BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
Referee: W. Lisboa
AO Itabaiana
Match Timeline
Volta Redonda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
Betao ↔ Lucao
AO Itabaiana
🟨
38'
Lucas Rocha
Volta Redonda
🟨
42'
Caetano
Volta Redonda
🔄
46'
Ricardo Cerqueira ↔ Isaque
AO Itabaiana
🔄
46'
Caetano ↔ Wagninho
Volta Redonda
🔄
52'
Fellipinho ↔ Romarinho
Volta Redonda
66'
Juliano Fabro
Volta Redonda
🔄
73'
Juliano Fabro ↔ Bruno Barra
Volta Redonda
🔄
78'
Marquinhos ↔ Luciano Naninho
Volta Redonda
🔄
78'
Ygor Catatau ↔ Rafael Furtado
Volta Redonda
🔄
79'
Leilson ↔ Renatinho
AO Itabaiana
🔄
79'
Lucas Bessa ↔ Cleiton
AO Itabaiana
🔄
85'
Tarcisio ↔ Elimar
AO Itabaiana
🟨
87'
Gustavo Crecci
AO Itabaiana
🟨
90+4'
Alan
Volta Redonda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 93%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
93%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AO Itabaiana Win 7%
Draw 93%
Volta Redonda Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AO Itabaiana0.9
Volta Redonda0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana
WWDLW
6 GF / 12 GA
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda
WLDWL
5 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.63
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana 8 matches
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda 8 matches
AO Itabaiana Statistic Volta Redonda
1 Wins 2
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 4
6 Goals For 5
12 Goals Against 9
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
4 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Volta Redonda having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Volta Redonda.

AO Itabaiana Analysis

AO Itabaiana sit 19 with 5 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 6:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Everton Kanela (3 goals), Isaque (1 goals), Karl (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Volta Redonda Analysis

Volta Redonda sit 18 with 5 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 3:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on O. Blanco (1 goals), Pedro Costa (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, AO Itabaiana won 0 times, Volta Redonda won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from AO Itabaiana's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: AO Itabaiana wins 0, draws 0, Volta Redonda wins 1

Lineups

AO Itabaiana
Formation
Volta Redonda
Geaze
Geaze
Ricardo Cerqueira
Ricardo Cerqueira
Betao
Betao
Ligger
Ligger
Gustavo Crecci
Gustavo Crecci
Tarcisio
Tarcisio
Lucas Bessa
Lucas Bessa
Karl
Karl
Leilson
Leilson
Luan Silva
Luan Silva
Rodrigo Alves
Rodrigo Alves
Avelino
Avelino
Pedro Costa
Pedro Costa
Alan
Alan
Lucas Rocha
Lucas Rocha
Jean Victor
Jean Victor
Dener
Dener
Caetano
Caetano
Juliano Fabro
Juliano Fabro
Fellipinho
Fellipinho
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
Ygor Catatau
Ygor Catatau
AO Itabaiana 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Geaze
2
Ricardo Cerqueira
↓ 46'
3
Betao
↓ 13'
4
Ligger
5
Gustavo Crecci
🟨 87'
6
Tarcisio
↓ 85'
23
Lucas Bessa
↓ 79'
8
Karl
7
Leilson
↓ 79'
9
Luan Silva
10
Rodrigo Alves
Substitutes
12
William
11
Renatinho
↑ 79'
14
Gustavo Cintra
15
Isaque
↑ 46'
16
Tito
17
Fabricio Moura
18
Pedro Igor
19
R. Balde
20
Cleiton
↑ 79'
21
Gustavo Fagundes
22
Elimar
↑ 85'
13
Lucao
↑ 13'
Volta Redonda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Avelino
33
Pedro Costa
13
Alan
🟨 90+4'
15
Lucas Rocha
🟨 38'
6
Jean Victor
8
Dener
29
Caetano
↓ 46' 🟨 42'
25
Juliano Fabro
⚽ 66' ↓ 73'
20
Fellipinho
↓ 52'
7
Marquinhos
↓ 78'
9
Ygor Catatau
↓ 78'
Substitutes
45
Deivity
4
Fabricio
5
Bruno Barra
↑ 73'
10
Luciano Naninho
↑ 78'
14
Rafael Castro
17
Wagninho
↑ 46'
19
O. Blanco
22
Juninho Monteiro
26
Romarinho
↑ 52'
28
Rafael Furtado
↑ 78'
30
Juninho Ramos
Last matches: AO Itabaiana
13.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Brusque
1
0
W
07.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Amazonas
2
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ferroviária
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Anápolis
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ituano
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Figueirense
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Floresta
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maringá
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Paysandu
1
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ypiranga-RS
1
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
Last matches: Volta Redonda
13.07.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Figueirense
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Maringá
0
4
L
30.06.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Amazonas
3
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Confiança
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Ferroviária
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Brusque
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Maranhão
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Caxias
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Guarani Campinas
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Paysandu
0
1
L
H2H: AO Itabaiana vs Volta Redonda
30.05.26
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
Last matches: AO Itabaiana
13.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Brusque
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ferroviária
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ituano
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Floresta
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Paysandu
1
4
L
12.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ypiranga-RS
1
2
L
H2H at home: AO Itabaiana
30.05.26
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
Last matches: Volta Redonda
13.07.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Figueirense
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Maringá
0
4
L
20.06.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Maranhão
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Guarani Campinas
0
2
L
H2H away: Volta Redonda
30.05.26
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Volta Redonda
0
1
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 13 7 3 3 20:14 6 24
W L W L D
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 13 5 2 6 10:15 -5 17
L W L W W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 13 4 4 5 12:18 -6 16
L D D W W
17 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
18 13 3 4 6 11:17 -6 13
W W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation