13.09.2026 18:00
Barranca Quilmena stadium
Argentino Quilmes
Match Timeline
Deportivo Merlo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
L. Vallejo
Deportivo Merlo
🟨
52'
A. Minnicelli
Deportivo Merlo
🟨
53'
L. Alfieri
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
54'
A. Minnicelli ↔ A. Velasco
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
54'
L. Alfieri ↔ R. Hernandez
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
65'
N. Benavidez ↔ J. Kruger
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
65'
J. Scarel ↔ L. Guzman
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
68'
E. Zarate ↔ A. Poza
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
68'
F. Cosciuc ↔ L. Filosa
Argentino Quilmes
74'
J. Kruger
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
79'
J. E. Da Rosa ↔ C. Gugenheim
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
79'
L. Barrientos ↔ A. M. Paez
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
86'
J. Martinez ↔ M. Compagnucci
Argentino Quilmes

Argentino Quilmes vs Deportivo Merlo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 35%
Odds 2.66
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.33
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
35%
2.66
BTTS No
56%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
1.33
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.73
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
3.75
Correct Score 0-0
-
5.50
Probability Distribution
Argentino Quilmes Win 32.1%
Draw 35%
Deportivo Merlo Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentino Quilmes1.06
Deportivo Merlo1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
WWDLW
28 GF / 36 GA
Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo
WLDWL
34 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
12
BTTS Yes
18
9
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes 34 matches
Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo 34 matches
Argentino Quilmes Statistic Deportivo Merlo
8 Wins 9
13 Draws 13
13 Losses 12
28 Goals For 34
36 Goals Against 48
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
12 BTTS Yes 18
19 Over 1.5 24
9 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 10
15 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Merlo having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Merlo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Argentino Quilmes Analysis

Argentino Quilmes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 37 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 28:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Merlo Analysis

Deportivo Merlo sit 14 with 39 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 12 defeats with a 34:48 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Argentino Quilmes won 8 times, Deportivo Merlo won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from Argentino Quilmes's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (67.9%)
H2H summary: Argentino Quilmes wins 8, draws 3, Deportivo Merlo wins 4

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 20 8 7 54:28 26 68
W W L W W
2 35 18 12 5 47:22 25 66
W W W W D
3 35 17 12 6 41:22 19 63
L W D W D
4 35 18 9 8 37:19 18 63
L W W D L
5 35 16 12 7 35:20 15 60
L L D D W
6 35 16 10 9 41:27 14 58
L W W L L
7 35 15 10 10 38:34 4 55
W L D W W
8 35 14 9 12 36:37 -1 51
W D W L L
9 35 13 11 11 36:33 3 50
D W W L W
10 35 12 12 11 42:45 -3 48
D D D W L
11 35 10 14 11 33:36 -3 44
W D L W L
12 35 10 13 12 38:38 0 43
L L W W D
13 35 10 11 14 30:35 -5 41
L L D L D
14 35 9 13 13 35:39 -4 40
D D L W W
15 35 9 13 13 29:35 -6 40
W D D W L
16 35 9 13 13 29:36 -7 40
W L L L L
17 35 9 13 13 34:49 -15 40
L D L L D
18 35 10 8 17 31:43 -12 38
W L W L W
19 35 8 13 14 31:36 -5 37
W D D W W
20 35 7 13 15 21:37 -16 34
L D D L D
21 35 4 19 12 17:31 -14 31
L W L L D
22 35 1 12 22 22:55 -33 15
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)