ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Football Academy Stadium
Ararat-Armenia
Match Timeline
Gandzasar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
A. Tera
Ararat-Armenia
🟨
38'
T. Voskanyan
Gandzasar
42'
Z. Shaghoyan · Assist: H. Hakobyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
46'
A. Tera ↔ V. Makhsudyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
46'
A. Eloyan ↔ A. Ndour
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
46'
P. Avetisyan ↔ D. Davtyan
Gandzasar
🔄
46'
L. Petrosyan ↔ Michael Quarcoo
Gandzasar
🔄
59'
E. Lizalda ↔ B. Mani
Gandzasar
🔄
64'
A. Serobyan ↔ P. Ayongo
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
64'
Welton ↔ B. Arrassi
Ararat-Armenia
🟨
73'
J. Nobrega
Gandzasar
🔄
74'
J. Nobrega ↔ V. Hayrapetyan
Gandzasar
🔄
81'
Z. Shaghoyan ↔ E. Grigoryan
Ararat-Armenia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ararat-Armenia Win 78.1%
Draw 0%
Gandzasar Win 21.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ararat-Armenia1.68
Gandzasar0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
WWDLW
53 GF / 32 GA
Gandzasar Gandzasar
WLDWL
20 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
0.77
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
16
BTTS Yes
11
18
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 30 matches
Gandzasar Gandzasar 26 matches
Ararat-Armenia Statistic Gandzasar
18 Wins 5
7 Draws 6
5 Losses 15
53 Goals For 20
32 Goals Against 40
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
16 BTTS Yes 11
22 Over 1.5 16
18 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Ararat-Armenia's more proactive style and Gandzasar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gandzasar. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gandzasar having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ararat-Armenia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Ararat-Armenia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 57 points compared to Gandzasar in 8 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Ararat-Armenia Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 57 points from 26 games, Ararat-Armenia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 49:25, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Eloyan (7 goals), A. Serobyan (7 goals), H. Oliveira (6 goals), with creative support from Z. Shaghoyan (6 assists), A. Ambartsumyan (3 assists), K. Hovhannisyan (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Gandzasar Analysis

Gandzasar sit 8 with 21 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 20:40, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through B. Mani (3 goals), L. Andrioli Rodrigues (3 goals), P. Avetisyan (3 goals), with creative support from M. Ahouangbo (2 assists), L. Andrioli Rodrigues (1 assists), P. Avetisyan (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ararat-Armenia won 10 times, Gandzasar won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:9 from Ararat-Armenia's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ararat-Armenia 4-3-3 / Gandzasar -
H2H summary: Ararat-Armenia wins 10, draws 2, Gandzasar wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7 27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation