MACEDONIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Aresimi
Match Timeline
Struga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
A. Zendelovski
Struga
🔄
46'
F. Rochi ↔ B. Ilievski
Struga
46'
A. Besagic
Aresimi
🔄
58'
V. Islami ↔ D. Siljanovski
Aresimi
🔄
60'
B. Shabani ↔ S. Jevtoski
Struga
🔄
63'
A. Ramadani ↔ F. Jusufi
Aresimi
🔄
63'
S. Olatunbosun ↔ M. Huric
Aresimi
🔄
71'
P. Fall ↔ V. Kocoski
Struga
🔄
71'
A. Zendelovski ↔ K. Mazoulouxis
Struga
🔄
74'
↔ B. Redjepi
Aresimi
🔄
74'
M. Goni ↔ R. Alii
Aresimi
🟨
90+3'
B. Redjepi
Aresimi
🟨
90+4'
A. Rochi
Struga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aresimi Win 35.6%
Draw 9.1%
Struga Win 55.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aresimi1.25
Struga1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aresimi Aresimi
WWDLW
49 GF / 53 GA
Struga Struga
WLDWL
68 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
2.13
1.66
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
17
BTTS Yes
13
18
Over 2.5
18
0.5
Shots on Goal
0.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aresimi Aresimi 32 matches
Struga Struga 32 matches
Aresimi Statistic Struga
12 Wins 19
7 Draws 5
13 Losses 8
49 Goals For 68
53 Goals Against 27
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
1.66 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
17 BTTS Yes 13
24 Over 1.5 28
18 Over 2.5 18
13 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 16
8 Failed To Score 4
0.5 Shots On Goal 0.75
1.75 Total Shots 2.75
0.25 Corners 2
11.5% Ball Possession 15.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Struga's more proactive style and Aresimi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Struga. Struga arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Struga carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 62 points while Aresimi sit 6 on 43, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Struga having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Aresimi Analysis

From their first 32 matches, Aresimi have collected 43 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 49:53 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Shefiti (11 goals), A. Taipi (6 goals), A. Besagic (5 goals), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Struga Analysis

Struga approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 62 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 19 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 68:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Compaore (17 goals), H. Maleski (16 goals), M. Radeski (8 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Aresimi won 1 times, Struga won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:12 from Aresimi's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91%)
H2H summary: Aresimi wins 1, draws 0, Struga wins 3

Lineups

Aresimi
Formation
Struga
V. Islami
V. Islami
X. Avduli
X. Avduli
M. Goni
M. Goni
A. Cuculi
A. Cuculi
R. Selmani
R. Selmani
A. Gafuri
A. Gafuri
A. Ramadani
A. Ramadani
M. Dardhishta
M. Dardhishta
S. Olatunbosun
S. Olatunbosun
B. Velija
B. Velija
A. Besagic
A. Besagic
M. Angeletti
M. Angeletti
A. Rochi
A. Rochi
G. Mici
G. Mici
A. Zendelovski
A. Zendelovski
B. Bojku
B. Bojku
B. Shabani
B. Shabani
F. Rochi
F. Rochi
M. Radeski
M. Radeski
P. Fall
P. Fall
M. Hamza
M. Hamza
H. Maleski
H. Maleski
Aresimi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
V. Islami
↓ 58'
3
X. Avduli
5
M. Goni
↓ 74'
6
A. Cuculi
7
R. Selmani
10
A. Gafuri
11
A. Ramadani
↓ 63'
16
M. Dardhishta
17
S. Olatunbosun
↓ 63'
23
B. Velija
88
A. Besagic
⚽ 46'
Substitutes
12
A. Ismaili
99
D. Siljanovski
↑ 58'
2
S. Dzemaili
4
S. Mustafa
8
B. Redjepi
↑ 74' 🟨 90+3'
9
F. Bayo
15
F. Jusufi
↑ 63'
18
R. Alii
↑ 74'
20
M. Huric
↑ 63'
21
A. Aliti
33
X. Abdulla
Struga 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Angeletti
2
A. Rochi
🟨 90+4'
6
G. Mici
8
A. Zendelovski
↓ 71' 🟨 18'
10
B. Bojku
11
B. Shabani
↓ 60'
13
F. Rochi
↓ 46'
14
M. Radeski
17
P. Fall
↓ 71'
27
M. Hamza
29
H. Maleski
Substitutes
44
V. Vasilev
5
B. Ilievski
↑ 46'
7
A. Vosha
20
A. Aliji
22
T. Demishoski
33
B. Compaore
45
S. Jevtoski
↑ 60'
77
V. Kocoski
↑ 71'
88
K. Mazoulouxis
↑ 71'
94
L. Diako
Last matches: Aresimi
16.07.26
Fri
Aresimi
Kamjani
4
2
W
08.07.26
Fri
Aresimi
Struga
0
6
L
04.07.26
Fri
Aresimi
Shkëndija Haraçinë
1
1
D
15.05.26
Fir
Aresimi
Sileks
1
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Fir
Aresimi
Tikveš
1
1
D
24.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
Shkupi 1927
5
1
W
19.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
FK Rabotnicki
0
2
L
14.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
Pelister
1
0
W
09.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
Makedonija GjP
1
0
W
03.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
Akademija Pandev
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Vardar Skopje
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Shkendija
0
1
L
10.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
FK Rabotnicki
0
1
L
04.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Tikveš
0
5
L
01.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Makedonija GjP
1
1
D
22.02.26
Fir
Aresimi
Shkupi 1927
3
0
W
16.02.26
Fir
Aresimi
Akademija Pandev
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fir
Aresimi
Vardar Skopje
1
5
L
04.02.26
Fri
Aresimi
Shkupi 1927
1
0
W
Last matches: Struga
17.07.26
Fri
Struga
Skenderbeu Korce
1
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Struga
Aresimi
6
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Struga
Dinamo Tirana
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
Struga
Dinamo Tirana
2
3
L
15.05.26
Fir
Struga
Vardar Skopje
0
1
L
09.05.26
Fir
Struga
Shkendija
1
3
L
03.05.26
Fir
Struga
Akademija Pandev
0
1
L
27.04.26
Fir
Struga
Sileks
2
0
W
19.04.26
Fir
Struga
Bashkimi Kumanovo
4
0
W
13.04.26
Fir
Struga
Tikveš
1
2
L
09.04.26
Fir
Struga
Shkupi 1927
3
0
W
05.04.26
Fir
Struga
FK Rabotnicki
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Struga
Pogradeci
0
0
D
22.03.26
Fir
Struga
Pelister
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fir
Struga
Makedonija GjP
3
0
W
07.03.26
Fir
Struga
Shkupi 1927
5
0
W
03.03.26
Fir
Struga
Akademija Pandev
0
0
D
28.02.26
Fir
Struga
Vardar Skopje
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fir
Struga
Pelister
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fir
Struga
Sileks
2
3
L
H2H: Aresimi vs Struga
08.07.26
H2H
Struga
Aresimi
6
0
L
23.05.26
H2H
Aresimi
Struga
1
0
W
08.11.25
H2H
Struga
Aresimi
4
0
L
15.08.25
H2H
Aresimi
Struga
1
2
L
Last matches: Aresimi
10.05.26
Fir
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
1
D
24.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
Shkupi 1927
5
1
W
14.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
Pelister
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Vardar Skopje
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Tikveš
0
5
L
01.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Makedonija GjP
1
1
D
16.02.26
Fir
Aresimi
Akademija Pandev
0
2
L
04.02.26
Fri
Aresimi
Shkupi 1927
1
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
Aresimi
Kozuv Gevgelija
3
0
W
08.12.25
Fir
Aresimi
Pelister
3
3
D
23.11.25
Fir
Aresimi
Shkendija
3
0
W
03.11.25
Fir
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
4
2
W
29.10.25
Fir
Aresimi
FK Rabotnicki
2
2
D
27.09.25
Fir
Aresimi
Shkupi 1927
4
2
W
18.09.25
Fir
Aresimi
Vardar Skopje
1
4
L
30.08.25
Fir
Aresimi
Sileks
0
1
L
15.08.25
Fir
Aresimi
Struga
1
2
L
H2H at home: Aresimi
23.05.26
H2H
Aresimi
Struga
1
0
W
15.08.25
H2H
Aresimi
Struga
1
2
L
Last matches: Struga
17.07.26
Fri
Struga
Skenderbeu Korce
1
0
W
09.05.26
Fir
Struga
Shkendija
1
3
L
19.04.26
Fir
Struga
Bashkimi Kumanovo
4
0
W
09.04.26
Fir
Struga
Shkupi 1927
3
0
W
22.03.26
Fir
Struga
Pelister
2
0
W
03.03.26
Fir
Struga
Akademija Pandev
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Struga
Pelister
1
1
D
10.02.26
Fir
Struga
Shkendija
0
2
L
30.01.26
Fri
Struga
FC Sochi
1
2
L
26.01.26
Fri
Struga
Rubin
0
2
L
22.01.26
Fri
Struga
Pakhtakor
1
1
D
05.12.25
Fir
Struga
Tikveš
1
0
W
24.11.25
Fir
Struga
FK Rabotnicki
3
1
W
04.11.25
Fir
Struga
Makedonija GjP
2
0
W
30.10.25
Fir
Struga
Shkupi 1927
2
1
W
05.10.25
Fir
Struga
Vardar Skopje
2
2
D
22.09.25
Fir
Struga
Sileks
3
1
W
30.08.25
Fir
Struga
Bashkimi Kumanovo
5
0
W
15.08.25
Fir
Struga
Aresimi
2
1
W
H2H away: Struga
23.05.26
H2H
Aresimi
Struga
1
0
L
15.08.25
H2H
Aresimi
Struga
1
2
W

Standings

1. MFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 26 5 2 80:21 59 83
W W W W W
2 33 23 5 5 67:30 37 74
L W W D L
3 33 19 5 9 68:28 40 62
L L L L W
4 33 16 5 12 59:36 23 53
L L L D L
5 33 14 6 13 59:47 12 48
W D W D L
6 33 13 7 13 50:53 -3 46
W W D D W
7 33 11 9 13 40:54 -14 42
L D D L W
8 33 10 10 13 41:42 -1 40
D W D W D
9 33 10 10 13 46:56 -10 40
L W L D W
10 33 9 7 17 42:57 -15 34
W D L W W
11 33 9 6 18 45:58 -13 33
L W D D L
12 33 0 1 32 15:130 -115 1
L L L L L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation