Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arda Kardzhali
37 matches
Cherno More Varna
33 matches
| Arda Kardzhali | Statistic | Cherno More Varna |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 12 |
| 10 | Draws | 11 |
| 13 | Losses | 10 |
| 39 | Goals For | 34 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 17 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3.12 | Shots On Goal | 2.48 |
| 7.56 | Total Shots | 6.55 |
| 2.74 | Corners | 3.06 |
| 36.8% | Ball Possession | 31.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cherno More Varna. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arda Kardzhali expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cherno More Varna in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cherno More Varna having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cherno More Varna arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Arda Kardzhali are currently 7 in the standings with 44 points from 31 matches. The record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 33:29 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Karagaren (7 goals), A. Vutov (4 goals), Dimitar Velkovski (3 goals), with creative support from Svetoslav Kovachev (4 assists), L. Kotev (4 assists), B. Karagaren (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
With 47 points from 31 games and a place of 5, Cherno More Varna still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 34:26, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Lazarov (8 goals), Nikolay Zlatev (5 goals), C. Sidney (4 goals), with creative support from A. Donchev (4 assists), C. Sidney (3 assists), V. Panayotov (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arda Kardzhali won 3 times, Cherno More Varna won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Arda Kardzhali's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
4
3
9
3
Lineups
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
Beitar Jerusalem
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Rilski Sportist
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Dobrudzha
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Beroe
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
Dunav Ruse
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
Farul Constanta
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Pleven
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Cherno More Varna
Yantra 2019
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Levski Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Montana
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
Arda Kardzhali
Beitar Jerusalem
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
Dobrudzha
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Slavia Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Neftchi
Arda Kardzhali
FC UFA
Arda Kardzhali
Levski Karlovo
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
CSKA 1948
Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
CSKA Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
Raków Częstochowa
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
Farul Constanta
Cherno More Varna
Yantra 2019
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
Levski Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Cherno More Varna
Farul Constanta
Cherno More Varna
Beroe
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Montana
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Varna
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 64:22 | 42 | 70 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 60 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 50:31 | 19 | 59 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 46 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Cherno More Varna
Away
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 44 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 7 |
Arda Kardzhali
Home
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:27 | 6 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 40 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 39 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:26 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 37 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 25:50 | -25 | 27 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 26 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 15:45 | -30 | 17 |
D
L
L
L
L
|