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20.09.2026 11:30
Bosuilstadion
Referee: Jan Boterberg, Belgium
Antwerp
Match Timeline
Union St. Gilloise
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Michael Frey
Antwerp
🟨
18'
Adem Zorgane
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
25'
Arthur Vermeeren
Antwerp
⚽
51'
M. Biondic · Assist: R. Mofokeng
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
58'
X. Dierckx ↔ I. Salah
Antwerp
🔄
64'
L. Patris ↔ D. De Roeve
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
64'
R. Mofokeng ↔ K. Rodriguez
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
66'
M. Fofana ↔ S. Porozo
Antwerp
🔄
66'
C. Scott ↔ C. Mejia
Antwerp
🟨
67'
Bahmed Deuff
Antwerp
🟨
69'
Bahmed Deuff
Antwerp
🟥
69'
Bahmed Deuff
Antwerp
🟨
75'
Snayder Porozo
Antwerp
🟨
75'
Hervé Koffi
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
75'
M. Frey ↔ L. Narh
Antwerp
🔄
75'
B. Zeneli ↔ R. Schoofs
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
76'
L. Schelfhout ↔ M. Benitez
Antwerp
⚽
78'
D. De Roeve · Assist: K. Rodriguez
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
83'
M. Biondic ↔ R. Florucz
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
83'
Guilherme Smith ↔ I. Hurtevent
Union St. Gilloise

Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Antwerp Win 33.1%
Draw 12.1%
Union St. Gilloise Win 54.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Antwerp1.36
Union St. Gilloise2.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Antwerp Antwerp
WWDLW
19 GF / 19 GA
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
WLDWL
49 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
3.27
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
7
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
14
6.17
Shots on Goal
7.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Antwerp Antwerp 13 matches
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 15 matches
Antwerp Statistic Union St. Gilloise
4 Wins 11
3 Draws 2
6 Losses 2
19 Goals For 49
19 Goals Against 18
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 3.27
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
7 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 14
3 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 1
6.17 Shots On Goal 7.78
16.5 Total Shots 17.67
5.67 Corners 4.22
48.7% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Union St. Gilloise's more proactive style and Antwerp's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Union St. Gilloise carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 16 points while Antwerp sit 11 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Antwerp expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Union St. Gilloise in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union St. Gilloise having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Union St. Gilloise. Union St. Gilloise look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Antwerp Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Antwerp have collected 7 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Frey (2 goals), S. Porozo (1 goals), Anthony Valencia (1 goals), with creative support from T. Somers (1 assists), C. Scott (1 assists), Jules Ahoka (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union St. Gilloise Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 16 points from 6 games, Union St. Gilloise bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 19:3 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on R. Florucz (4 goals), R. Mofokeng (3 goals), B. Zeneli (2 goals), with creative support from B. Zeneli (4 assists), M. Biondic (4 assists), R. Schoofs (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Antwerp won 4 times, Union St. Gilloise won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:27 from Antwerp's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
Predicted formations: Antwerp 4-4-2 / Union St. Gilloise 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Antwerp wins 4, draws 4, Union St. Gilloise wins 7

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 15:4 11 22
W W D W W
2 8 7 0 1 19:4 15 21
W W W W L
3 8 7 0 1 16:7 9 21
W W W L W
4 8 6 2 0 22:4 18 20
D W W W W
5 8 5 1 2 9:6 3 16
W W W D W
6 8 4 1 3 20:17 3 13
W W W W D
7 8 3 3 2 16:12 4 12
W L D D W
8 8 3 2 3 10:9 1 11
L L L W D
9 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
L L L W W
10 8 3 2 3 9:9 0 11
W D L L W
11 8 3 0 5 8:14 -6 9
L L W W L
12 8 2 2 4 15:16 -1 8
L L L W L
13 8 2 1 5 12:20 -8 7
L L L L L
14 8 1 3 4 9:17 -8 6
W D L L D
15 8 1 2 5 6:14 -8 5
D W D L L
16 8 1 1 6 8:18 -10 4
L L W L D
17 8 1 0 7 2:18 -16 3
L W L L L
18 8 0 3 5 9:16 -7 3
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League