BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
31.08.2026 18:15
Arena Arda
Referee: Vasil Minev, Bulgaria
Arda Kardzhali
Match Timeline
Botev Vratsa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
57'
Ivan Goranov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
58'
M. Petkov ↔ D. Genov
Botev Vratsa
🟨
59'
Martin Smolenski
Botev Vratsa
60'
D. Yankov · Assist: V. Popov
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
70'
A. Kichukov ↔ R. Tsonev
Botev Vratsa
🔄
70'
M. Smolenski ↔ A. Buchkov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
71'
D. Yankov ↔ D. Idowu
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
71'
P. Bachev ↔ G. Nikolov
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
71'
J. Gallegos ↔ V. Naydenov
Botev Vratsa
🟨
75'
Preslav Borukov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
79'
K. Hadji ↔ F. Gigov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
81'
S. Ivanov ↔ A. Vutov
Arda Kardzhali
🟨
82'
Aleksandar Buchkov
Botev Vratsa
85'
A. Vutov
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
86'
S. Kovachev ↔ M. Paskalev
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
87'
B. Karagaren ↔ S. Vasilev
Arda Kardzhali

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.1%
Odds 1.51
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.29
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.1%
1.51
BTTS Yes
63.2%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.29
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.59
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.18
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Arda Kardzhali Win 76.1%
Draw 4.8%
Botev Vratsa Win 19.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arda Kardzhali1.39
Botev Vratsa0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
WWDLW
21 GF / 13 GA
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
WLDWL
14 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 16 matches
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 14 matches
Arda Kardzhali Statistic Botev Vratsa
8 Wins 3
4 Draws 7
4 Losses 4
21 Goals For 14
13 Goals Against 21
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Arda Kardzhali's more proactive style and Botev Vratsa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botev Vratsa. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Arda Kardzhali arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 10 points compared to Botev Vratsa in 14 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Botev Vratsa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Arda Kardzhali Analysis

Arda Kardzhali come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 10 points after 5 matches. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 8:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Botev Vratsa Analysis

With 1 points from 5 games and a place of 14, Botev Vratsa still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 3:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Arda Kardzhali won 7 times, Botev Vratsa won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:15 from Arda Kardzhali's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Arda Kardzhali 4-2-3-1 / Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arda Kardzhali wins 7, draws 3, Botev Vratsa wins 4

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
D W W W W
2 9 7 2 0 16:7 9 23
W W D D W
3 8 6 2 0 21:6 15 20
W D W W W
4 9 6 1 2 17:9 8 19
W L W L W
5 9 5 1 3 14:11 3 16
L L W W W
6 9 4 1 4 13:14 -1 13
W W L L L
7 9 2 5 2 8:6 2 11
D W L D D
8 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 10
D D D L L
9 9 2 2 5 7:17 -10 8
D W L W L
10 9 2 2 5 8:15 -7 8
L L D W W
11 9 2 0 7 4:12 -8 6
L W L L L
12 9 1 2 6 10:19 -9 5
D L L W L
13 8 0 4 4 10:16 -6 4
D L D L L
14 9 1 1 7 8:17 -9 4
L L D L W
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