BRAZIL SERIE C
30.05.2026 20:00
Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
Referee: W. Lisboa
AO Itabaiana
Match Timeline
Volta Redonda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
Betao ↔ Lucao
AO Itabaiana
🟨
38'
Lucas Rocha
Volta Redonda
🟨
42'
Caetano
Volta Redonda
🔄
46'
Ricardo Cerqueira ↔ Isaque
AO Itabaiana
🔄
46'
Caetano ↔ Wagninho
Volta Redonda
🔄
52'
Fellipinho ↔ Romarinho
Volta Redonda
66'
Juliano Fabro
Volta Redonda
🔄
73'
Juliano Fabro ↔ Bruno Barra
Volta Redonda
🔄
78'
Marquinhos ↔ Luciano Naninho
Volta Redonda
🔄
78'
Ygor Catatau ↔ Rafael Furtado
Volta Redonda
🔄
79'
Leilson ↔ Renatinho
AO Itabaiana
🔄
79'
Lucas Bessa ↔ Cleiton
AO Itabaiana
🔄
85'
Tarcisio ↔ Elimar
AO Itabaiana
🟨
87'
Gustavo Crecci
AO Itabaiana
🟨
90+4'
Alan
Volta Redonda

AO Itabaiana vs Volta Redonda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 93%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
93%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AO Itabaiana Win 7%
Draw 93%
Volta Redonda Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AO Itabaiana0.9
Volta Redonda0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana
WWDLW
6 GF / 12 GA
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda
WLDWL
5 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.63
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana 8 matches
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda 8 matches
AO Itabaiana Statistic Volta Redonda
1 Wins 2
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 4
6 Goals For 5
12 Goals Against 9
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
4 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Volta Redonda having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Volta Redonda.

AO Itabaiana Analysis

AO Itabaiana sit 19 with 5 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 6:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Everton Kanela (3 goals), Isaque (1 goals), Karl (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Volta Redonda Analysis

Volta Redonda sit 18 with 5 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 3:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on O. Blanco (1 goals), Pedro Costa (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, AO Itabaiana won 0 times, Volta Redonda won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from AO Itabaiana's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: AO Itabaiana wins 0, draws 0, Volta Redonda wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation