ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Football Academy Stadium
Ararat-Armenia
Match Timeline
Gandzasar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
A. Tera
Ararat-Armenia
🟨
38'
T. Voskanyan
Gandzasar
42'
Z. Shaghoyan · Assist: H. Hakobyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
46'
A. Tera ↔ V. Makhsudyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
46'
A. Eloyan ↔ A. Ndour
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
46'
P. Avetisyan ↔ D. Davtyan
Gandzasar
🔄
46'
L. Petrosyan ↔ Michael Quarcoo
Gandzasar
🔄
59'
E. Lizalda ↔ B. Mani
Gandzasar
🔄
64'
A. Serobyan ↔ P. Ayongo
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
64'
Welton ↔ B. Arrassi
Ararat-Armenia
🟨
73'
J. Nobrega
Gandzasar
🔄
74'
J. Nobrega ↔ V. Hayrapetyan
Gandzasar
🔄
81'
Z. Shaghoyan ↔ E. Grigoryan
Ararat-Armenia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ararat-Armenia Win 78.1%
Draw 0%
Gandzasar Win 21.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ararat-Armenia1.68
Gandzasar0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
WWDLW
53 GF / 32 GA
Gandzasar Gandzasar
WLDWL
20 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
0.77
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
16
BTTS Yes
11
18
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 30 matches
Gandzasar Gandzasar 26 matches
Ararat-Armenia Statistic Gandzasar
18 Wins 5
7 Draws 6
5 Losses 15
53 Goals For 20
32 Goals Against 40
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
16 BTTS Yes 11
22 Over 1.5 16
18 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Ararat-Armenia's more proactive style and Gandzasar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gandzasar. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gandzasar having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ararat-Armenia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Ararat-Armenia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 57 points compared to Gandzasar in 8 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Ararat-Armenia Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 57 points from 26 games, Ararat-Armenia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 49:25, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Eloyan (7 goals), A. Serobyan (7 goals), H. Oliveira (6 goals), with creative support from Z. Shaghoyan (6 assists), A. Ambartsumyan (3 assists), K. Hovhannisyan (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Gandzasar Analysis

Gandzasar sit 8 with 21 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 20:40, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through B. Mani (3 goals), L. Andrioli Rodrigues (3 goals), P. Avetisyan (3 goals), with creative support from M. Ahouangbo (2 assists), L. Andrioli Rodrigues (1 assists), P. Avetisyan (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ararat-Armenia won 9 times, Gandzasar won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:6 from Ararat-Armenia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ararat-Armenia 4-3-3 / Gandzasar -
H2H summary: Ararat-Armenia wins 9, draws 3, Gandzasar wins 2

Lineups

Ararat-Armenia
Formation
Gandzasar
B. Pinto
B. Pinto
H. Oliveira
H. Oliveira
A. Malis
A. Malis
J. Queiros
J. Queiros
H. Hakobyan
🎯
H. Hakobyan
A. Tera
A. Tera
Welton
Welton
A. Serobyan
A. Serobyan
A. Ambartsumyan
A. Ambartsumyan
Z. Shaghoyan
Z. Shaghoyan
A. Eloyan
A. Eloyan
N. Lobusov
N. Lobusov
S. Obonde
S. Obonde
A. Khachatryan
A. Khachatryan
A. Mensah
A. Mensah
T. Voskanyan
T. Voskanyan
D. Malov
D. Malov
O. C. Emmanuel
O. C. Emmanuel
P. Avetisyan
P. Avetisyan
J. Nobrega
J. Nobrega
E. Lizalda
E. Lizalda
L. Petrosyan
L. Petrosyan
Ararat-Armenia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
24
B. Pinto
2
H. Oliveira
47
A. Malis
4
J. Queiros
5
H. Hakobyan
🎯 42'
20
A. Tera
↓ 46' 🟨 33'
88
Welton
↓ 64'
77
A. Serobyan
↓ 64'
10
A. Ambartsumyan
7
Z. Shaghoyan
⚽ 42' ↓ 81'
9
A. Eloyan
↓ 46'
Substitutes
12
S. Badalyan
19
K. Muradyan
16
E. Grigoryan
↑ 81'
13
K. Hovhannisyan
3
Junior Julio
36
V. Makhsudyan
↑ 46'
90
P. Ayongo
↑ 64'
33
B. Arrassi
↑ 64'
25
A. Ndour
↑ 46'
11
Z. Banjaqui
35
E. Poghosyan
D. Barseghyan
Gandzasar 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
N. Lobusov
20
S. Obonde
77
A. Khachatryan
15
A. Mensah
4
T. Voskanyan
🟨 38'
70
D. Malov
14
O. C. Emmanuel
9
P. Avetisyan
↓ 46'
79
J. Nobrega
↓ 74' 🟨 73'
21
E. Lizalda
↓ 59'
10
L. Petrosyan
↓ 46'
Substitutes
12
R. Manasyan
1
G. Matevosyan
33
V. Hayrapetyan
↑ 74'
7
B. Mani
↑ 59'
2
P. Manukyan
11
N. Alaverdyan
27
J. Ntolo
17
D. Davtyan
↑ 46'
88
A. J. Sabet
16
E. Poghosyan
47
F. Nkumba
38
Michael Quarcoo
↑ 46'
Last matches: Ararat-Armenia
21.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock Rovers
2
0
W
14.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
2
3
L
07.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Vojvodina
1
1
D
20.06.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Mura
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
3
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Noah
0
4
L
06.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat
4
0
W
20.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
4
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
HIK
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Hørsholm-Usserød
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Banga
2
0
W
Last matches: Gandzasar
11.07.26
Fri
Gandzasar
BKMA
0
2
L
18.05.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Alashkert
1
3
L
06.05.26
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Noah
1
4
L
02.05.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Van
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Shirak
3
2
W
19.04.26
Pre
Gandzasar
BKMA
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Noah
0
3
L
05.04.26
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Urartu
2
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Ararat
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Ararat
2
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Urartu
2
2
D
25.02.26
Fri
Gandzasar
Sardarapat
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Gandzasar
Van
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Gandzasar
Ararat
1
1
D
28.11.25
Pre
Gandzasar
BKMA
0
0
D
22.11.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Shirak
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Van
1
2
L
03.11.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Alashkert
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
H2H: Ararat-Armenia vs Gandzasar
27.05.26
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
19.10.25
H2H
Gandzasar
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
W
05.10.25
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
25.04.25
H2H
Gandzasar
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
W
21.11.24
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
3
0
W
14.09.24
H2H
Gandzasar
Ararat-Armenia
0
3
W
24.11.23
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
03.11.20
H2H
Gandzasar
Ararat-Armenia
0
0
D
23.08.20
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
1
D
21.10.19
H2H
Gandzasar
Ararat-Armenia
2
1
L
10.08.19
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
3
1
W
04.05.19
H2H
Gandzasar
Ararat-Armenia
2
1
L
09.03.19
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
2
0
W
27.10.18
H2H
Gandzasar
Ararat-Armenia
0
0
D
22.08.18
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
0
0
D
Last matches: Ararat-Armenia
21.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock Rovers
2
0
W
07.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Vojvodina
1
1
D
20.06.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Mura
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Noah
0
4
L
06.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat
4
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
3
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
HIK
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Hørsholm-Usserød
4
1
W
01.12.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
4
1
W
08.11.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
25.09.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Noah
2
2
D
30.08.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat
4
2
W
14.08.25
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
H2H at home: Ararat-Armenia
27.05.26
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
05.10.25
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
21.11.24
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
3
0
W
24.11.23
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
23.08.20
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
1
D
10.08.19
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
3
1
W
09.03.19
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
2
0
W
22.08.18
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
0
0
D
Last matches: Gandzasar
11.07.26
Fri
Gandzasar
BKMA
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Alashkert
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pre
Gandzasar
BKMA
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Urartu
2
4
L
14.03.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Ararat
2
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Gandzasar
Sardarapat
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Gandzasar
Van
0
0
D
22.11.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Shirak
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Van
1
2
L
25.10.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
05.10.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
21.09.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Alashkert
0
2
L
23.08.25
Pre
Gandzasar
BKMA
0
0
D
17.08.25
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Noah
1
4
L
09.08.25
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Urartu
0
1
L
H2H away: Gandzasar
27.05.26
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
L
05.10.25
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
L
21.11.24
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
3
0
L
24.11.23
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
L
23.08.20
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
1
D
10.08.19
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
3
1
L
09.03.19
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
2
0
L
22.08.18
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7 27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation