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04.08.2026 16:00
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Referee: Ivan Kružliak, Slovakia
Ararat-Armenia
Match Timeline
Celje
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
S. Seslar
Celje
⚽
38'
A. Serobyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
46'
V. Tusha ↔ Y. Dukuly
Celje
🟨
58'
Mario Kvesić
Celje
🔄
59'
M. Carlier ↔ A. Tera
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
59'
A. Serobyan ↔ Franca Carlos
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
64'
S. Seslar ↔ A. Kotnik
Celje
🔄
64'
A. Kucys ↔ R. Pozeg
Celje
⚽
70'
Franca Carlos · Assist: E. Grigoryan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
83'
Z. Banjaqui ↔ M. Ayvazyan
Ararat-Armenia
🟨
90+5'
Papa Daniel
Celje
🔄
90'
H. Oliveira ↔ A. Ndour
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
90'
Sandro Lima ↔ P. Ayongo
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
90+5'
P. Daniel ↔ M. Poplatnik
Celje

Ararat-Armenia vs Celje Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ararat-Armenia Win 37.1%
Draw 10.1%
Celje Win 52.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ararat-Armenia1.59
Celje1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
W L W L W
11 GF / 8 GA
Celje Celje
D D D D D
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
8
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
4
2.75
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 14 matches
Celje Celje 10 matches
Ararat-Armenia Statistic Celje
7 Wins 3
3 Draws 6
4 Losses 1
25 Goals For 18
17 Goals Against 13
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
8 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
2.75 Shots On Goal 4
7.75 Total Shots 8.5
3.25 Corners 5
44.8% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Ararat-Armenia won 2 times, Celje won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Ararat-Armenia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Ararat-Armenia 4-3-3 / Celje 3-4-3
H2H summary: Ararat-Armenia wins 2, draws 0, Celje wins 1

Standings

League Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 14:5 9 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 12:3 9 9
W W W
3 3 3 0 0 12:7 5 9
W W W
4 3 3 0 0 10:5 5 9
W W W
5 3 3 0 0 7:4 3 9
W W W
6 3 2 1 0 7:2 5 7
D W W
7 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
D W W
8 3 2 0 1 11:6 5 6
L W W
9 3 2 0 1 10:5 5 6
W L W
10 3 2 0 1 9:5 4 6
W L W
11 3 2 0 1 9:6 3 6
W W L
12 3 2 0 1 7:4 3 6
L W W
13 3 2 0 1 5:4 1 6
W L W
14 3 1 2 0 10:5 5 5
D D W
15 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
W L D
16 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
D W L
17 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
L W D
18 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
W L D
19 3 1 0 2 8:8 0 3
L W L
20 3 1 0 2 5:6 -1 3
W L L
21 3 1 0 2 5:6 -1 3
L L W
22 3 1 0 2 5:7 -2 3
W L L
23 3 1 0 2 6:9 -3 3
W L L
24 3 1 0 2 6:9 -3 3
W L L W L
25 3 1 0 2 3:6 -3 3
L W L W L
26 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
L W L
27 3 1 0 2 3:7 -4 3
L L W
28 3 1 0 2 4:9 -5 3
L W L W W
29 3 1 0 2 3:8 -5 3
L L W W D
30 3 1 0 2 3:8 -5 3
L W L
31 3 0 2 1 3:9 -6 2
D L D W D
32 3 0 1 2 4:7 -3 1
D L L
33 3 0 1 2 5:9 -4 1
L D L W D
34 3 0 0 3 2:6 -4 0
L L L
35 3 0 0 3 4:10 -6 0
L L L
36 3 0 0 3 1:13 -12 0
L L L W D
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