INDONESIA LIGA 1
--.--.---- --:--
Kanjuruhan Stadium
Referee: M. Iqballuddin
Arema FC
Match Timeline
PSM Makassar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Dalberto
Arema FC
🟨
16'
V. Dethan
PSM Makassar
🟨
27'
J. Guevara
Arema FC
🟨
39'
A. Fikri
Arema FC
🔄
46'
A. Fikri ↔ J. Hariono
Arema FC
🔄
46'
M. Arfan ↔ A. Raehan
PSM Makassar
53'
Gabriel Silva · Assist: Matheus Blade
Arema FC
🔄
64'
Matheus Blade ↔ Walisson Maia
Arema FC
🔄
64'
A. Tanjung ↔ R. Bakri
PSM Makassar
🔄
64'
Alex Tanque ↔ J. Medina Themopole
PSM Makassar
69'
Joel Vinicius · Assist: Dalberto
Arema FC
🔄
74'
J. Guevara ↔ Gustavo Franca
Arema FC
🔄
76'
V. Dethan ↔ A. Rahaman
PSM Makassar
🔄
83'
R. Pratama ↔ F. Aditia
PSM Makassar
🟨
85'
Walisson Maia
Arema FC
🔄
89'
H. Yama ↔ S. G. Balinsa
Arema FC
🔄
89'
Gabriel Silva ↔ D. Santoso
Arema FC
🟨
90+5'
S. G. Balinsa
Arema FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Arema FC Win 69.4%
Draw 0%
PSM Makassar Win 30.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arema FC1.35
PSM Makassar1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arema FC Arema FC
WWDLW
42 GF / 44 GA
PSM Makassar PSM Makassar
WLDWL
38 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
20
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arema FC Arema FC 31 matches
PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 31 matches
Arema FC Statistic PSM Makassar
10 Wins 8
9 Draws 10
12 Losses 13
42 Goals For 38
44 Goals Against 42
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
20 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward PSM Makassar. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward PSM Makassar having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Arema FC Analysis

Arema FC sit 10 with 39 points after 31 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 42:44 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Dalberto (15 goals), Gabriel Silva (4 goals), Valdeci (4 goals), with creative support from Dalberto (4 assists), A. Farisi (4 assists), Paulinho Moccelin (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

PSM Makassar Analysis

PSM Makassar are currently 13 in the standings with 34 points from 31 matches. The record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 38:42 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alex (5 goals), Savio Roberto (4 goals), Y. Fernandes (4 goals), with creative support from Victor Luiz (9 assists), J. Medina Themopole (2 assists), A. Raehan (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Arema FC won 6 times, PSM Makassar won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Arema FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Arema FC wins 6, draws 2, PSM Makassar wins 5

Lineups

Arema FC
Formation
PSM Makassar
Lucas Frigeri
Lucas Frigeri
R. Fahmi
R. Fahmi
J. Guevara
J. Guevara
H. Yama
H. Yama
A. Farisi
A. Farisi
A. Fikri
A. Fikri
Betinho
Betinho
Matheus Blade
🎯
Matheus Blade
Gabriel Silva
Gabriel Silva
Joel Vinicius
Joel Vinicius
Dalberto
🎯
Dalberto
Hilmansyah
Hilmansyah
M. Hidayat
M. Hidayat
D. Lagator
D. Lagator
Y. Fernandes
Y. Fernandes
Savio Roberto
Savio Roberto
Aloisio Neto
Aloisio Neto
V. Dethan
V. Dethan
M. Arfan
M. Arfan
A. Tanjung
A. Tanjung
R. Pratama
R. Pratama
Alex Tanque
Alex Tanque
Arema FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
Lucas Frigeri
2
R. Fahmi
6
J. Guevara
↓ 74' 🟨 27'
66
H. Yama
↓ 89'
87
A. Farisi
8
A. Fikri
↓ 46' 🟨 39'
28
Betinho
25
Matheus Blade
🎯 53' ↓ 64'
7
Gabriel Silva
⚽ 53' ↓ 89'
9
Joel Vinicius
⚽ 69'
94
Dalberto
⚽ 10' 🎯 69'
Substitutes
4
L. Guntara
96
M. Iksan
5
Walisson Maia
↑ 64' 🟨 85'
72
B. Setiawan
13
S. G. Balinsa
↑ 89' 🟨 90+5'
14
J. Hariono
↑ 46'
77
Gustavo Franca
↑ 74'
17
D. Mardiyanto
41
D. Santoso
↑ 89'
27
D. Setiawan
11
S. Tuharea
18
G. Pandenuwu
PSM Makassar 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
97
Hilmansyah
71
M. Hidayat
94
D. Lagator
4
Y. Fernandes
8
Savio Roberto
2
Aloisio Neto
7
V. Dethan
↓ 76' 🟨 16'
48
M. Arfan
↓ 46'
45
A. Tanjung
↓ 64'
24
R. Pratama
↓ 83'
9
Alex Tanque
↓ 64'
Substitutes
30
R. Arya
13
S. Lasinari
19
K. Amrullah
17
R. Bakri
↑ 64'
88
A. Raehan
↑ 46'
6
R. Fandi
29
F. Aditia
↑ 83'
98
J. Medina Themopole
↑ 64'
18
G. Pagamo
15
R. Pratama
81
A. Rahaman
↑ 76'
10
D. Sakai
Last matches: Arema FC
22.05.26
Lig
Arema FC
PSIM Yogyakarta
3
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
Arema FC
PSBS Biak Numfor
5
2
W
03.05.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persik Kediri
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
0
4
L
24.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persib Bandung
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persis Solo
2
0
W
10.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persita
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Malut United
1
1
D
10.03.26
Lig
Arema FC
Bhayangkara FC
1
2
L
06.03.26
Lig
Arema FC
Bali United
3
4
L
26.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Pusamania Borneo
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persepam Madura Utd
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Semen Padang
3
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persija
2
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persijap
1
0
W
26.01.26
Lig
Arema FC
Dewa United
0
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persik Kediri
2
1
W
04.01.26
Lig
Arema FC
Bali United
0
1
L
30.12.25
Lig
Arema FC
Persita
0
1
L
23.12.25
Lig
Arema FC
Persepam Madura Utd
2
2
D
Last matches: PSM Makassar
23.05.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persepam Madura Utd
0
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persib Bandung
1
2
L
04.05.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Bhayangkara FC
2
1
W
27.04.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Bali United
0
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persik Kediri
3
1
W
18.04.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Pusamania Borneo
1
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
PSIM Yogyakarta
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persis Solo
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Malut United
3
3
D
02.03.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persita
2
4
L
25.02.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persebaya Surabaya
0
1
L
20.02.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persija
1
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Dewa United
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
PSBS Biak Numfor
2
1
W
02.02.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Semen Padang
0
0
D
24.01.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persijap
0
2
L
09.01.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Bali United
0
2
L
03.01.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Pusamania Borneo
1
2
L
27.12.25
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persib Bandung
0
1
L
21.12.25
Lig
PSM Makassar
Malut United
0
1
L
H2H: Arema FC vs PSM Makassar
09.05.26
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
3
0
W
19.10.25
H2H
PSM Makassar
Arema FC
1
2
W
10.02.25
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
1
1
D
15.09.24
H2H
PSM Makassar
Arema FC
0
1
W
