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10.10.2026 17:30
Stadio Città di Arezzo
Referee: Andrea Zanotti, Italy
Arezzo
Match Timeline
Cremonese
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
48'
Alberto Cerri
Arezzo
🔄
55'
Marco Nasti ↔ Tommaso Berti
Cremonese
🔄
55'
Michele Collocolo ↔ Tommaso Barbieri
Cremonese
🟨
57'
Giuseppe Pezzella
Cremonese
🟨
59'
Giuseppe Pezzella
Cremonese
🟥
59'
Giuseppe Pezzella
Cremonese
🔄
62'
Kevin Leone ↔ Camillo Tavernelli
Arezzo
🔄
62'
Alberto Cerri ↔ Leonardo Mancuso
Arezzo
🔄
62'
Emiliano Pattarello ↔ Alessandro Arena
Arezzo
🔄
68'
Alberto Grassi ↔ Adin Ličina
Cremonese
🔄
68'
Jari Vandeputte ↔ Simone Lottici Tessadri
Cremonese
🔄
76'
Luca Chierico ↔ Eklu Shaka Mawuli
Arezzo
🔄
76'
Salvatore Elia ↔ Manuel De Luca
Cremonese
🔄
78'
Mattia Sala ↔ Pietro Cianci
Arezzo
🟨
81'
Andrea Fulignati
Cremonese
🟨
89'
Alessandro Arena
Arezzo

Arezzo vs Cremonese Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Arezzo Win 30.5%
Draw 9.8%
Cremonese Win 59.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arezzo1.07
Cremonese1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arezzo Arezzo
L L W L L
4 GF / 14 GA
Cremonese Cremonese
W W D D W
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
8
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
5
2.43
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arezzo Arezzo 13 matches
Cremonese Cremonese 12 matches
Arezzo Statistic Cremonese
4 Wins 6
2 Draws 4
7 Losses 2
16 Goals For 18
25 Goals Against 10
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
8 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 4
2.43 Shots On Goal 4.29
11.43 Total Shots 11.86
4 Corners 4.71
37.7% Ball Possession 56.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cremonese. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arezzo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cremonese in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cremonese having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Arezzo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Arezzo Analysis

With 6 points from 5 games and a place of 12, Arezzo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Cianci (1 goals), C. Tavernelli (1 goals), L. Mancuso (1 goals), with creative support from P. Cianci (1 assists), C. Tavernelli (1 assists), A. Arena (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cremonese Analysis

Cremonese sit 15 with 5 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with a 5:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Bonazzoli (3 goals), Adin Ličina (1 goals), M. Collocolo (1 goals), with creative support from F. Bonazzoli (1 assists), Adin Ličina (1 assists), S. Luperto (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Arezzo won 0 times, Cremonese won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:8 from Arezzo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: Arezzo 4-3-3 / Cremonese 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arezzo wins 0, draws 0, Cremonese wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 18:8 10 22
W W W W D
2 9 6 1 2 17:9 8 19
W W L W W
3 9 5 3 1 16:6 10 18
W W D D W
4 9 5 2 2 14:10 4 17
L W L W D
5 9 4 3 2 14:8 6 15
D W D W W
6 8 4 2 2 15:10 5 14
D W W D L
7 9 4 1 4 9:10 -1 13
W W L L L
8 9 3 4 2 10:9 1 13
L D L D W
9 9 3 3 3 13:10 3 12
D L D W L
10 9 2 5 2 10:13 -3 11
W L D L D
11 9 2 4 3 11:10 1 10
D L W D D
12 8 3 1 4 8:17 -9 10
L W D L W
13 8 2 3 3 15:13 2 9
D D L W L
14 9 2 3 4 8:11 -3 9
W L L D D
15 9 2 3 4 12:17 -5 9
L W D L L
16 8 3 3 2 9:8 1 8
W W D D D
17 9 2 1 6 8:15 -7 7
L L D L L
18 8 2 1 5 7:9 -2 7
L W W L L
19 9 1 2 6 8:18 -10 5
L D L L W
20 9 1 2 6 10:21 -11 5
D L D L L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation