CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Alphamega Stadium
Referee: L. Graagaard
Apollon Limassol
Match Timeline
Pafos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Ivan Šunjić
Pafos
10'
D. Luckassen
Apollon Limassol
21'
B. Thomas
Apollon Limassol
25'
David Luiz
Pafos
🔄
27'
P. Marques ↔ D. Escriche
Apollon Limassol
🟨
51'
Josef Kvida
Apollon Limassol
🟨
51'
Gustavo Assunção
Apollon Limassol
🟨
53'
Derrick Luckassen
Pafos
🟨
60'
Vlad Dragomir
Pafos
🔄
60'
O. Mimovic ↔ Bruno
Pafos
🔄
60'
Pepe ↔ Dani Silva
Pafos
🔄
60'
Jaja ↔ J. Correia
Pafos
🔄
72'
B. Gaspar ↔ A. Shikkis
Apollon Limassol
🔄
72'
G. Assuncao ↔ C. Duodu
Apollon Limassol
🟨
78'
Zacharias Adoni
Apollon Limassol
🔄
84'
↔ D. Quina
Pafos
🔄
84'
V. Dragomir ↔ M. Bassouamina
Pafos
🟨
88'
David Luiz
Pafos
🔄
90'
↔ L. Markovic
Apollon Limassol
🔄
90'
G. Rodrigues ↔ A. Vrikkis
Apollon Limassol

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Apollon Limassol Win 52.7%
Draw 10.1%
Pafos Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Apollon Limassol1.24
Pafos1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
WWDLW
43 GF / 32 GA
Pafos Pafos
WLDWL
75 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.02
14
BTTS Yes
21
14
Over 2.5
20
1.18
Shots on Goal
2.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol 31 matches
Pafos Pafos 45 matches
Apollon Limassol Statistic Pafos
17 Wins 22
7 Draws 12
7 Losses 11
43 Goals For 75
32 Goals Against 46
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.02
14 BTTS Yes 21
22 Over 1.5 34
14 Over 2.5 20
7 Over 3.5 12
13 Clean Sheets 19
5 Failed To Score 8
1.18 Shots On Goal 2.35
4.11 Total Shots 6.51
1.89 Corners 2.84
19.1% Ball Possession 28.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Pafos. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Apollon Limassol expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Pafos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pafos having the stronger overall control.

Apollon Limassol Analysis

Apollon Limassol arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 58 points after 31 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 43:32 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Brandon Thomas (8 goals), P. Marques (8 goals), J. Kvida (6 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Pafos Analysis

Pafos come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 55 points from 31 matches. The record of 16 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 59:32 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Anderson Silva (9 goals), J. Correia (9 goals), D. Quina (6 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Apollon Limassol won 3 times, Pafos won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:24 from Apollon Limassol's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Apollon Limassol 4-4-2 / Pafos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Apollon Limassol wins 3, draws 3, Pafos wins 9
Stats
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
Pafos Pafos
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 4
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 1
5 Shots insidebox 9
3 Shots outsidebox 1
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
354 Total passes 385
298 Passes accurate 323
0.89 expected_goals 0.93
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Apollon Limassol
Formation
Pafos
P. Kuhn
P. Kuhn
B. Gaspar
B. Gaspar
Z. Adoni
Z. Adoni
J. Kvida
J. Kvida
G. Malekkidis
G. Malekkidis
M. Brown
M. Brown
I. Ljubic
I. Ljubic
G. Assuncao
G. Assuncao
G. Rodrigues
G. Rodrigues
P. Marques
P. Marques
B. Thomas
B. Thomas
N. Michail
N. Michail
O. Mimovic
O. Mimovic
D. Luckassen
D. Luckassen
David Luiz
David Luiz
N. Ioannou
N. Ioannou
I. Sunjic
I. Sunjic
Jaja
Jaja
V. Dragomir
V. Dragomir
Pepe
Pepe
M. Orsic
M. Orsic
Anderson Silva
Anderson Silva
Apollon Limassol 4-3-3
Starting XI
22
P. Kuhn
G
76
B. Gaspar
↓ 72'
D
4
Z. Adoni
🟨 78'
D
44
J. Kvida
🟨 51'
D
14
G. Malekkidis
D
5
M. Brown
M
77
I. Ljubic
M
12
G. Assuncao
↓ 72' 🟨 51'
M
10
G. Rodrigues
↓ 90'
F
43
P. Marques
↓ 27'
F
23
B. Thomas
⚽ 21'
F
Substitutes
41
P. Leeuwenburgh
G
31
K. Stylianou
G
26
A. Shikkis
↑ 72'
D
3
T. Lam
D
86
P. Charalambous
F
50
L. Markovic
↑ 90'
F
82
C. Papadopoulos
D
17
C. Duodu
↑ 72'
F
45
A. Vrikkis
↑ 90'
M
30
D. Escriche
↑ 27'
F
80
A. Youssef
M
89
R. Rotis
F
Pafos 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
93
N. Michail
G
21
O. Mimovic
↓ 60'
D
23
D. Luckassen
⚽ 10' 🟨 53'
D
4
David Luiz
⚽ 25' 🟨 88'
D
14
N. Ioannou
D
26
I. Sunjic
🟨 9'
M
11
Jaja
↓ 60'
M
30
V. Dragomir
↓ 84' 🟨 60'
M
88
Pepe
↓ 60'
M
17
M. Orsic
M
33
Anderson Silva
F
Substitutes
99
A. Papadoudis
G
82
P. Petrou
G
7
Bruno
↑ 60'
D
19
A. Guessand
D
12
K. Sema
M
50
A. Brito
M
8
D. Quina
↑ 84'
M
20
W. Odefalk
M
80
Dani Silva
↑ 60'
M
77
J. Correia
↑ 60'
M
9
M. Bassouamina
↑ 84'
M
18
Lele
F
Last matches: Apollon Limassol
22.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
5
L
16.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Aris
3
2
W
10.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
06.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
26.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
3
L
14.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
3
2
W
05.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
22.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
1
1
D
15.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Anorthosis
1
1
D
08.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEL
2
1
W
02.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
1
1
D
21.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
14.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Olympiakos
3
1
W
30.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
24.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Akritas
4
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
11.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Enosis
1
0
W
04.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
Last matches: Pafos
08.07.26
Fri
Pafos
FK Jablonec
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Pafos
Cracovia Krakow
2
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
Pafos
Aris
2
0
W
06.05.26
1.
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
26.04.26
1.
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
3
3
D
18.04.26
1.
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
14.04.26
1.
Pafos
Aris
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
22.03.26
1.
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
14.03.26
1.
Pafos
Akritas
4
0
W
07.03.26
1.
Pafos
Krasava Ypsonas
7
0
W
01.03.26
1.
Pafos
Aris
2
2
D
21.02.26
1.
Pafos
Anorthosis
0
0
D
15.02.26
1.
Pafos
AEL
1
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
2
4
L
04.02.26
1.
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
31.01.26
1.
Pafos
Ethnikos Achna
1
2
L
28.01.26
UEF
Pafos
Slavia Praha
4
1
W
H2H: Apollon Limassol vs Pafos
29.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
0
2
L
03.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
22.03.26
H2H
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
04.01.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
13.09.25
H2H
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
0
1
W
07.05.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
0
2
L
30.04.25
H2H
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
4
2
L
22.04.25
H2H
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
2
0
L
16.03.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
1
2
L
16.02.25
H2H
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
1
0
L
10.11.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
0
1
L
17.04.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
1
1
D
10.04.24
H2H
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
2
1
L
31.01.24
H2H
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
0
3
L
Last matches: Apollon Limassol
16.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Aris
3
2
W
10.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
3
L
05.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
08.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEL
2
1
W
21.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Olympiakos
3
1
W
24.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Akritas
4
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
04.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
14.12.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
2
L
07.12.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Anorthosis
0
0
D
23.11.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
0
W
02.11.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
2
L
18.10.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
21.09.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Enosis
3
0
W
29.08.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Krasava Ypsonas
0
3
L
H2H at home: Apollon Limassol
29.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
0
2
L
03.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
04.01.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
07.05.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
0
2
L
16.03.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
1
2
L
10.11.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
0
1
L
17.04.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
0
3
L
Last matches: Pafos
08.07.26
Fri
Pafos
FK Jablonec
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Pafos
Cracovia Krakow
2
1
W
16.05.26
1.
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
2
2
D
26.04.26
1.
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
3
3
D
14.04.26
1.
Pafos
Aris
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
14.03.26
1.
Pafos
Akritas
4
0
W
01.03.26
1.
Pafos
Aris
2
2
D
15.02.26
1.
Pafos
AEL
1
0
W
31.01.26
1.
Pafos
Ethnikos Achna
1
2
L
21.01.26
UEF
Pafos
Chelsea
0
1
L
17.01.26
1.
Pafos
Olympiakos
0
2
L
04.01.26
1.
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
1
2
L
14.12.25
1.
Pafos
Enosis
2
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Pafos
Juventus
0
2
L
30.11.25
1.
Pafos
Krasava Ypsonas
3
2
W
09.11.25
1.
Pafos
Anorthosis
1
1
D
27.10.25
1.
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
1
2
L
21.10.25
UEF
Pafos
Kairat Almaty
0
0
D
05.10.25
1.
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
4
2
W
H2H away: Pafos
29.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
0
2
W
03.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
L
04.01.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
L
07.05.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
0
2
W
16.03.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
1
2
W
10.11.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
0
1
W
17.04.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
0
3
W

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4
Pafos Away
26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8 26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)