15.08.2026 18:00
Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva
Argentino de Merlo
Match Timeline
Ituzaingó
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
A. Politano
Ituzaingó
8'
L. Romero
Argentino de Merlo
🟨
11'
C. Medina
Argentino de Merlo
🟨
62'
Argentino de Merlo
Argentino de Merlo
🔄
68'
L. Mena ↔ J. Fanti
Ituzaingó
🔄
70'
C. Medina ↔ M. Gomez
Argentino de Merlo
🟨
73'
A. Politano
Ituzaingó
🔄
78'
J. Ortiz ↔ F. Sellecchia
Argentino de Merlo
🔄
81'
A. Miranda ↔ B. Mariani
Ituzaingó
🟥
85'
A. Politano
Ituzaingó
🔄
86'
J. Salvadores ↔ E. Ibanez
Ituzaingó
🔄
87'
S. Gras ↔ F. Luppino
Ituzaingó

Argentino de Merlo vs Ituzaingó Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.1%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Argentino de Merlo Win 83.1%
Draw 4.9%
Ituzaingó Win 12%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentino de Merlo1.25
Ituzaingó0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
WWDLW
29 GF / 31 GA
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
WLDWL
18 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
0.6
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
10
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo 30 matches
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó 30 matches
Argentino de Merlo Statistic Ituzaingó
10 Wins 1
8 Draws 9
12 Losses 20
29 Goals For 18
31 Goals Against 50
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
10 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 21
9 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 7
14 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ituzaingó having the stronger overall control. Argentino de Merlo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 13 with 35 points compared to Ituzaingó in 22 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Argentino de Merlo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ituzaingó.

Argentino de Merlo Analysis

With 35 points from 28 games and a place of 13, Argentino de Merlo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 27:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ituzaingó Analysis

With 12 points from 28 games and a place of 22, Ituzaingó still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 9 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 18:45, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Argentino de Merlo won 4 times, Ituzaingó won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from Argentino de Merlo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Argentino de Merlo wins 4, draws 5, Ituzaingó wins 2

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 20 8 7 54:28 26 68
W W L W W
2 35 18 12 5 47:22 25 66
W W W W D
3 35 17 12 6 41:22 19 63
L W D W D
4 35 18 9 8 37:19 18 63
L W W D L
5 35 16 12 7 35:20 15 60
L L D D W
6 35 16 10 9 41:27 14 58
L W W L L
7 35 15 10 10 38:34 4 55
W L D W W
8 35 14 9 12 36:37 -1 51
W D W L L
9 35 13 11 11 36:33 3 50
D W W L W
10 35 12 12 11 42:45 -3 48
D D D W L
11 35 10 14 11 33:36 -3 44
W D L W L
12 35 10 13 12 38:38 0 43
L L W W D
13 35 10 11 14 30:35 -5 41
L L D L D
14 35 9 13 13 35:39 -4 40
D D L W W
15 35 9 13 13 29:35 -6 40
W D D W L
16 35 9 13 13 29:36 -7 40
W L L L L
17 35 9 13 13 34:49 -15 40
L D L L D
18 35 10 8 17 31:43 -12 38
W L W L W
19 35 8 13 14 31:36 -5 37
W D D W W
20 35 7 13 15 21:37 -16 34
L D D L D
21 35 4 19 12 17:31 -14 31
L W L L D
22 35 1 12 22 22:55 -33 15
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)