11.09.2026 23:00
Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva

Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.8%
Odds 2.16
BTTS
No
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.8%
2.16
BTTS No
70.3%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
1.30
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.73
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33
Correct Score 0-1
-
4.75
Probability Distribution
Argentino de Merlo Win 27.2%
Draw 6%
Real Pilar Win 66.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentino de Merlo0.94
Real Pilar1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
WWDLW
30 GF / 36 GA
Real Pilar Real Pilar
WLDWL
37 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
11
BTTS Yes
18
9
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo 35 matches
Real Pilar Real Pilar 35 matches
Argentino de Merlo Statistic Real Pilar
10 Wins 14
11 Draws 10
14 Losses 11
30 Goals For 37
36 Goals Against 37
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
11 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 24
9 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 4
11 Clean Sheets 10
18 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Real Pilar's more proactive style and Argentino de Merlo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Pilar. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Pilar having the stronger overall control.

Argentino de Merlo Analysis

Argentino de Merlo are currently 12 in the standings with 41 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 30:32 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Pilar Analysis

Real Pilar sit 7 with 52 points after 33 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, while the 37:32 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Argentino de Merlo won 2 times, Real Pilar won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Argentino de Merlo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
H2H summary: Argentino de Merlo wins 2, draws 7, Real Pilar wins 5

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 19 8 7 51:28 23 65
W L W W W
2 34 17 12 5 45:22 23 63
W W W D L
3 34 17 12 5 40:20 20 63
W D W D D
4 34 18 9 7 37:17 20 63
W W D L W
5 34 16 12 6 35:17 18 60
L D D W W
6 34 16 10 8 41:26 15 58
W W L L W
7 34 14 10 10 37:34 3 52
L D W W D
8 34 13 10 11 34:31 3 49
W W L W D
9 34 13 9 12 35:37 -2 48
D W L L W
10 34 12 11 11 41:44 -3 47
D D W L L
11 34 10 13 11 38:35 3 43
L W W D L
12 34 10 11 13 30:34 -4 41
L D L D D
13 34 9 14 11 31:36 -5 41
D L W L D
14 34 9 13 12 34:48 -14 40
D L L D D
15 34 9 12 13 34:38 -4 39
D L W W W
16 34 8 13 13 28:36 -8 37
L L L L W
17 34 8 13 13 27:35 -8 37
D D W L L
18 34 9 8 17 29:42 -13 35
L W L W D
19 34 7 13 14 28:36 -8 34
D D W W L
20 34 7 13 14 21:35 -14 34
D D L D L
21 34 4 19 11 17:29 -12 31
W L L D L
22 34 1 11 22 20:53 -33 14
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)