26.09.2026 20:00
Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva

Argentino de Merlo vs Villa San Carlos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.4%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Argentino de Merlo Win 22.1%
Draw 13.5%
Villa San Carlos Win 64.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentino de Merlo0.95
Villa San Carlos0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
WWDLW
32 GF / 38 GA
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
WLDWL
35 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
12
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo 37 matches
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos 36 matches
Argentino de Merlo Statistic Villa San Carlos
11 Wins 9
11 Draws 14
15 Losses 13
32 Goals For 35
38 Goals Against 39
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
12 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 22
10 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 9
19 Failed To Score 18
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villa San Carlos having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Villa San Carlos. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Argentino de Merlo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Argentino de Merlo Analysis

Argentino de Merlo sit 13 with 41 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 30:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Villa San Carlos Analysis

Villa San Carlos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 40 points from 35 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 13 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 35:39 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Argentino de Merlo won 3 times, Villa San Carlos won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Argentino de Merlo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
H2H summary: Argentino de Merlo wins 3, draws 2, Villa San Carlos wins 2

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 21 8 7 56:29 27 71
W W W L W
2 36 18 12 6 48:24 24 66
L W W W W
3 36 18 10 8 37:19 18 64
D L W W D
4 36 17 12 7 42:24 18 63
L L W D W
5 36 17 12 7 38:21 17 63
W L L D D
6 36 16 11 9 41:27 14 59
D L W W L
7 36 16 10 10 40:35 5 58
W W L D W
8 36 15 9 12 38:38 0 54
W W D W L
9 36 14 11 11 38:33 5 53
W D W W L
10 36 12 12 12 43:47 -4 48
L D D D W
11 36 11 14 11 35:37 -2 47
W W D L W
12 36 10 14 12 38:38 0 44
D L L W W
13 36 11 11 14 32:36 -4 44
W L L D L
14 36 10 13 13 36:50 -14 43
W L D L L
15 36 9 14 13 35:39 -4 41
D D D L W
16 36 9 14 13 29:36 -7 41
D W L L L
17 36 9 13 14 30:37 -7 40
L W D D W
18 36 10 8 18 32:45 -13 38
L W L W L
19 36 8 13 15 31:38 -7 37
L W D D W
20 36 7 14 15 21:37 -16 35
D L D D L
21 36 4 19 13 18:33 -15 31
L L W L L
22 36 1 12 23 23:58 -35 15
L D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)