38 0 54
W W D W L
9 36 14 11 11 38:33 5 53
W D W W L
10 36 12 12 12 43:47 -4 48
L D D D W
11 36 11 14 11 35:37 -2 47
W W D L W
12 36 10 14 12 38:38 0 44
D L L W W
13 36 11 11 14 32:36 -4 44
W L L D L
14 36 10 13 13 36:50 -14 43
W L D L L
15 36 9 14 13 35:39 -4 41
D D D L W
16 36 9 14 13 29:36 -7 41
D W L L L
17 36 9 13 14 30:37 -7 40
L W D D W
18 36 10 8 18 32:45 -13 38
L W L W L
19 36 8 13 15 31:38 -7 37
L W D D W
20 36 7 14 15 21:37 -16 35
D L D D L
21 36 4 19 13 18:33 -15 31
L L W L L
22 36 1 12 23 23:58 -35 15
L D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)