30.08.2026 18:00
Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva
Argentino de Merlo
Match Timeline
Villa Dalmine
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Villa Dalmine
Villa Dalmine
🔄
25'
L. Gamba ↔ M. Britos
Villa Dalmine
🔄
46'
D. Martinez ↔ E. Ramon
Villa Dalmine
🔄
65'
N. Sica ↔ C. Medina
Argentino de Merlo
🔄
65'
F. Maldonado ↔ J. Ortiz
Argentino de Merlo
🔄
67'
G. Torres ↔ G. Resquin
Villa Dalmine
🔄
67'
F. Gimenez ↔ P. Oro
Villa Dalmine
🔄
71'
D. E. Aguirre ↔ F. Sellecchia
Argentino de Merlo
🔄
72'
L. Romero ↔ E. Cohen
Argentino de Merlo
🟨
73'
E. Tamborelli
Argentino de Merlo
🟨
74'
E. Cohen
Argentino de Merlo
🔄
78'
D. Ursino ↔ C. Marcial
Argentino de Merlo
🔄
84'
V. Gargiulo ↔ A. Nievas
Villa Dalmine

Argentino de Merlo vs Villa Dalmine Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.1%
Odds 2.12
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.92
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.1%
2.12
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.92
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.04
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Argentino de Merlo Win 37.3%
Draw 13.6%
Villa Dalmine Win 49.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentino de Merlo0.75
Villa Dalmine1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
WWDLW
30 GF / 34 GA
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine
WLDWL
35 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
11
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo 33 matches
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine 32 matches
Argentino de Merlo Statistic Villa Dalmine
10 Wins 16
10 Draws 11
13 Losses 5
30 Goals For 35
34 Goals Against 16
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
11 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 2
10 Clean Sheets 18
16 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Villa Dalmine's more proactive style and Argentino de Merlo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Villa Dalmine. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villa Dalmine having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Argentino de Merlo Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Argentino de Merlo have collected 39 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 30:30 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Villa Dalmine Analysis

Villa Dalmine arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 55 points after 30 matches. The record of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 33:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Argentino de Merlo won 3 times, Villa Dalmine won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Argentino de Merlo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
H2H summary: Argentino de Merlo wins 3, draws 1, Villa Dalmine wins 3

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 20 8 7 54:28 26 68
W W L W W
2 35 18 12 5 47:22 25 66
W W W W D
3 35 17 12 6 41:22 19 63
L W D W D
4 35 18 9 8 37:19 18 63
L W W D L
5 35 16 12 7 35:20 15 60
L L D D W
6 35 16 10 9 41:27 14 58
L W W L L
7 35 15 10 10 38:34 4 55
W L D W W
8 35 14 9 12 36:37 -1 51
W D W L L
9 35 13 11 11 36:33 3 50
D W W L W
10 35 12 12 11 42:45 -3 48
D D D W L
11 35 10 14 11 33:36 -3 44
W D L W L
12 35 10 13 12 38:38 0 43
L L W W D
13 35 10 11 14 30:35 -5 41
L L D L D
14 35 9 13 13 35:39 -4 40
D D L W W
15 35 9 13 13 29:35 -6 40
W D D W L
16 35 9 13 13 29:36 -7 40
W L L L L
17 35 9 13 13 34:49 -15 40
L D L L D
18 35 10 8 17 31:43 -12 38
W L W L W
19 35 8 13 14 31:36 -5 37
W D D W W
20 35 7 13 15 21:37 -16 34
L D D L D
21 35 4 19 12 17:31 -14 31
L W L L D
22 35 1 12 22 22:55 -33 15
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)