Argentino Quilmes vs Deportivo Merlo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
35%
|
2.66 | |
| BTTS | No |
56%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
1.33 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
1.73 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
3.75 | |
| Correct Score | 0-0 |
-
|
5.50 |
Argentino Quilmes
Deportivo Merlo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Argentino Quilmes
34 matches
Deportivo Merlo
34 matches
| Argentino Quilmes | Statistic | Deportivo Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 9 |
| 13 | Draws | 13 |
| 13 | Losses | 12 |
| 28 | Goals For | 34 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Merlo having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Merlo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Argentino Quilmes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 37 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 28:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Deportivo Merlo sit 14 with 39 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 12 defeats with a 34:48 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Argentino Quilmes won 8 times, Deportivo Merlo won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from Argentino Quilmes's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 54:28 | 26 | 68 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 47:22 | 25 | 66 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 37:19 | 18 | 63 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 60 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 41:27 | 14 | 58 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 38:34 | 4 | 55 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 50 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 42:45 | -3 | 48 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 44 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 30:35 | -5 | 41 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 35:39 | -4 | 40 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 40 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 |
Argentino Quilmes
Home
|
35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 40 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
Deportivo Merlo
Away
|
35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 40 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 31:43 | -12 | 38 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 31:36 | -5 | 37 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 20 | 35 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 21:37 | -16 | 34 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 35 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 17:31 | -14 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 35 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 22:55 | -33 | 15 |
D
L
L
L
D
|