Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
62.7%
|
2.80 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.36 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
1.36 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aparecidense
10 matches
Capital Brasilia
10 matches
| Aparecidense | Statistic | Capital Brasilia |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 13 | Goals For | 16 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.6 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Capital Brasilia having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Capital Brasilia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Capital Brasilia. Capital Brasilia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 23 points while Aparecidense sit 4 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Ahead of this knockout test, Aparecidense arrive from a league campaign that has them 4 with 13 points after 10 matches. The return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Carlos Baje (3 goals), Ivan Junior (2 goals), Luan (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Ahead of this knockout test, Capital Brasilia arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 23 points after 10 matches. With 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 16:6, they bring very strong form with results showing strong momentum into this tie. Going forward they rely on Gustavo Nescau (2 goals), Matheuzinho (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Aparecidense won 2 times, Capital Brasilia won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Aparecidense's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Aparecidense
Gama
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Inhumas
Aparecidense
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
Inhumas
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
Gama
Aparecidense
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Mixto
Aparecidense
Goianésia
Aparecidense
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
Goiânia
Aparecidense
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
CEOV Operário
Capital Brasilia
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
CEOV Operário
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
Goianésia
Capital Brasilia
Goiânia
Capital Brasilia
Goiânia
Capital Brasilia
Goianésia
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
Inhumas
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Gama
Aparecidense
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Goianésia
Aparecidense
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
Ceilândia
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Goiânia
Aparecidense
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
CEOV Operário
Capital Brasilia
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
Goiânia
Capital Brasilia
Goianésia
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Porto Velho
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23:6 | 17 | 26 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
Aparecidense
Home
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
| 5 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 12 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3:20 | -17 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
L
|