ARMENIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
10.05.2026 14:00
Football Academy Stadium
Ararat-Armenia
Match Timeline
FC Noah
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
N. Mulahusejnovic · Assist: H. Hambardzumyan
FC Noah
⚽
18'
H. Ferreira
FC Noah
🟨
24'
A. Serobyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
38'
Junior Julio ↔ A. Ambartsumyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
46'
A. Ndour ↔ P. Ayongo
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
46'
G. Sangare ↔ E. Boakye
FC Noah
🔄
46'
H. Hambardzumyan ↔ G. Manvelyan
FC Noah
🔄
61'
H. Oliveira ↔ E. Grigoryan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
61'
A. Tera ↔ K. Muradyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
71'
A. Serobyan ↔ A. Eloyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
76'
N. Mulahusejnovic ↔ Matheus Aias
FC Noah
🔄
80'
D. Sualehe ↔ G. Silva
FC Noah
⚽
85'
Matheus Aias
FC Noah
🔄
86'
H. Ferreira ↔ Y. Eteki
FC Noah
⚽
90'
Matheus Aias · Assist: A. Khamoyan
FC Noah

Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
43.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ararat-Armenia Win 47.6%
Draw 9.8%
FC Noah Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ararat-Armenia1.47
FC Noah1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
WWDLW
50 GF / 26 GA
FC Noah FC Noah
WLDWL
66 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.69
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1
15
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
2.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 28 matches
FC Noah FC Noah 39 matches
Ararat-Armenia Statistic FC Noah
17 Wins 19
7 Draws 12
4 Losses 8
50 Goals For 66
26 Goals Against 39
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1
15 BTTS Yes 19
20 Over 1.5 31
16 Over 2.5 20
9 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 17
4 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 2.27
0 Total Shots 7.47
0 Corners 1.8
0% Ball Possession 35.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Noah. Ararat-Armenia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Noah having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ararat-Armenia Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 51 points from 23 games, Ararat-Armenia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 15 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 45:19, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Serobyan (7 goals), A. Eloyan (6 goals), A. Ndour (5 goals), with creative support from Z. Shaghoyan (6 assists), A. Ambartsumyan (3 assists), K. Hovhannisyan (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

FC Noah Analysis

FC Noah approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 43 points after 22 outings. They have recorded 12 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a 40:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on H. Ferreira (8 goals), Matheus Aias (6 goals), N. Mulahusejnovic (6 goals), with creative support from M. Jakolis (3 assists), G. Manvelyan (2 assists), I. Oulad Omar (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ararat-Armenia won 3 times, FC Noah won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:26 from Ararat-Armenia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: Ararat-Armenia 4-3-3 / FC Noah -
H2H summary: Ararat-Armenia wins 3, draws 3, FC Noah wins 9

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7 27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation