Ararat-Armenia
Match Timeline
Riga
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
1 agree /
0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
62.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Ararat-Armenia Win 32.9%
Draw 4.3%
Riga Win 62.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ararat-Armenia1.34
Riga2.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ararat-Armenia
WWDLW
14 GF / 9 GA
Riga
WLDWL
79 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
2.72
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
18
3
Over 2.5
24
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ararat-Armenia
9 matches
Riga
29 matches
| Ararat-Armenia | Statistic | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 21 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 14 | Goals For | 79 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.72 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ararat-Armenia won 1 times, Riga won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Ararat-Armenia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Ararat-Armenia 4-3-3 / Riga 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Ararat-Armenia wins 1, draws 0, Riga wins 1
Lineups
Ararat-Armenia
Formation
Riga
Joao Bravim
K. Hovhannisyan
Junior Julio
A. Malis
E. Grigoryan
H. Oliveira
A. Tera
K. Muradyan
A. Serobyan
Sandro Lima
Z. Shaghoyan
F. Orols
Paulo Eduardo
K. Wassom
B. Musah
A. Salazar
R. Jurkovskis
A. Ankrah
O. Galo
S. Oulad M'Hand
R. Aouani
M. Badamosi
Ararat-Armenia
4-3-3
Starting XI
98
Joao Bravim
13
K. Hovhannisyan
D
3
Junior Julio
47
A. Malis
D
↓ 44'
16
E. Grigoryan
D
🎯 86'
2
H. Oliveira
D
⚽ 63'
20
A. Tera
M
↓ 72'
19
K. Muradyan
M
🎯 63'
77
A. Serobyan
M
↓ 88'
91
Sandro Lima
F
↓ 72'
7
Z. Shaghoyan
M
↓ 73'
Substitutes
1
A. Nersesyan
G
5
Luis Felipe
D
6
M. Ayvazyan
M
9
A. Eloyan
F
10
A. Ambartsumyan
M
↑ 72'
11
Z. Banjaqui
M
↑ 88'
14
B. Pereira
D
17
M. Carlier
M
25
A. Ndour
F
↑ 72'
43
B. R. Wilson Valdez
D
↑ 44'
90
P. Ayongo
F
95
Franca Carlos
M
⚽ 86'
↑ 73'
Riga
4-3-2-1
Starting XI
91
F. Orols
G
🟥 72'
33
Paulo Eduardo
D
5
K. Wassom
D
21
B. Musah
D
17
A. Salazar
D
13
R. Jurkovskis
D
40
A. Ankrah
M
4
O. Galo
M
↓ 90+5'
18
S. Oulad M'Hand
M
↓ 86'
🟨 68'
7
R. Aouani
M
↓ 76'
19
M. Badamosi
F
↓ 86'
🟨 54'
Substitutes
1
K. Zviedris
G
↑ 76'
44
M. Kazainis
G
3
Abner
D
8
Iago Siqueira
M
↑ 90+5'
10
Reginaldo Ramires
F
↑ 86'
22
M. Diop
↑ 86'
23
M. Tonisevs
D
25
A. Taiwo
F
70
Juan Christian
F
99
Caio Ferreira
F
Last matches: Ararat-Armenia
28.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
21.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock Rovers
2
0
W
14.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
2
3
L
27.06.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Vojvodina
1
1
D
20.06.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Mura
1
1
D
27.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
3
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Noah
0
4
L
06.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat
4
0
W
20.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
4
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
HIK
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Hørsholm-Usserød
4
1
W
Last matches: Riga
28.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
5
2
W
22.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
3
2
W
18.07.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
3
2
W
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
H2H: Ararat-Armenia vs Riga
14.07.26
H2H
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
3
2
L
07.07.26
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
2
0
W
Last matches: Ararat-Armenia
21.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock Rovers
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Vojvodina
1
1
D
20.06.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Mura
1
1
D
27.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Noah
0
4
L
06.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat
4
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
3
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
HIK
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Hørsholm-Usserød
4
1
W
01.12.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
4
1
W
08.11.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
25.09.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Noah
2
2
D
30.08.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat
4
2
W
14.08.25
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
H2H at home: Ararat-Armenia
07.07.26
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
2
0
W
Last matches: Riga
22.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
3
2
W
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
8
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Riga
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
1
W
07.03.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.02.26
Fri
Riga
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Riga
Dubai United
2
1
W
21.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
0
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
1
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Riga
Dila
3
3
D
H2H away: Riga
07.07.26
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
2
0
L