25.04.24
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
3
2
W
20.10.23
H2H
PSM Makassar
Arema FC
3
0
L
04.02.23
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
0
1
L
20.08.22
H2H
PSM Makassar
Arema FC
1
0
L
11.06.22
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
0
1
L
30.03.22
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
1
0
W
05.09.21
H2H
PSM Makassar
Arema FC
1
1
D
28.02.21
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
0
0
D
04.12.20
H2H
PSM Makassar
Arema FC
0
0
D
16.10.19
H2H
PSM Makassar
Arema FC
6
2
L
02.10.19
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
2
0
W
Last matches: Arema FC
22.05.26
Lig
Arema FC
PSIM Yogyakarta
3
1
W
28.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
0
4
L
18.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persis Solo
2
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
Arema FC
Malut United
1
1
D
06.03.26
Lig
Arema FC
Bali United
3
4
L
15.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Semen Padang
3
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persijap
1
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
Arema FC
Persik Kediri
2
1
W
30.12.25
Lig
Arema FC
Persita
0
1
L
23.12.25
Lig
Arema FC
Persepam Madura Utd
2
2
D
08.11.25
Lig
Arema FC
Persija
1
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Arema FC
Pusamania Borneo
1
3
L
22.09.25
Lig
Arema FC
Persib Bandung
1
2
L
13.09.25
Lig
Arema FC
Dewa United
1
2
L
22.08.25
Lig
Arema FC
Bhayangkara FC
2
1
W
11.08.25
Lig
Arema FC
PSBS Biak Numfor
4
1
W
H2H at home: Arema FC
09.05.26
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
3
0
W
10.02.25
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
1
1
D
25.04.24
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
3
2
W
04.02.23
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
0
1
L
11.06.22
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
0
1
L
30.03.22
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
1
0
W
28.02.21
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
0
0
D
02.10.19
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
2
0
W
Last matches: PSM Makassar
23.05.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persepam Madura Utd
0
2
L
27.04.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Bali United
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
PSIM Yogyakarta
2
1
W
07.03.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Malut United
3
3
D
25.02.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persebaya Surabaya
0
1
L
20.02.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persija
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
PSBS Biak Numfor
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persijap
0
2
L
03.01.26
Lig
PSM Makassar
Pusamania Borneo
1
2
L
27.12.25
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persib Bandung
0
1
L
29.11.25
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persis Solo
4
3
W
09.11.25
Lig
PSM Makassar
Dewa United
1
0
W
25.10.25
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persik Kediri
1
1
D
11.09.25
Lig
PSM Makassar
Persita
1
2
L
22.08.25
Lig
PSM Makassar
Semen Padang
1
1
D
16.08.25
Lig
PSM Makassar
Bhayangkara FC
1
1
D
H2H away: PSM Makassar
09.05.26
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
3
0
L
10.02.25
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
1
1
D
25.04.24
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
3
2
L
04.02.23
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
0
1
W
11.06.22
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
0
1
W
30.03.22
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
1
0
L
28.02.21
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
0
0
D
02.10.19
H2H
Arema FC
PSM Makassar
2
0
L

Standings

Indonesia Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 7 3 59:22 37 79
D W W W W
2 34 25 4 5 74:31 43 79
W D W W W
3 34 22 5 7 65:29 36 71
W W L W W
4 34 16 10 8 61:35 26 58
W W D W W
5 34 16 5 13 53:45 8 53
W L W L L
6 34 15 8 11 68:53 15 53
L D L W W
7 34 16 5 13 44:37 7 53
L L W W W
8 34 14 9 11 57:48 9 51
W W L L W
9 34 13 9 12 53:47 6 48
W W W L L
10 34 13 6 15 38:37 1 45
L D L L W
11 34 11 12 11 43:44 -1 45
L W W L L
12 34 11 6 17 42:61 -19 39
L L W W L
13 34 9 9 16 31:45 -14 36
D D W L L
14 34 9 8 17 37:54 -17 35
W L L W W
15 34 8 10 16 39:49 -10 34
L L L W L
16 34 8 10 16 39:59 -20 34
W W D L L
17 34 5 5 24 22:65 -43 20
L L L L L
18 34 4 6 24 31:95 -64 18
L L L L L
Champions League 2
Challenge League
Relegation